stormtracker Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Man, I was on the phone talking to my friend and watching the run come in. I get off the phone to come here and say it was another nuking and I saw people about to ledge jump at hr 27. The lift was still there and everything. Some of y'all worry too much lol I was about to ask where the hell you were. Look, we know you have a priority area to forecast for, and maybe one day Midland will be that priority area, but for now.... 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I may ride this one out in my car with radar open on my phone 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: I hope @stormtracker is alone and not in public right now I suspect he's got a full color copy of that sounding taped on his wall... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: high risk just called for a Blizzard yall. I really expected the nest to bury us with the further west track, but it looks like it doesn't close off things at 850 until a bit too late for us. It's a nice hit for sure, but we end up with a bit less than the parent which had the sfc low further east but closed off at 850 sooner.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: I hope @stormtracker is alone and not in public right now The word of the day is turgid. now if someone posts a fgen and it’s Barney color over DC then it’s gonna need to be pixelated 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 @Ji deathband. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, SnowLover22 said: Hey look, it still shows a D.C. snow hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: What do temps look like through most of this, offhand? 30 to 33 looks like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, high risk said: I really expected the nest to bury us with the further west track, but it looks like it doesn't close off things at 850 until a bit too late for us. It's a nice hit for sure, but we end up with a bit less than the parent which had the sfc low further east but closed off at 850 sooner.. As this gets closer, if that h85 closes off and the low tucks off OC with this slowing down a bit as we’ve seen, some places could get some big totals near the mix line/in biggest bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 WB 0Z 3K NAM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: @Ji deathband. @HighStakes @losetoa6 @psuhoffman @mappy I love this panel for us. Rippin 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Is this storm really going to be better than the 1,000 hour snowstorm we just had a few days ago? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 @MillvilleWx I’m just ready for that 700 fgen death band map you had earlier to see where it’s setting up on 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, LP08 said: @Ji deathband. Wow it's gonna be rocking from sunrise through late morning. That's the best time for snow. I'll throw on a little Sunday morning TV for the kids and just enjoy some coffee and watch it dump. NAM drops most of our area to the teens or low 20s for Monday morning. It'll be nice to follow the snow with a respectably cold night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Searching for my 3rd 6”+ event of the season near Westminster. Not bad with another event looming behind this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 7 minutes ago, high risk said: I really expected the nest to bury us with the further west track, but it looks like it doesn't close off things at 850 until a bit too late for us. It's a nice hit for sure, but we end up with a bit less than the parent which had the sfc low further east but closed off at 850 sooner.. Noticed that after you said something. That was really close to a bigger hit. Literally a 3 hr sooner closed 85H and Woof 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, LeesburgWx said: Is this storm really going to be better than the 1,000 hour snowstorm we just had a few days ago? I think for this one, it’s not complicated. I have been told many times we don’t do complicated well. This one seems simple and straightforward. It’ll be close for me as I got that last minute day 3 band that gave me 5” to come out to 7” in Germantown. This is forecast to give me 6”. We’ll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Noticed that after you said something. That was really close to a bigger hit. Literally a 3 hr sooner closed 85H and Woof That's tomorrow at 12z. 6z is gonna shit the bed (that's the one that always does)...then 12z we're all gonna be in here tossing weenies. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Noticed that after you said something. That was really close to a bigger hit. Literally a 3 hr sooner closed 85H and Woof Yeah that’s something to look out for. What does the ceiling really become with that evolution in an otherwise fast flow? It would certainly bomb the low a bit quicker and slow it down further in this case? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, ErinInTheSky said: I think for this one, it’s not complicated. I have been told many times we don’t do complicated well. This one seems simple and straightforward. It’ll be close for me as I got that last minute day 3 band that gave me 5” to come out to 7” in Germantown. This is forecast to give me 6”. We’ll see! I got 7.5" this past week. I doubt I beat that on this storm tomorrow night. But even 4"-6" of heavy rates beats the hell out of the salt shaker snows we had over 72 hours. Honestly, it was the most boring snow I have ever seen, except for the final band. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 43 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Let the people decide: Yall want to go full storm mode or keep it casual like this thread with banter in between? Power to the people! Casual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, ErinInTheSky said: I think for this one, it’s not complicated. I have been told many times we don’t do complicated well. This one seems simple and straightforward. It’ll be close for me as I got that last minute day 3 band that gave me 5” to come out to 7” in Germantown. This is forecast to give me 6”. We’ll see! You got 5” on Tuesday in Germantown? That’s sick. We tacked on about 1-1.5” here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Snow to liquid ratio on the 12k NAM Kuchera is 8:1 even out here. 3k NAM is 10:1. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: As this gets closer, if that h85 closes off and the low tucks off OC with this slowing down a bit as we’ve seen, some places could get some big totals near the mix line/in biggest bands. I hope it slows down some because that run was in and out in a hurry. 3K is down to like a 6-hour snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 10 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: @MillvilleWx I’m just ready for that 700 fgen death band map you had earlier to see where it’s setting up on 0z Not fully out yet on TT, but I'll post the love once it comes into view 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: I hope it slows down some because that run was in and out in a hurry. 3K is down to like a 6-hour snowstorm. Meanwhile the ICON last run at 18z was a great hit and stretched this out to a 12 hr storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Not fully out yet on TT, but I'll post the love once it comes into view 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 7 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Yeah that’s something to look out for. What does the ceiling really become with that evolution in an otherwise fast flow? It would certainly bomb the low a bit quicker and slow it down further in this case? Areawide 4-8" with up to 11-12" max. Speed is too quick for anything that over the top in a marginal lower boundary layer. That's a big WSW event in an 8-10 hr time span 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: I take it you are probably going to tuck that frame into bed with you tonight? That's some serious lift for a good 2 hr period for your hood 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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