USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: You may start as a mix, but should go over to snow fairly quickly. It’s cold aloft. RAP and HRRR are trending towards a faster amplification of the southern stream disturbance as it reaches ACK's latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah I’m not sure about WSW to the NH border. Agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Maybe amplifying is a better term to use, Deepening shortwave! Ya phasing is a bad term for what you’re trying to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 1:28 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: First call......thinking I need to tighten up the gradient on the northwest side. Definitely think I need to tighten the NW gradient. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Phase right into the gulf stream. “The Phase Awakening”....Revenge of the Gulf Stream and mankind’s end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, kdxken said: I'm guessing you're right. Think I'll fire up the snowblower anyway I have a long driveway. My threshold seems to be around 5” on this driveway. I’ll hand shovel if it’s less than that but once higher I don’t want to deal with it. Smaller driveway, sure...but this horseshoe driveway gets long quickly when your moving 6”+ by hand. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Definitely think I need to tighten the NW gradient. I’d recommend keeping as is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: RAP and HRRR are trending towards a faster amplification of the southern stream disturbance as it reaches ACK's latitude. I get a smile on my face just because your excited to finally get to see some snow. Hope it works out for you and is an over achiever! 7 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 The 0z HRRR seems oddly warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The 0z HRRR seems oddly warm It seems oddly south too. Is it even reliable 25 plus hours out? Like it gives us nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 hours ago, JoeSnowBOS said: This has bust written all over it for areas they expanded the warning to (Boston/NW). I don’t even know why when most models show advisory snows at best for Boston. It’s like who is calling the shots with 6-8 and even 8-12 right in SW burbs. Insane and expect complete bustorama Here we go again waaaaaaaa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: It seems oddly south too. Is it even reliable 25 plus hours out? Like it gives us nothing I would still trust the 3K Nam more than the extended range HRRR, though it's getting better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 hrrr is a snoozer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 00z NAM looks a tick NW through 9 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 00z NAM looks a tick NW through 9 hours. This is what I trust and want to trust more. I love the NAM inside 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: hrrr is a snoozer That thing is whacky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 The 0z HRRR seems oddly warmI’m not sure why people are surprised by the “warmth.” Some others were commenting on it earlier. The high was 44 here today. Still 35 as of 9pm. Not exactly an arctic ancedant airmass. For SE areas, I think outside of heavier banding, we’re going to struggle to accumulate. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, WinterWolf said: That thing is whacky. yeah, never know what your going to get with that HRRR.. I think someone said it would replace the NAM someday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Nice southern shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 yeah, NAM should come NW, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, kdxken said: Just to get the dude from Dorchester going .................................. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Nice curl to the s/w at 18hr. Should bump banding north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: Nice curl to the s/w at 18hr. Should bump banding north Bob, that is what I meant by phase, since I saw the H5 heights fall with the shortwave I thought there had to be a phase, but the shortwave was amplifying itself due to the negative tilt. That happened sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Not a huge shift but just enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Nice run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 00z NAM is a hair slower with the amplifying southern shortwave trough. Oh and the 21z SREFs have joined the consensus a South Coast and South Shore jackpot zone with 8-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 9 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: This is what I trust and want to trust more. I love the NAM inside 36 Love the NAM, or love what it's known to often show? It's well known for it's theatrics 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 That brought near WSW to BOS. I do think some qpf is used to wet bulb down in areas. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 A bit better... mostly noise 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: That brought near WSW to BOS. I do think some qpf is used to wet bulb down in areas. Like on the cape? It’s down to 34F here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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