CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 35 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Ageostrophic component is more favorable. Easier wetbulbing near sfc than the last disaster straight off the water for hours. I could see the early stages of this one freaking people out though. Winds go north quickly. But I know some will fret. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I love the 3k run, but I'm still a bit wary of surface temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Lop 25-33% from those NAM clowns is my general rule. Still a nice event for the south. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Fozz said: I love the 3k run, but I'm still a bit wary of surface temps. You’ll be fine there for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You’ll be fine there for sure. You see the RAP? Lol 6 to 8 otg with 2 per hour ongoing, massive ccb 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, Fozz said: I love the 3k run, but I'm still a bit wary of surface temps. Dew the dew and dew the wetbulb 30/19 here and fallin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Lop 25-33% from those NAM clowns is my general rule. Still a nice event for the south. Enjoy! NAM nailed Dec and Feb1 in my hood qpf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Dew the dew and dew the wetbulb 30/19 here and fallin Everyone on this forum owns a sling psychrometer, right? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Reggie is no better than 18z, only about .20 precip back this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, CT Valley Snowman said: Reggie is no better than 18z, only about .20 precip back this way. Tossed. Reggie's blown since '15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Icon ticked NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I see this storm is requiring a bit technical crunching to predict beyond simple model output. With that in mind what totals do you think that means for the Tolland/JC/Myself land? Think we can clear 8?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Icon ticked NW Widespread light snow, heavy at times though in S/SE New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: NAM nailed Dec and Feb1 in my hood qpf Ya. Qpf good. Clown maps. Naso much. Enjoy this event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: I see this storm is requiring a bit technical crunching to predict beyond simple model output. With that in mind what totals do you think that means for the Tolland/JC/Myself land? Think we can clear 8?! It's conceivable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Hate these cancel/no cancel storms on a Sunday. I cancelled for tomorrow. Let's hope I'm not regretting it when less than an inch falls before 2 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 0z Rpm looking weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, BostonWX said: 0z Rpm looking weak That doesn’t look good at all and is so inconsistent with NAM and RAP. A lot of disagreement for inside 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, BostonWX said: 0z Rpm looking weak Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 When does BOX update their snowfall maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 RPM looks fine to me. 2-4” would be the biggest storm here since 12/17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB_Wchstr Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: That doesn’t look good at all and is so inconsistent with NAM and RAP. A lot of disagreement for inside 24 hours Just like the last one. What’s going on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I would think totals would be a bit higher than it's outputting. Rpm seems aggressive on mild BL temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Here comes the GFS. Fingers crossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I would think totals would be a bit higher than it's outputting. Rpm seems aggressive on mild BL temps.Seems the BL is going to be a bigger issue than most anticipated. I guess when this was modeled stronger and a bit further north, we had the dynamics to overcome it easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 GFS might be a hair SE of 18z. Pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Gfs looks se of 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Looks pretty much the same to me. Noise? Or shall I say Noyes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Wasn't expecting that much of a cut back on GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, weathafella said: Looks pretty much the same to me. Noise? Or shall I say Noyes? It shows inch and a half here. But the big long GFS is lousy short term ain’t it This is going south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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