TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 25 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Wiz, Kev, this storm is quite impressive down south. Numerous lightning clusters throughout the eastern Florida waters, over Florida and along the central and northern Gulf coast. Also the southern stream system is quite dynamic producing its own convection and lightning. Also, the system is being aided by two areas of vorticity merging. Our surface low is very broad with surface pressures in a large area of 1008-1010mb. A strong storm and big snow are not mutually exclusive here. The storm can be as strong as it wants, but if it’s not close enough, it’s not going to matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 It's funny, usually with these strong southern stream systems I'm much more worried about the low coming in tucked at the last minute like March '17. Here with the fast flow and block it's the opposite. May be some surprises in either direction. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I'm going to hazard an overproducer vs. under here in Worcester. Just a feeling that slightly better QPF and 15:1 ratios will help us. Maybe a bit like the proverbial Dec 29, 2012 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kbosch Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: We tried to tell him Tell 'em all again how the banding will set up NW per usual and it'll all end up AWT yesterday. They need the boost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Final Call: https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2021/02/super-bowl-sunday-snow-final-call.html 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 going with 3-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 31 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: More or less my thoughts. The big problem is that with the parallel band is that underneath it will be great, but if you move it 25-50 miles your forecast looks pretty bad in two locations (where you thought the band would be, and where it moved to). Geology really screwed us on that one. That and the Green Mountains stealing all NH's upslope. Yeah ...I don't know- do y'all have protocols for this sort of lateral banded routine ? I give them a pass on this because the ability to see exactly where the axis aligns is outside of the purview of the technology. It seems to me the band, albeit more likely southern CT to SE zones down here cannot be ruled out as ending up NW by 30 clicks then suddenly ORH-BED is unprepared - I think this is just one of those unsavory situations where hands are cuffed to responsibility, to keep the public aware, while not having the best of confidence in the what/why, discretely. Not that anyone asked but this looks like a moderate impactor ceiling to me, primary SE but I wouldn't bet the farm either. The NAM comes back at 00z with .8" at logan, suddenly ORH-BED are getting 6" in 3 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I’m on the 4-8 train. MAV muthufukkas good! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 State of my pack prior to storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: State of my pack prior to storm. My guess is 8-10" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IowaStorm05 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 12 minutes ago, J Paul Gordon said: I'm going to hazard an overproducer vs. under here in Worcester. Just a feeling that slightly better QPF and 15:1 ratios will help us. Maybe a bit like the proverbial Dec 29, 2012 event. In general, as long as you’re close enough to the storm this is because of land elevated lower temps and even orographic support? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My guess is 8-10" here. Congrats Metheun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 45 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Love where you sit on this one Ginxy. Fronto band all the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4-8" is fine. I think 8" is a reasonable ceiling. Maybe a spot 9 or 10 where the best band sets up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Yeah, that 3" of cement has pretty much melted here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: My guess is 8-10" here. Not a pack season here. Even after the 9-1/2” in December, it settled to 6” or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: 4-8" is fine. I think 8" is a reasonable ceiling. Maybe a spot 9 or 10 where the best band sets up We await the 00z runs and than it’s nowcast time. You look good for 6” from what I see. Gonna have to watch where the bands set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 This may be a time where ORH isn’t juuuuussssttt far enough in one direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Speaking of muthufukkas, they’re good for most in MA outside of the far NW. eg: BED/LWM with 6 as is HighAnus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: This may be a time where ORH isn’t juuuuussssttt far enough in one direction. They’re getting 6 I bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: They’re getting 6 I bet. TFlizz in deep doo doo. And I think knows it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 47 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: how much did TAN get last week Fire up a nowcast/obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 21z RAP much more bullish than 15z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 22 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: State of my pack prior to storm. Man pack here...taken this afternoon 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Thinking 2-3" here tops. Happy it's a Sunday and we can watch it snow. Thinking that area around Ginx and @MBRI for the jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Man pack here...taken this afternoon Nice. We were up in Dover/Natick today and there was a solid 12” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Fire up a nowcast/obs thread. QPF is barely up to Delmarva now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 22 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said: In general, as long as you’re close enough to the storm this is because of land elevated lower temps and even orographic support? All of the above--as long as the storm is close enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, PowderBeard said: Thinking 2-3" here tops. Happy it's a Sunday and we can watch it snow. Thinking that area around Ginx and @MBRI for the jack. come on down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 12 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Nice. We were up in Dover/Natick today and there was a solid 12” Still have Christmas lights up? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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