weathafella Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Never fukking mind.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: I'm going to have to respectfully agree with this............. I don't think many of us gave up on it yesterday. Going on a hunch but feeling like this is a benchmark storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nice dryslot for eastern areas I hope is snows good before the slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 12 minutes ago, CT Rain said: With a MAUL above and below. We take. What exactly is a MAUL? Thanks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Id take the RPM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, MarkO said: I don't think many of us gave up on it yesterday. Going on a hunch but feeling like this is a benchmark storm. It could be anything seeing it was 400 miles east 12hrs ago, It would not surprise me if this comes more west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Nice dryslot for eastern areas Frame before this ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 What's the NAM & RPM rule again?!?! (joking) But admittedly it could probably be "Never trust either" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Id take the RPM. I would too to some swanky roadside motel by the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: I hope is snows good before the slot. Looks more like an Eastern CT, RI to Southeastern MA dry slot verbatim on that RPM model. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, dryslot said: It could be anything seeing it was 400 miles east 12hrs ago, It would not surprise me if this comes more west. Yeah we get the northern stream to lift out and the southern vort is actually a beast.....wagons west. Wonder if we see the southern vort trend stronger in guidance? The trend this season has been to under model the strength of vorts as they approach the east coast; even shredding them at times.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 If the RPM verifies, I'm not logging on again for a year. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: If the RPM verifies, I'm not logging on again for a year. Good thump prior! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Yeah we get the northern stream to lift out and the southern vort is actually a beast.....wagons west. Wonder if we see the southern vort trend stronger in guidance? The trend this season has been to under model the strength of vorts as they approach the east coast; even shredding them at times.. That's what i was saying too, That southern stream looks beastly and looks to become the main player, Its should be getting sampled now too hence the changes, So moving the n/s more north gives this more room to gain lat and tuck closer, Its something to keep an eye on for sure to see how it plays out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Yeah we get the northern stream to lift out and the southern vort is actually a beast.....wagons west. Wonder if we see the southern vort trend stronger in guidance? The trend this season has been to under model the strength of vorts as they approach the east coast; even shredding them at times.. I feel like given the nature of where this is coming from and how guidance doesn't handle these well when you have meridional flow, blocking etc..these are the trends to expect. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Your Twitter fans are gonna kill you lol lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 6 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: If the RPM verifies, I'm not logging on again for a year. The airmass is better than this last POS event... so there would be a good amount of snow prior... but still, I get your point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 35 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: They ain't gonna phase. Not in this type of pattern. That's my uneducated opinion. Potential vorticity anomalies are typically changed through advection, and right now advection of the two features is parallel so they don't really have a chance to interact. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 7 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: If the RPM verifies, I'm not logging on again for a year. If the RPM verifies, the mods better put me on a 5PPD until May 1. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: What exactly is a MAUL? Thanks... Moist Absolute Instability 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 RGEM is still mostly a whiff....clips the Cape and south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Good thump prior! All set with the prospect of thumps. The last storm's was of the drop-the-soap in prison variety. I'm not too worried yet. Most respectable models are still a bit SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Moist Absolute Instability Moist Absolute Unstable Layer to be exact for the acronym letters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 12 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Id take the RPM. Wait an hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 ICON coming in a bit more amped again, though maybe not quite to the level of 06z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 28 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Still behind old man. Keep up with the discussion. Save the PBP for Sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 This is happening imho 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I don’t recall the RPM ever being right. It may have been right prior to Nemo is 13, but that’s it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I don’t recall the RPM ever being right. It may have been right prior to Nemo is 13, but that’s it It’s ok within 24-30 hours but this is pretty far outside it’s wheelhouse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Big month AWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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