Buddy1987 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Safe to assume guys all the players are on the field or within RAOB sites to give a more definitive picture or at least make sense of the major shifts that have occurred this afternoon or evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 GFS looks more amped through hr 54. edit... It's really nice! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 GFS is on board. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I need the NAM's 7 inches. My snowpack has taken a serious hit today. Down to 4 inches. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, clskinsfan said: I need the NAM's 7 inches. My snowpack has taken a serious hit today. Down to 4 inches. Yeah, I think I might not have anything left other than some small snow piles come Saturday night. It took a beating today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, nj2va said: LWX is on board! Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 47. Looks like they hadn't updated the grids yet as it's drastically different now. Sometimes they are caught up in dissecting runs and then get to the grids late. Our GFE system for the public grids takes time to fenagle with to make it look like you want to forecast. 1 hour ago, Yeoman said: Why do people around here still go to that embarrassment of an NWS website and these random talking heads on the local news when you have access to the latest info here? I love you too, man 2 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 LWX finally even countenancing the idea... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I really like southern half of Delaware as a jackpot location for this one so far. They get perfect balance of temps being just cold enough and the heaviest precip training over them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I really like southern half of Delaware as a jackpot location for this one so far. They get perfect balance of temps being just cold enough and the heaviest precip training over them. Like this? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: I really like southern half of Delaware as a jackpot location for this one so far. They get perfect balance of temps being just cold enough and the heaviest precip training over them. @frd bullseye! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I really like @psuhoffmans house as the jackpot 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 4, 2021 Author Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, PivotPoint said: This will definitely happen that Mappy started the thread and only model talk is allowed, EXCEPT, when she wants to banter. The storm loves that, so she’s helping the storm guys I feel like the gradient will setup where we want it but question for me is development and interaction of NS/SS. If we can get some interaction I feel like it will pull the gradient along a line from Roanoke to Dc. Tell us again most your post aren’t banter but you keep right where they started. What’s joke lol You’re more than welcome to go enjoy this threat somewhere else. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Looking at the NAM models and if they come true do you think with the 3 inches of snow per hour rates there could be some thundersnow overnight? 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I really like @psuhoffmans house as the jackpot Forgot that! Also obv the elevated areas of va and nc could do really well too, but near the metro region I’d prefer to be in DE right now, thought I’d never say that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, mappy said: You’re more than welcome to go enjoy this threat somewhere else. Damn Mappy you should not have deleted that post. The trolling that I had lined up for it was legendary. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I really like @psuhoffmans house as the jackpot But you can say this 9 out of10 times there is a chance of snow. Be adventurous and daring. Chiefs by 17! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Para? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: Para? Stuck at hour 12 on PW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: But you can say this 9 out of10 times there is a chance of snow. Be adventurous and daring. Chiefs by 17! @mappys house? I mean the house always wins for a reason when the odds are stacked in their favor and there’s a finger on the scale. A thread the needle with meh airmass? I’m going for the far N/W burbs always. Maybe this is the exception, but I’ll believe that with Sunday’s 0z runs maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Looking at the NAM models and if they come true do you think with the 3 inches of snow per hour rates there could be some thundersnow overnight? Don't think it's dynamic enough for that, though a decent swath of QPF. We got thundersnow and heavy rates during 2011 Commutageddon, but that was an strong upper low that passed over us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 36 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I need the NAM's 7 inches. My snowpack has taken a serious hit today. Down to 4 inches. February. Sun angle season is here. Season's Greetings. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: @mappys house? I mean the house always wins for a reason when the odds are stacked in their favor and there’s a finger on the scale. A thread the needle with meh airmass? I’m going for the far N/W burbs always. Maybe this is the exception, but I’ll believe that with Sunday’s 0z runs maybe. I would tend to agree, but there is still a fast flow and it would seem amplification will be somewhat limited, this is going to be in and out in less than 12 hours, and it appears it will occur late late Sat night into early Sunday, so that sort of evens things out a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 GEFS looks like the GFS. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, Ravens94 said: Yeah, except not all of that snow is snow. ICON doesn’t account for sleet / ice etc. definitely been super consistent with this one since day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 24 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I really like @psuhoffmans house as the jackpot OMG!! Well that’s a shocking development. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, jaydreb said: GEFS looks like the GFS. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Next panel 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Next panel What about total between the two? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Next panel Perfect spot to be in 72+ out in this setup on the GFS. We know it’s trending WNW over the next 48 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Love seeing a fair number of jackpots to the SE. Anything that gives us some wiggle room has got to be good. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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