psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 SREF improved. Hopefully the start of the last minute shift I’ve been waiting for impatiently. 8 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: SREF improved. Hopefully the start of the last minute shift I’ve been waiting for impatiently. Same. It’s sadly not as easy as it looks sometimes. The sref has been the trend setter a few times in our days. Radar doesn’t look awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Nam actually looks better at 500 this run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: SREF improved. Hopefully the start of the last minute shift I’ve been waiting for impatiently. HRRR is pretty consistent. DPs through the whole event are 34/35 in the DC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 WB 0Z 12K NAM 1 pm Sun 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 NAM substantially better for the northern crew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 700mb has more of a N to S vs NE to SW someone is going to jackpot where that sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Oh, look at this 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 File this under oddity. Likely nothing more. But the NMB members which have a notorious dry/suppressed bias trended the wettest/snowiest. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Yeah @psuhoffman that run of the NAM was sweet. The h5 looked markedly better and that second maxima over us that some earlier runs had was aided by solid ML fgen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 0Z 12K NAM 1 pm Sun That's really great news for most of you. That pincer around Baltimore that puts the least snow here and more all around is absolutely believeable 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Last comment on the SREF because it’s already 3 comments too many but it’s good news and we haven’t had enough so F it... they didn’t really trend northwest what they did was the more common juice up the NW fringe of the precip field thing. Notice how tight the back edge is now on that gif I posted above. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3K NAM is also much better for DC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Believe the surface isn't showing up the potential aloft. Looks definitely better 500-700 MB 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Best case might be a 3/25/13 situation. 4” paste bomb on .5-.6” precip in the western DC beltway. Never dropped below 32.8. Started during the late overnight hours which helped. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Looks like we are getting insurance paid out on these 00z runs. Would love to see the double band maximums set up as depicted in the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3K appears to have a marked improvement also for sure aloft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 WB12K NAM storm totals...nice bump tonight. Two Storms within a week!!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Ninjad on what I was gonna say on the nw periphery aided by a slightly more amped s/w and better trajectory. 3k seems to have gone that way too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Oh, look at this NAM and SREF threw us a false flag to start 12z so I’ll try to remain reserved until I see some ancillary evidence soon but this was a very good start. I assume no one will mind when I analyze these good runs lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3K drops .8 for DC. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 00z nam improved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Believe the surface isn't showing up the potential aloft. Looks definitely better 500-700 MB Much better fgen this run. That’s a banding signature that supports heavy rates. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 00z nam improved It’s because you came back. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Big improvement 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Give me the 3k precip and I’ll be a happy man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Night and day improvement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Ji said: 00z nam improved That’s why I didn’t post on Wintery Mix after the 18z train wreck. I had a feeling 0z might reverse course and didn’t want to ping pong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3k is tasty 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Night and day improvement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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