CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Actually that has a large cross hairs sig if I play around. Love for many. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 991 near the bm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: Actually that has a large cross hairs sig if I play around. Love for many. Producing quite a bit of convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 It's almost like the computers like to toy with our emotions, every storm needs to have some drama added. Good to see this one come back NW, again.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Now if we can only get some agreement from others...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Producing quite a bit of convection. Steep lapse rates too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Smoked here 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3k looks better too, widespread 6-10 with a foot plus out towards SE Mass on the 12k 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Scooter slammer on the 3k. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: 3k looks better too, widespread 6-10 with a foot plus out towards SE Mass on the 12k I'd slash that by a 1/3. Quick moving NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Might have to watch the H7 WF with those lapse rates. Not really a slot either with this. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Steep lapse rates too. It even produces convective precip in the snow shield. But definitely think some of the NAM swings are due to orientation of all that convective QPF along the cold front. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Some general obs/rule of thumbs that argue against a weak system and for a bigger event. Today is a beaut by mid winter standards...(seriously get outside). Great weather days often immediately precede strong storms... Sound of snow melt, at 9:00 am doesn’t exactly fit with the progressive/suppressed SE solutions... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Coast will waste a little QPF wetbulbing so shave off a tad for that. Temps will be 34-35 when snow starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, jbenedet said: Some general obs/rule of thumbs that argue against a weak system and for a bigger event. Today is a beaut by mid winter standards...(seriously get outside). Great weather days often immediately precede strong storms... Sound of snow melt, at 9:00 am doesn’t exactly fit with the progressive/suppressed OTS solutions... Passed down from Mark Twain? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: It's almost like the computers like to toy with our emotions, every storm needs to have some drama added. Good to see this one come back NW, again.... 4-8” will just about cover all basis with some 10-12” jackes in sema. Nice refresher for sne and sb appetizer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 HRRR is like 2-4". LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Are the BOX maps worth looking at? Seems like a rather broad area of 6"+ snows with a more in the interior o SE Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Coast will waste a little QPF wetbulbing so shave off a tad for that. Temps will be 34-35 when snow starts. Looks fine for the duration here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR is like 2-4". LOL. So much for the hope for agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looks fine for the duration here It will be above 32 when it starts there. But chilly aloft so should cool quick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR is like 2-4". LOL. Tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR is like 2-4". LOL. HRRR is shorting this event. Hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HinghamBoss Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Am I imagining it, or was HRRR the one to sniff out the quick change to rain in the last storm that some of us shrugged off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: HRRR is like 2-4". LOL. Who cares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Who cares Mets do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 9 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 4-8” will just about cover all basis with some 10-12” jackes in sema. Nice refresher for sne and sb appetizer. yup, looks good...we have lost roughly 6 inches to melting here so far, so it will be a great refresher. Then tack on more next week, then it looks like it all freezes solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Napeuary sun already doing its dirty work on exposed areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Spanks45 said: yup, looks good...we have lost roughly 6 inches to melting here so far, so it will be a great refresher. Then tack on more next week, then it looks like it all freezes solid im down to like 3 LOL. Death valley Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: im down to like 3 LOL. Death valley It is an interesting snow retention study here, afternoons are warmer with a property that is direct south facing. hit 41 the past 2 days. But we radiate like crazy at night, mid teens the past 3 nights. The other side of our house gets very little sunshine, so very little has melted. already 35° here, it is going to be an amazing day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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