NorthArlington101 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, The Ole Bucket said: I would take a colder but slightly less juicy solution over playing the knife-edge game... which we always lose. Although actually.. there was one win I can recall. December 9-10 2018. That was a tremendous storm for CHO. 2018 lol, I should bring the bingo card back out. NAM solutions have us with a solid thump and than teetering on the edge of sleet. I'll take that risk. Sleet in CHO is usually good news for everyone else, anyways. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: LWX is on board! Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Sunday Mostly sunny, with a high near 47. Why do people around here still go to that embarrassment of an NWS website and these random talking heads on the local news when you have access to the latest info here? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I never trust "teetering on the edge of sleet." That screams cold rain to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, The Ole Bucket said: I never trust "teetering on the edge of sleet." That screams cold rain to me. I'm not sure if you have made your point clear or not... please state it again for us 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Why do people around here still go to that embarrassment of an NWS website and these random talking heads on the local news when you have access to the latest info here? Because 99% of people get wx info from phone apps that have no human input or those random talking heads. And when those things are wrong, it just feeds the never ending narrative of “THEY are never right”. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, The Ole Bucket said: I never trust "teetering on the edge of sleet." That screams cold rain to me. I’m starting to think you are skeptical of this one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Why do people around here still go to that embarrassment of an NWS website and these random talking heads on the local news when you have access to the latest info here? Gwen Tolbert on Fox is my go to and has been for 20 years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Looks like we hit around 40 or low 40s (in and around DC area, at least) Sunday afternoon after the precip ends, then it cools off quickly beginning in the evening into the mid-20s by middle of the night (for what that's worth out at 84h range). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Why do people around here still go to that embarrassment of an NWS website and these random talking heads on the local news when you have access to the latest info here? I'm not sure if you are aware, but, we just recently release a well thought out and user-friendly brand-spanking-new radar website... 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 19 minutes ago, high risk said: Yeah, this morning's AFD from LWX is NOT aging well..... It’s aging about as well as this 1990 CSN album cover. Additionally in the afternoon update, the forecast indicates a 20 percent chance of snow. In the AFD, they also day all terminals can expect ifr conditions in wintry weather sat night and Sunday. Which one is it? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Always in Zugzwang said: Looks like we hit around 40 or low 40s (in and around DC area, at least) Sunday afternoon after the precip ends, then it cools off quickly beginning in the evening into the mid-20s by middle of the night (for what that's worth out at 84h range). Sounds like a recipe for some nasty ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, jaydreb said: I’m starting to think you are skeptical of this one. Does not want to eat his hat! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, losetoa6 said: Keep it there till 12 hours before for one final 30 mile bump nw I'd lock that in and take 6-8 in a heartbeat, condolences to SE folks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Ole Bucket Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Grothar of Herndon said: Does not want to eat his hat! I would be happy to eat it if it means I got a foot of non-digital snow! Kids are literally on the deck right now enjoying the last remnants of Sunday. Nothing brings a bigger smile to my face. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 All imma say is this...we doubted the NAM when it the past storm started to fall apart....and it was right. We believed in the RGEM. I'm inclined to take the NAM seriously. Obviously we're not getting. a foot, but... 15 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: All imma say is this...we doubted the NAM when it the past storm started to fall apart....and it was right. We believed in the RGEM. I'm inclined to take the NAM seriously. Obviously we're not getting. a foot, but... NAM torched DC first in December as well... it really has been pretty decent this year in sniffing out trends. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 14 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Gwen Tolbert on Fox is my go to and has been for 20 years Oh man, this is triggering. Everybody who knows me trolls me with her because she makes my head explode. I have thrown things at the TV before. 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 NAM is a good model even beyond 48 hours to show you how features may be evolving. Not to be taken verbatim with small details such as exact QPF, but it tends to do well and helps forecasters with trends. 3 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Icon still looks on board..probaby better than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, Baltimorewx said: Icon still looks on board..probaby better than 12z The icon is the new king if this storm happens, has barely wavered at alll 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Very respectable. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Seriously, what is going on here? We have more model agreement with this event than we did with the one last Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 RGEM with a big step towards NAM, though still too far off the coast and weak to get to something more like the NAM. But it's right trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 ICON is notably colder Sunday afternoon compared to the NAM as well... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueberryfaygo Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 37 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Why do people around here still go to that embarrassment of an NWS website and these random talking heads on the local news when you have access to the latest info here? Why is the new Radar so bad. It looks like it could offer so many cool features.. but it is so slow.. you basically quit after the first or second click. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 25 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Keep it there till 12 hours before for one final 30 mile bump nw I’m actually in the 15” range here. It can’t stay exactly as shown. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, blueberryfaygo said: Why is the new Radar so bad. It looks like it could offer so many cool features.. but it is so slow.. you basically quit after the first or second click. I just use weathertap for larger regions and RadarScope for the zoomed in. This was the first time I used RadarScope during a storm and it was amazing. It circles your exact location. Only a $10 one time fee not bad good icon run let’s hope gfs continues! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
catoctin wx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 31 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: Keep it there till 12 hours before for one final 30 mile bump nw Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 RGEM actually does get snow into the metro area and MD. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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