yoda Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 RNK has WSW for all of its zones for 4-8 if hasn't been posted already... was issued at noon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 hours ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Just wanted to say I think the Mets who post in our forum are great. Really appreciate you guys being here. Oh yeah, one more thing. I think it keeps coming north (or stronger if you prefer). Lol You think it’ll go north? You don’t say - you’ve said it 30 times since yesterday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said: Oh..... That orange blob over my house can stay right there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 EPS anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: EPS anyone? dosent really matter anymore.....euro has trended NW slighy each of the past few runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I mentioned this the other day but honestly the NAM has been performing better for quite some time now. Then again you might just be NAMing the NAM because, well, it is, after all, the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 11 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: EPS anyone? I assume you wanted the snow map.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: I assume you wanted the snow map.. congrats man. its your winter 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: I assume you wanted the snow map.. Actually I prefer the precip maps and was just wondering how it compared to previous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Ji said: congrats man. its your winter LOL My total is 4.5"... 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Srefs juiced up i95 nw . They are money up here . Good mean low track ( slp goes over Va. Beach to off OC )...with juice Probably means 18z NAM will be a monster. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 GFS looked great. Don’t worry about clown maps / QPF, this is a MESO model storm for details through and through. Especially with all of that 700mb frontogenesis action going on. That 12z gfs setup means good snow for almost all of us. Ukie also looked good - and probably too dry versus the actual outcome of a storm that evolved in such a manner. Very exciting trends going on. Maybe my house is safe up here after all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Actually I prefer the precip maps and was just wondering how it compared to previous Looks almost identical. Slight expansion west of the heaviest precip. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, jayyy said: GFS looked great. Don’t worry about clown maps / QPF, this is a MESO model storm for details through and through. Especially with all of that 700mb frontogenesis action going on. That 12z gfs setup means good snow for almost all of us. Ukie also looked good - and probably too dry versus the actual outcome of a storm that evolved in such a manner. Very exciting trends going on. Maybe my house is safe up here after all. I think we're looking pretty good in our neck. The N/W periphery of the heaviest QPF usually has forcing from h25 impacts combined w/the frontogensis like you've seen on some of Milllville's maps. 6 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Srefs juiced up i95 nw . They are money up here . Good mean low track ( slp goes over Va. Beach to off OC )...with juice Uh oh, we love a good SREF'ing before the HH NAM comes out. Has been a precursor to some of our all time greatest NAMings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: Eps lost the eastern outliers no surprise. The mean should look almost exactly like the op at this juncture- otherwise the system is broken lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: I think we're looking pretty good in our neck. The N/W periphery of the heaviest QPF usually has forcing from h25 impacts combined w/the frontogensis like you've seen on some of Milllville's maps. Uh oh, we love a good SREF'ing before the HH NAM comes out. Has been a precursor to some of our all time greatest NAMings. I’m waiting until 12z tomorrow to decide whether or not I spend this one up here in union bridge or down at my broski’s in Howard county. Going to be an interesting balance of better temps/ratios and lower QPF with higher QPF but more marginal temps. Think we could see 10-12:1 ratios up this way tbh. Also think we actually have a better shot at that meso mauling being further north but those details will get ironed out in the next 24 hopefully. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, jayyy said: I’m waiting until 12z tomorrow to decide whether or not I spend this one up here in union bridge or down at my broski’s in Howard county. Going to be an interesting balance of better temps/ratios and lower QPF with higher QPF but more marginal temps. Think we could see 10-12:1 ratios up this way tbh. Also think we actually have a better shot at that meal mauling being further north but those details will get ironed out in the next 24 hopefully. I'd always take temps and elevation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, jayyy said: GFS looked great. Don’t worry about clown maps / QPF, this is a MESO model storm for details through and through. Especially with all of that 700mb frontogenesis action going on. That 12z gfs setup means good snow for almost all of us. Ukie also looked good - and probably too dry versus the actual outcome of a storm that evolved in such a manner. Very exciting trends going on. Maybe my house is safe up here after all. Looks good up here. The .3 qpf. extends well into PA. Our temps look good and 850's look good. Ratios here will be good and if the storm stays on the same track some models are hinting at an enhanced band through our area. Sometimes storms can have 2 maxes. Another bump or 2 north is possible too and then we get hit real good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Nam is already interacting even more pretty loaded up over N TX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Early on NAM looks, well, like it would NAM us. @yoda come give us some worthy PBP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 I hear it will come NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, losetoa6 said: There was unusual huge spread up to last night I did notice the GEFS mean is noticeably SE of the op at 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, HighStakes said: Looks good up here. The .3 qpf. extends well into PA. Our temps look good and 850's look good. Ratios here will be good and if the storm stays on the same track some models are hinting at an enhanced band through our area. Sometimes storms can have 2 maxes. Another bump or 2 north is possible too and then we get hit real good. Yup. It's entirely possible that we see a more uniform snowfall map in the end because a) northern areas have colder temps to counteract the lower precip and b) lower elevation areas have more precip to overcome the more marginal temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 18z NAM has a 1007mb SLP in S AR at 27 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Really nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 S/W certainly more amped through h30 on 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Really nice While it is stronger that northern piece is pressing a bit more and is slightly more ahead of the flow, but I think this should be a good run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Wentzadelphia said: While it is stronger that northern piece is pressing a bit more and is slightly more ahead of the flow, but I think this should be a good run I'd assume the two will level out for a similar evolution to 12z, but nice to see our s/w amping up like that while also interacting with the northern piece. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: While it is stronger that northern piece is pressing a bit more and is slightly more ahead of the flow, but I think this should be a good run I’m afraid it will squash the SS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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