Weather Will Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 NWS issued Winter storm watch out for the entire area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Boom! Winter SW issued for 5+" snow in Calvert. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: 3k pushes the mix line in a little closer. unsurprising with the MSLP in the bay. 3k looks a little anemic here on precip, but @losetoa6 @WinterWxLuvr with a 996 there, we would be getting shellacked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The last minute NW push is definitely no joke. No signs of stopping either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 somehow this was a better tracker...stronger SW and less Snow than the 12z smh 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Ji said: somehow this was a better tracker...stronger SW and less Snow than the 12z smh You just have to complain about something 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Ji said: somehow this was a better tracker...stronger SW and less Snow than the 12z smh Picking apart those details with that evolution on the NAM is a silly idea. Let the euro or gfs show that same evolution and we're getting a borderline double digit snowfall. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steve25 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Nam has temps topping out around 45 tomorrow. 38 around 1 AM when some light rain creeps in, then temps plunge as heavy precip moves in. Changes to snow and it rips from about 2-4 AM to 8-10 AM with temperatures hovering right around freezing. This is for the Baltimore area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 NAM too close for comfort with the rain/snow line. I really hope this ticks back S a little. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Ji said: somehow this was a better tracker...stronger SW and less Snow than the 12z smh You got your NW shift dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: I'd always take temps and elevation. Leaning toward staying here for sure - especially after we’ve seen a giant bump in QPF up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Has anyone checked out their zone forecast? Mine has R/S then rain high of 45 on Sunday. Interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Looks like this one is heading towards yall , the Low in Tennessee is killing us down here South of Lynchburg in Dry Fork... to much warm air... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 11 minutes ago, Ravens94 said: Yes!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 NAM nest has the sfc low much further northwest, and that's bad for southern MD snow weenies. It's still great for the I-95 corridor, but I can't help but be a little nervous about one more tick to the northwest ruining the party for more of us. 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, JakkelWx said: NAM too close for comfort with the rain/snow line. I really hope this ticks back S a little. Looks great to me. 5 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: You got your NW shift dude. This is getting worrisome. Another N shift like 18z and it's only an inch or two of slop followed by cold rain. I wouldn't even look outside in disgust. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, BristowWx said: Has anyone checked out their zone forecast? Mine has R/S then rain high of 45 on Sunday. Interesting The watch was just issued, but yes the point forecasts still look like the wording from a little earlier. Maybe not caught up yet on the actual forecast wording update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, high risk said: NAM nest has the sfc low much further northwest, and that's bad for southern MD snow weenies. It's still great for the I-95 corridor, but I can't help but be a little nervous about one more tick to the northwest ruining the party for more of us. I just saw that...what a travesty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Always in Zugzwang said: The watch was just issued, but yes the point forecasts still look like the wording from a little earlier. Maybe not caught up yet on the actual forecast wording update. Ah...that must be it because it’s awful for most everyone as written even up to JYO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, JakkelWx said: NAM too close for comfort with the rain/snow line. I really hope this ticks back S a little. Mount Holly usually always plays these systems correctly. If you have been reading their AFDs, they have been downplaying the chances for significant snow SE of I-95 due to temps, timing, and likely NW shifts. They have had snow to rain here since early yesterday, when no model was showing that, and still do. I said earlier today 2-4 seems about right. Mount Holly has 1-3 here currently. We shall see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDRandy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 One more tick NW - probably tonight or tomorrow - and the 95 corridor is just a rain/snow mix. This looks like a 81 corridor special 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NattyBo Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 They’re brining roads in Rockville right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JakkelWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, CAPE said: I said earlier today 2-4 seems about right. Mount Holly has 1-3 here currently. We shall see! 2-4 here is absolutely perfect and the fact that we have potentially storm after storm after this one eases my woes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 All these cliff divers and we are 24 hours out and just all got NAM’d. I feel good. Where’s Ron Paul? #Itshappening 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, JakkelWx said: 2-4 here is absolutely perfect and the fact that we have potentially storm after storm after this one eases my woes This thing literally came out of nowhere, and I have kept my expectations low because there really is nothing to keep it from tracking too close if the more amped solutions verify. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, MDRandy said: One more tick NW - probably tonight or tomorrow - and the 95 corridor is just a rain/snow mix. This looks like a 81 corridor special Of course you never can be certain and the favored climo areas usually do better, but I like where the 95 corridor sits for this one. We're about 36 hours from game time and most global models and mesos target our area or just SE with the heaviest stripe, with a little wiggle room for a late NW shift. Plus, this almost feels like a bonus event after 2 fifty degree days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 LMAO talk about razor's edge.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, CAPE said: LMAO talk about razor's edge.. The 3k sim radar is a complete destruction for those that stay in the cold sector. 3"/hr rates up 95 from NVA to NYC. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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