GATECH Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 8 minutes ago, ovechkin said: DCA back up to 45. Jet blast on the temp sensor 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said: Final call map below Made significant changes based on latest trends in guidance. Hopefully they revert back a bit and screw over my map. Still a nice storm for some. The metros may never accumulate one inch due to UHI hell. Don't feel like writing a synopsis this evening. I'm tired and have a few things to do tonight. I'll check in after the 00z NAM runs and the HREF starts populating. This might actually work 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: 32/22 I am experiencing cognitive dissonance as I have not gotten used to your new location. I am much more used to Deck Pic observations of 42/31 right before a storm is to start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 43/27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: This might actually work Shift it west 30 miles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 32/23 here for almost three hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 37/28 here just outside Vienna. Lot of thunderstorms training over GA and Nrn FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 33/26 Reisterstown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 36 Sykesville hopefully we get a quick dusting to an inch here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, leesburg 04 said: 36 Sykesville hopefully we get a quick dusting to an inch here. Funny. That would not be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 HRRR bumps precip on the nw edge. But I place no faith in this model so I guess it’s a net zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 9 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: I'm still recovering from the shock of a last minute bump northwest on guidance. That ish never happens here. I missed you man. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigsnowdog Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 35/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
diatae Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 42/26 La Plata Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 41/21 Glen Burnie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 32 in Smithsburg. Waiting on our snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 WB 18Z ICON v 0Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Nice swath of heavy snow in western NC and NW SC. thunderstorms being reported in TN. Great sign. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z ICON v 0Z So Baltimore and Howard county get 0.6” qpf and 2” of snow? Makes sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 22 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: The SS SW is in Arkansas moving into TN now. That precip breaking out in TN is associated with lift ahead of it. That’s what will become the area of precip that will affect us tomorrow so seeing it outperform guidance is good. Most guidance was pretty wet in central TN tonight. What makes you think it's outperforming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: My experience is often guidance "sees " the potential days out and will lose it only to return to that same idea near game time...but this is really cutting it close lol. I'm optimistic though unlike others here. I’m definitely optimistic. Seen this song and dance before in this neck of the woods. I’m getting ready for 2-4” of the good stuff and will be delighted if we see more. I have no doubt someone will see 6” . Potentials there no doubt. Think people are putting way too much stock into snow maps tbh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MetalCapsFan Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 New: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0061.html Mesoscale Discussion 0061 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0908 PM CST Sat Feb 06 2021 Areas affected...Southern Appalachians and Vicinity Concerning...Heavy snow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, eduggs said: Most guidance was pretty wet in central TN tonight. What makes you think it's outperforming? Compare the 3k NAM radar at 3z and 4z to what’s happening now. The precip is more expansive and the trajectory is more north then the 3k has it. Doesn’t necessarily extrapolate but it’s not a bad sign Imo. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 @losetoa6 nice convection popping near that SLP. I’m liking what I’m seeing. Radar, to me, looks juicy. Plenty more to the west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I’ve always felt that heavy convection to the south can rob some of the precip to the north. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I’ve always felt that heavy convection to the south can rob some of the precip to the north. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, jayyy said: @losetoa6 nice convection popping near that SLP. I’m liking what I’m seeing. Radar, to me, looks juicy. You and I have the same radar app. I think it’s pretty good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Lol GFS is basically a non event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, jayyy said: No. You want to e plain your thoughts or you just gonna go with this crap 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 One thing that can step in and save our area with southern stream shortwaves at really short leads is development down south. At short leads, northern stream are often some level of dry or inhibited in these parts in reality compared to guidance. Southern stream are often some level of juicier and stormier in these parts in comparison. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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