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February 7th Storm Threat Discussion/Obs


mappy
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2 minutes ago, vastateofmind said:

Ehh, it is what is is -- actually, I feel more for the Baltimore city/county crew, they've gotten screwed on snow more than most this year. You're only a few miles to the west, but glad to see you cash in more in situations like this.

Baltimore City used to do o.k. even when DC failed in marginal events. I wonder if the UHI effect, due to more growth in the corridor, is playing a role, or if climate warming is pushing the fail zone farther north.  

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10 minutes ago, vastateofmind said:

Woke up to find last night's expectations fully realized -- a downgrade to WWA and forecast of 1-3" this morning. Not even buying that. Currently 34/32, mixed snow/rain.

PXL_20210207_140950045b.jpg.0863f475f9d5199fbdd277c146ab38b8.jpg

It’s an absolute joke they left the cities and low elevation areas a warning as long as they did. 

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Just hit 5”. 3rd verified warning of the season.  Need one more inch to pass 30. Gonna pay for this in years to come lol. 

Wow,  had no idea it was that high out there in psu land.

Snowing pretty good here in Middletown,  much better rates than the last storm.  Very pretty out there. 

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2 minutes ago, vastateofmind said:

Ehh, it is what is is -- actually, I feel more for the Baltimore city/county crew, they've gotten screwed on snow more than most this year. You're only a few miles to the west, but glad to see you cash in more in situations like this.

Yup. I’m west of the fall line at 325’ or so, which definitely has made a difference in these kinds of events in the past. I’ve mentioned this in discussions on here with H20, with 12/5/09 being one event that really sticks out as one that produced here but not so much in your neck of the woods.

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3 minutes ago, real said:

Baltimore City used to do o.k. even when DC failed in marginal events. I wonder if the UHI effect, due to more growth in the corridor is playing a role, or if climate warming is pushing the fail zone farther north.  

Something is off here. It’s probably bad luck, but if there’s a way to fail or come up short, we find it, every time. And I’ve got almost 400 feet of elevation in a wooded area. Doesn’t matter.

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2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I am very pleased with my yard but kinda disappointed for everyone else. Was pulling for a more amplified coastal so we had a region wide celebration. This seems pretty elevation dependent. 

We’re doing pretty well in Westminster itself outside the west side of town. But big globs of snow are falling off things of course in the time of lighter rates. 

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Just now, WxUSAF said:

Measured 0.5” at 830. Measured 0.5” at 940. 

Kinda rare for us not to get band'd at the same time. Not piling up hot and heavy but def approaching 2" here. Might be more. Still slackin and chillin in bed. Might all melt before I decide to take on the day and start moving

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Just now, mattie g said:

Yup. I’m west of the fall line at 325’ or so, which definitely has made a difference in these kinds of events in the past. I’ve mentioned this in discussions on here with H20, with 12/5/09 being one event that really sticks out as one that produced here but not so much in your neck of the woods.

Both March 2013 events probably qualify.

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Just now, Bob Chill said:

Kinda rare for us not to get band'd at the same time. Not piling up hot and heavy but def approaching 2" here. Might be more. Still slackin and chillin in bed. Might all melt before I decide to take on the day and start moving

Yeah, MoCo half of the deathband went out on a solo tour today. Such is life in the mid Atlantic. You win some you lose some more.

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19 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

I'm still trying to learn the Sykesville area for storms...I pretty much know leesburg like the back of Ji's neck but here not so much...like I'm stunned Columbia and Ellicott city aren't getting what I'm getting now...literally 15 minutes away 

That’s a good area for in the burbs. Kind of the southern tip of Parr’s Ridge. It only gets better as you drive north an 32.

Just now, North Balti Zen said:

Something is off here. It’s probably bad luck, but if there’s a way to fail or come up short, we find it, every time.

It’s been snowing great here all morning but my temps have sucked. Interesting seeing the streets caving in photos well south but nothing but wet here. No complaints though.

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Just now, mattie g said:

Yup. I’m west of the fall line at 325’ or so, which definitely has made a difference in these kinds of events in the past. I’ve mentioned this in discussions on here with H20, with 12/5/09 being one event that really sticks out as one that produced here but not so much in your neck of the woods.

Yup - can relate to the same thing.  Used to live in W. Spfd near Old Keene Mill and Rolling and saw the effects you are talking about there.  Now we're at 385' asl just NW of Vienna.  Even though Tyson's is near 500' they often get reduced by the heat island effect.  A little further to the east and Falls Church often gets 2-3" when we get 4-5".  Just little to the west and a little higher and away from the concrete helps a lot, especially when on the margins.  

 

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Just now, nw baltimore wx said:

That’s a good area for in the burbs. Kind of the southern tip of Parr’s Ridge. It only gets better as you drive north an 32.

It’s been snowing great here all morning but my temps have sucked. Interesting seeing the streets caving in photos well south but nothing but wet here. No complaints though.

Glad to hear it for you - it’s a combo of rain TV and every so often snow TV. Will be a T. 

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