osfan24 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Down to 36. Doubt it starts as rain here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 @psuhoffman the RGEM is better for us because of some reinforcements at the end of the storm. Precip axis is west of 18z, but overall similar with QPF up until the storm is on its way out. We get a little luck as the storm swings out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I'm still recovering from the shock of a last minute bump northwest on guidance. That ish never happens here. 3 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Well Early this afternoon I called for 43/25 at 9pm and it was 43/28 and now 45/24 so my temperature concerns at the surface are not alleviated. Still looks like 34/35 when steady snow is falling. Can make out with heavy rates thru about 9am then too much radiance 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, JakkelWx said: ICON = Iconic start to the 00z suite. And here’s my 1 cent worth: ICON ot believe anything that damn effin model kicks out. Garbaaaaage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 32/22 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seawolf14 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 40/26 here on Kent Island . 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Upper level energy catching the surface out ahead ? The SS SW is in Arkansas moving into TN now. That precip breaking out in TN is associated with lift ahead of it. That’s what will become the area of precip that will affect us tomorrow so seeing it outperform guidance is good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, WEATHER53 said: Well Early this afternoon I called for 43/25 at 9pm and it was 43/28 and now 45/24 so my temperature concerns at the surface are not alleviated. Still looks like 34/35 when steady snow is falling. Can make out with heavy rates thru about 9am then too much radiance Current temps really aren’t the biggest issue. Rates are. if the column can cool dynamically it won’t matter. Also wet bulbs will bring it down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 8 minutes ago, ovechkin said: DCA back up to 45. Jet blast on the temp sensor 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said: Final call map below Made significant changes based on latest trends in guidance. Hopefully they revert back a bit and screw over my map. Still a nice storm for some. The metros may never accumulate one inch due to UHI hell. Don't feel like writing a synopsis this evening. I'm tired and have a few things to do tonight. I'll check in after the 00z NAM runs and the HREF starts populating. This might actually work 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: 32/22 I am experiencing cognitive dissonance as I have not gotten used to your new location. I am much more used to Deck Pic observations of 42/31 right before a storm is to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 43/27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: This might actually work Shift it west 30 miles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 32/23 here for almost three hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 37/28 here just outside Vienna. Lot of thunderstorms training over GA and Nrn FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 33/26 Reisterstown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 36 Sykesville hopefully we get a quick dusting to an inch here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: 36 Sykesville hopefully we get a quick dusting to an inch here. Funny. That would not be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 HRRR bumps precip on the nw edge. But I place no faith in this model so I guess it’s a net zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 9 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I'm still recovering from the shock of a last minute bump northwest on guidance. That ish never happens here. I missed you man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigsnowdog Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 35/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
diatae Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 42/26 La Plata Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 41/21 Glen Burnie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 32 in Smithsburg. Waiting on our snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 WB 18Z ICON v 0Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Nice swath of heavy snow in western NC and NW SC. thunderstorms being reported in TN. Great sign. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z ICON v 0Z So Baltimore and Howard county get 0.6” qpf and 2” of snow? Makes sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 22 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The SS SW is in Arkansas moving into TN now. That precip breaking out in TN is associated with lift ahead of it. That’s what will become the area of precip that will affect us tomorrow so seeing it outperform guidance is good. Most guidance was pretty wet in central TN tonight. What makes you think it's outperforming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: My experience is often guidance "sees " the potential days out and will lose it only to return to that same idea near game time...but this is really cutting it close lol. I'm optimistic though unlike others here. I’m definitely optimistic. Seen this song and dance before in this neck of the woods. I’m getting ready for 2-4” of the good stuff and will be delighted if we see more. I have no doubt someone will see 6” . Potentials there no doubt. Think people are putting way too much stock into snow maps tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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