ScottieBird Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 And they gave Jimmy more snow! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 51 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: BOX cut back a little... A LITTLE!?!? 8-12 to 4-6!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Radar down south looks very good and snow is farther west than even NAM had 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Radar down south looks very good and snow is farther west than even NAM had Big battle between NAMs and globals . Now caster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Big battle between NAMs and globals . Now caster Ryan’s most reliable go to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ryan’s most reliable go to Href HRRR Nam qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Rapid Refresh 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 The HRRR is so broken. Used to be useful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 6z Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 We downgrade 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 06z Euro tickled SE. First one I checked this morning was the 06z NAM and I went “holy shit, are we going to get crushed?”...then checked the rest of the guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: We downgrade Cue the people disagreeing with you in 3...2.... 1.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Win some, lose some. Will be nice to refresh the pack a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 And it looks like we cancelled for vapors. Snow after noon 1-3 inches. Figures. Time to retire. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, J Paul Gordon said: And it looks like we cancelled for vapors. Snow after noon 1-3 inches. Figures. Time to retire. Congrats on a 15" snowpack after this. Terrible, I know. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1-3, 2-4 here. Boundary layer toasted. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 53 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Radar down south looks very good and snow is farther west than even NAM had That's actually true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, kdxken said: That's actually true. It looks very robust. Everything looks on track . Href/ NAm like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Congrats on a 15" snowpack after this. Terrible, I know. Its the people who miss out on something important to them that matters, not the damn snow. Emotionally, I could care less about the forecast fail or the amount of snow on the ground. Its fun when it works out and just fine when it doesn't. But like elections, forecasts have consequences. Not blaming anyone (God, mets, luck, whatever). BTW, drive on up and take a ride around beautiful Worcester County next week. We should still have plenty left on the ground if you don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said: Another dud Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: Its the people who miss out on something important to them that matters, not the damn snow. Emotionally, I could care less about the forecast fail or the amount of snow on the ground. Its fun when it works out and just fine when it doesn't. But like elections, forecasts have consequences. Not blaming anyone (God, mets, luck, whatever). BTW, drive on up and take a ride around beautiful Worcester County next week. We should still have plenty left on the ground if you don't. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It looks very robust. Everything looks on track . Href/ NAm like Models all show this, but then shunt it east. HREF mean usually too amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Still hoping for 4-6, but I feel like QPF wasted to cool a bit. Maybe down by TAN they'll get it good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It looks very robust. Everything looks on track . Href/ NAm like If I were denied access to models and had to judge purely by radar presentation, I'd think we were going to catch a good smack. Looks really good down in southern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, SnowEMass said: Another dud We’re onto Tuesday here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Models all show this, but then shunt it east. HREF mean usually too amped. You thinking 3-5”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, Hoth said: If I were denied access to models and had to judge purely by radar presentation, I'd think we were going to catch a good smack. Looks really good down in southern NJ. Yeah that’s what it looks like . Other than HRRR hi res stuff is catching it. We’ll see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Still hoping for 4-6, but I feel like QPF wasted to cool a bit. Maybe down by TAN they'll get it good. Tblizz whining his way to 6-8”? The thing to watch is to see if perhaps the shortwave doesn’t decay quite as quick as model guidance shows...and we end up with some huge bands getting into the southeast half of SNE like the NAM showed. I think the odds are definitely against that but it can’t be ruled out. There’s going to be some pretty potent bands that are tantalizingly close and it not impossible they inch a little further NW. I haven’t really seen any notable trend on the HRRR other than the 09z run was really paltry, 10z came back to look kind of like most models and 11z didn’t move much from 10z though it looked a little better inland. I’ve been waiting to see if it makes a move....same with RAP. RAP looks a lot better than HRRR but haven’t seen it move much in the last few hours. One of them will be wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Still hoping for 4-6, but I feel like QPF wasted to cool a bit. Maybe down by TAN they'll get it good. No solid high Takes a small miracle (it seems last few years) for your area to be all snow w decent ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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