SouthCoastMA Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 SEMA is in a good spot with the 12zEuro. Provides some wiggle room to nudge a bit NW, which I expect. EPS looks good too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Looks good boys. Great start to the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 7:35 PM, SouthCoastMA said: SEMA is in a good spot with the 12zEuro. Provides some wiggle room to nudge a bit NW, which I expect. EPS looks good too. Expand I don't really think its coming much further NW, if at all. You guys are good IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Hmm...TWC text summary is now going 5-8” here. They nailed last storm when they showed nada for here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 7:48 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I don't really think its coming much further NW, if at all. You guys are good IMO. Expand It is 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:00 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Hmm...TWC text summary is now going 5-8” here. They nailed last storm when they showed nada for here. Expand I do think their forecasts in general verify well from what I've seen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:02 PM, OceanStWx said: I do think their forecasts in general verify well from what I've seen. Expand Yeah.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:02 PM, OceanStWx said: I do think their forecasts in general verify well from what I've seen. Expand Seems like they have regrouped somewhat, after losing their way for a decade or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Northern stream is fighting it a bit on the 18z NAM but southern stream is going wild, so it might overcome it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:00 PM, NorEastermass128 said: Hmm...TWC text summary is now going 5-8” here. They nailed last storm when they showed nada for here. Expand Their video shows 1-3" for Boston and surrounding areas, 3-5" on cape and NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:01 PM, Damage In Tolland said: It is Expand Looks like the NAM heard you, from what I hear.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Watch it pull an RPM this run. Def looks more amped to start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 “Progressive progressive progressive “ I mean, even if you want to leverage the hell out of that point, the PNA ridge axis is off the west coast...This disturbance has A LOT of longitude to pump UL heights... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:04 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Seems like they have regrouped somewhat, after losing their way for a decade or two. Expand It's straight model blend from IBM. They don't even touch it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:07 PM, SouthCoastMA said: Watch it pull an RPM this run. Def looks more amped to start Expand The tense tone in your posts is palpable...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:07 PM, CT Rain said: It's straight model blend from IBM. They don't even touch it. Expand I mean in general...I was impressed with their Laura coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:07 PM, jbenedet said: “Progressive progressive progressive “ I mean, even if you want to leverage the hell out of that point, the PNA ridge axis is off the west coast...This disturbance has A LOT of longitude to pump UL heights... Expand More than Dec 17 did? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:07 PM, CT Rain said: It's straight model blend from IBM. They don't even touch it. Expand I feel like they got on the blended approach early, and most days are going to rack up wins because of it. They'll still have their clunkers if they aren't massaging it with human hands though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:05 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like the NAM heard you, from what I hear.... Expand This ends up 6+ to ALB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:09 PM, OceanStWx said: I feel like they got on the blended approach early, and most days are going to rack up wins because of it. They'll still have their clunkers if they aren't massaging it with human hands though. Expand Yeah and they have figured out bias correction quite well. Their verification scores are pretty remarkable - I believe they're beating NWS for most variables and all times too. Going to have issues with highly anomalous or high impact events though which is where humans add value... otherwise humans FTL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 SV way behind with the 18z Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Yea, Harwich, MA, we have a problem. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Almost rain to LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:15 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Almost rain to LI. Expand Rain likely kissing ACK at hour 48, huge warm front from 925-700mb just south of the Islands at hour 48, very tight thermal packing and gradient, likely intense lift and heavy snow band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I wonder though - does that IBM source work the same magic predicting for truly anomalous set ups... I can see/wonder them using some exquisite mathematics with higher blended 'machine intelligence' with their regression testing, but those statistical weightings may not be so hot when there isn't really an event(s) in the past that have bigger sample sizes. Just a thought - ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Boston may get deformed. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 7:08 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Not done trending. EPS unanimous in NW bend . Take em up. All of em’. Expand 979 over the Bowel Movement would be nice. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Classic snowstorm track. And MAUL is back 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 8:18 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: 979 over the Bowel Movement would be nice. Expand Over Methuen - really ...that far NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Oh boy. Boston buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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