Eskimo Joe Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 NAMs are really honking about big lift at 700mb. Would lover to see what a forecast sounding looks like for Annapolis Sunday around 10:00 am. If we can maximize the lift in the DGZ . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: LMAO talk about razor's edge.. better hope northern jersey melted their last 30" of snow yeesh 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDRandy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Of course you never can be certain and the favored climo areas usually do better, but I like where the 95 corridor sits for this one. We're about 36 hours from game time and most global models and mesos target our area or just SE with the heaviest stripe, with a little wiggle room for a late NW shift. Plus, this almost feels like a bonus event after 2 fifty degree days. Just like last week when model consensus at this time consistently showed double digit totals up and down 95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 We get a great 12z suite and NAM starts off the 18z suite with a nice hit and people are still finding something to whine about lol. Love you guys, but come on, we know this. Same song and dance every storm. The likelihood our entire CWA sees a warning level snowstorm — where everyone from the shoreline to PSUHoffman sees 6+ is almost 0%. It’s just not a thing that ever really occurs around here, especially not in a marginal setup. Let’s zone in folks. A Nice snowfall is heading our way!! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, MDRandy said: One more tick NW - probably tonight or tomorrow - and the 95 corridor is just a rain/snow mix. This looks like a 81 corridor special The council has met. You are summarily banished from the realm. 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The NAMs are entertaining if nothing else. And no other model has the ability to induce extreme weenie glee and cliff diving simultaneously. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Will it be puking fatties? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDRandy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, North Balti Zen said: The council has met. You are summarily banished from the realm. I'm a meteorological prophet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 11 minutes ago, MDRandy said: One more tick NW - probably tonight or tomorrow - and the 95 corridor is just a rain/snow mix. This looks like a 81 corridor special Sweet meteorological reasoning there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3k is fun. Man 41-46 hours. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Yeoman said: Will it be puking fatties? Like a froshie at their first kegger that doesn't know when to quit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, MDRandy said: Just like last week when model consensus at this time consistently showed double digit totals up and down 95. I don’t think all of the models were slightly southeast of bulls eyeing the I-95 corridor from 36-40 hours out but maybe I wasn’t paying attention that close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 27 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said: All these cliff divers and we are 24 hours out and just all got NAM’d. I feel good. Where’s Ron Paul? #Itshappening Time for Ron Paul to bring it home... 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 16 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: The watch was just issued, but yes the point forecasts still look like the wording from a little earlier. Maybe not caught up yet on the actual forecast wording update. The watch can be issued prior to fine tuning the grids. I personally don't like doing that, but I think they want to get the word out quickly and then shape up the grids to accurately portray what they are thinking right now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: NAMs are really honking about big lift at 700mb. Would lover to see what a forecast sounding looks like for Annapolis Sunday around 10:00 am. If we can maximize the lift in the DGZ . . . Its starting to dry out a bit by that time but before that it's NOICE. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, CAPE said: LMAO talk about razor's edge.. i actually have no idea where you live. can you put a dot or something lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: The watch can be issued prior to fine tuning the grids. I personally don't like doing that, but I think they want to get the word out quickly and then shape up the grids to accurately portray what they are thinking right now. Call LWX and tell them to hurry with their AFD. There are important weenies out there that need this. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 11 minutes ago, CAPE said: LMAO talk about razor's edge.. I'd feel a lot better about walking the line if it wasn't 18z Friday right now. I know how these things usually go for East PWC 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDRandy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Another win for the Euro by the way. The GFS has had as much success at long-range forecasting as the Buccaneers are going to have slowing down the Chiefs offense on Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Well after all the downplaying, Mount Holly just went 4-8 here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: i actually have no idea where you live. can you put a dot or something lol Just north of the 9.1. Notice there is literally nothing a few miles SE of there lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Some places going to make a run at a foot, even maybe slightly more, if those snowfall rates are accurate and you end up being the lucky one that sees that ridiculous high rates for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: NAMs are really honking about big lift at 700mb. Would lover to see what a forecast sounding looks like for Annapolis Sunday around 10:00 am. If we can maximize the lift in the DGZ . . . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Its going to be a little fun though sad watching the weather people on TV scrambling to explain how there is a winter storm watch after saying its going to be an amazing weekend yesterday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Will it be puking fatties? Channel 5 says sunny and 55... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, MillvilleWx said: Yeah, if we see more dynamic runs like the NAM's just delivered @ 18z, look out. We're waiting for one of those RGEM runs with 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said: Someone is gonna be really happy on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Grothar of Herndon said: Channel 5 says sunny and 55... Wonder how they are going to explain the winter weather watch and if we get the Nam 8 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 11 minutes ago, MDRandy said: Just like last week when model consensus at this time consistently showed double digit totals up and down 95. This isn't even in the same stratosphere as the last system. Evolution and moisture transport are totally different. Upper levels are different. This will come down to rates and evap cooling of the lowest 3000' in the boundary layer. Baltimore still looks good, but areas west of I-83 need to watch for anymore NW trend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: And Euro glacierizes and fully encapsulates all the snow with single digits lows reaching n+w areas . I want cold powder then deep freeze. Eff ice. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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