MN Transplant Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, MN Transplant said: Might as well couple it with the vertical velocity 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: I take it you are probably going to tuck frame into bed with you tonight? That's some serious lift for a good 2 hr period for your hood I see it now on TT but it skips hrs 27-33 go figure. Regardless great area of lift traversing through and then really firing up up toward northern VA/DC crew with that low getting cranking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: I take it you are probably going to tuck that frame into bed with you tonight? That's some serious lift for a good 2 hr period for your hood I’m all for an energetic quick hitter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 16 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: @MillvilleWx I’m just ready for that 700 fgen death band map you had earlier to see where it’s setting up on 0z 2 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 The thing is even if this lasts 6-9 hrs, there could be 4-6” in a 2-3 hr span. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: FDK to CAPE crushed. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: I’m all for an energetic quick hitter. I know the type. That type is me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: I'll be back in a bit after seeing this 1 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, mattie g said: I know the type. That type is me. They have pills for that 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Rgem kinda blah for places NW of 95. Similar to last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 17 minutes ago, osfan24 said: I hope it slows down some because that run was in and out in a hurry. 3K is down to like a 6-hour snowstorm. If it pummels for 6 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Rgem kinda blah for places NW of 95. Similar to last run. It also hasn’t been that bullish overall just yet. We’re waiting for that run tomorrow that does something silly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Perfect placement for the max stripe on the ARW 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Rgem kinda blah for places NW of 95. Similar to last run. Climo FTW tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Perfect placement for the max stripe on the ARW ARW was very amped. CAPE would absolutely despise this run for sure. I honestly want him to get hit. He's just barely missed so many times. Would be awesome for the I-95 crew though. There will be winners and losers like any other time. There will be winner and losers within 10-15 miles of each other with this kind of event. Band central 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 One thing is for sure someone is going to get screwed with this..literally watching a neighbor get twice as much as you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: ARW was very amped. CAPE would absolutely despise this run for sure. I honestly want him to get hit. He's just barely missed so many times. Would be awesome for the I-95 crew though. There will be winners and losers like any other time. There will be winner and losers within 10-15 miles of each other with this kind of event. Band central What do you know about the HRW? I’m not familiar with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 One thing is for sure someone is going to get screwed with this..literally watching a neighbor get twice as much as you. We need a real region wide snowstorm 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: I'll take a 40 mile nw bump to take that Baltimore Jack from @nw baltimore wx Um. The council has met and it was a quick...GTFO of the realm. Unanimous vote. 3 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I'll take a 40 mile nw bump to take that Baltimore Jack from [mention=1326]nw baltimore wx[/mention]Is that map free on pivitol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Do we have a new run of the HREF out recently? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: What do you know about the HRW? I’m not familiar with it. It's a CAM, so it can exaggerate in the synoptic scale due to convective feedback concerns that stem from latent heat release and localized pressure falls. @csnavywx touched on the limitations of the higher res models in a synoptic scale setup. It's okay in the short term (<24 hrs) as it can show banding characteristics, but it's prone to larger swings in guidance, especially SLP positioning. The NSSL is the same deal, although I found it to be not as jumpy with handling the surface reflection compared to the ARW/NMM. It is AWFUL with ULL though, so anything like that, avoid at all costs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Icon FULL TUCK lol 9 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 25 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Filthy. Plain filthy. Let’s GO!!!! 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILIKERAKE Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I'll take a 40 mile nw bump to take that Baltimore Jack from @nw baltimore wx Greedy mfer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, psuhoffman said: Icon FULL TUCK lol I can’t believe I’m saying this, but I’m impressed by how the ICON handled the evolution of this from the get. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Was that the short range ensembles he posted earlier maybe? That's the HREF! Here'a a link to it for reference and a great one to book mark https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/href/ 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Absolutely iconic.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 FYI from the evening LWX AFD update: .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... 9:00 PM UPDATE: For the short term period, the primary concern is of course the upcoming winter storm for Saturday night into Sunday. Winter Storm Watches remain for much of the forecast area. Decisions will be made at a later time in regards to where and Advisories or Warnings may go. See the previous discussion for more details on the system, as total snow forecasts have changed very little. If anything, plan to come up a little on the 90th percentile, as some guidance is hinting at some higher amounts across portions of the area. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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