snowmagnet Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 3:48 PM, Weather Will said: Yes... the GFS snow hole is back at 12Z Expand What is sucking the QPF out of Fairfax Co? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Models jumping 125 miles with moderate-heavy snow is sad it’s going to be too warm at the surface and not the right wind direction nor dewpoints to correct that. Even predawn DC area will struggle at 33-35 with steady precip falling which would frequently get us cold enough but can’t this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 5:25 PM, WEATHER53 said: Models jumping 125 miles with moderate-heavy snow is sad it’s going to be too warm at the surface and not the right wind direction nor dewpoints to correct that. Even predawn DC area will struggle at 33-35 with steady precip falling which would frequently get us cold enough but can’t this time Expand Sounds like you have this one pegged...of course you could be wrong. Just sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 5:15 PM, snowmagnet said: What is sucking the QPF out of Fairfax Co? Expand I'll go with karma and proximity to Ji 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 5:38 PM, Bob Chill said: I'll go with karma and proximity to Ji Expand Nah dude. It me. I must have yelled at a cloud once. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 5:50 PM, Deck Pic said: 38, sunny. Expand 49.4°, yellow orb partially obscured 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awilson Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 48 partly cloudy. With a chance of meat balls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Been out of the thread for a couple of days. But I dont get the angst in here. It is going to snow. This is just a fast mover so the QPF is not going to be blockbuster. This has 2-5 for everyone written all over it. A nice little event. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awilson Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 5:55 PM, clskinsfan said: Been out of the thread for a couple of days. But I dont get the angst in here. It is going to snow. This is just a fast mover so the QPF is not going to be blockbuster. This has 2-5 for everyone written all over it. A nice little event. Expand 2-5 might fall but how much will stick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Headed to gym, someone post the euro when it’s out. 40 at home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Might be a little lighter than 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJB Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 5:41 PM, H2O said: Nah dude. It me. I must have yelled at a cloud once. Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 5:56 PM, Awilson said: 2-5 might fall but how much will stick Expand On 2/6/2021 at 5:56 PM, Awilson said: 2-5 might fall but how much will stick Expand On grass and car tops? Probably all of it. On roads? Probably not much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Perfectly acceptable euro run. Nothing has changed. Light —> moderate event with the potential for some banding jackpots. Enjoy it people! Super bowl snow hasn’t happened in a long time. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 5:56 PM, Awilson said: 2-5 might fall but how much will stick Expand Depends if the snow WANTS to stick. The nicer you are the more it will stick. We should all sing Kumbaya and hold hands before it's too late, 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Euro stops the bleeding. It's not as good as the NAM (especially for the northwest folks), but it's notably better along I-95 than the GFS or CMC. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 6:02 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Expand The mystery map we know neither the time the month or the year or the model but it looks ok! 3 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 6:06 PM, RedSky said: The mystery map we know neither the time the month or the year or the model but it looks ok! Expand It's the snow depth map from the 12z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 6:11 PM, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: It kind of sucks to see the bulk of precipitation arriving after sunrise now. Expand Yes. I was hoping for some pre dawn thumping. 7-11 can still work so long as the rates are there, but not as much room for error 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Wow euro is really cold for Monday AM, low teens even into the metros. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 UK looks like the Rgem 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Cleaner Euro map - 12Z 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eaglesrck63 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Kuchera 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Such nice disagreement not even 18 hrs before onset. Fun hobby we have. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 6:16 PM, DDweatherman said: Such nice disagreement not even 18 hrs before onset. Fun hobby we have. Expand Where’s the big disagreement? Seems to me like most models have a similar low track with similar temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 6:14 PM, Negnao said: UK looks like the Rgem Expand Well the Ukie and the RGEM regularly offered me about 13” last weekend, so they’ve lost my trust. Ended up with less than 6”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 6:16 PM, SnowDreamer said: Cleaner Euro map - 12Z Expand That’s still a slight decrease but verbatim we’d all take 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 5:56 PM, Awilson said: 2-5 might fall but how much will stick Expand 2-5. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On 2/6/2021 at 6:19 PM, DCTeacherman said: Where’s the big disagreement? Seems to me like most models have a similar low track with similar temps. Expand The QPF forecasts differ. GFS and Canadian are .3 or less for I95 and northwest while NAMS and I guess the euro are a uniform .5-.6 for most everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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