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Quick Hitter Coastal Threat, Feb 7-8th


The 4 Seasons
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1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

It's straight model blend from IBM. They don't even touch it. 

I feel like they got on the blended approach early, and most days are going to rack up wins because of it. They'll still have their clunkers if they aren't massaging it with human hands though.

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Just now, OceanStWx said:

I feel like they got on the blended approach early, and most days are going to rack up wins because of it. They'll still have their clunkers if they aren't massaging it with human hands though.

Yeah and they have figured out bias correction quite well.

Their verification scores are pretty remarkable - I believe they're beating NWS for most variables and all times too. Going to have issues with highly anomalous or high impact events though which is where humans add value... otherwise humans FTL.

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I wonder though - does that IBM source work the same magic predicting for truly anomalous set ups...

I can see/wonder them using some exquisite mathematics with higher blended 'machine intelligence' with their regression testing, but those statistical weightings may not be so hot when there isn't really an event(s) in the past that have bigger sample sizes.  Just a thought - ...

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