Baroclinic Zone Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 There is only so far this can "come west" Things are pretty well sampled right now and the goal posts have narrowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah we may perfect bait. winter wolf, heads up 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Dendy is so close to a full on melt... he will deny it, but it is palpable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 43 minutes ago, dryslot said: That's enough to piss off the pope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 43 minutes ago, dryslot said: Can't stop laughing at this PERFECT !!! Pope slaps down the Rev ! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: There is only so far this can "come west" Things are pretty well sampled right now and the goal posts have narrowed. The flow is really fast and there is a stout NAO block up in Davis Strait/Baffin island area....there's not much room to come west. I'm considering it fortunate if it is far enough NW to hit SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Dendy is so close to a full on melt... he will deny it, but it is palpable lol...I’m honestly not. I have like 3” this morning and I don’t want to clear it...sick of it. Like I said before...go big or go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Cmc crush job as expected with rgem being good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: The flow is really fast and there is a stout NAO block up in Davis Strait/Baffin island area....there's not much room to come west. I'm considering it fortunate if it is far enough NW to hit SNE. I think we owe that to how strong the shortwave is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: There is only so far this can "come west" Things are pretty well sampled right now and the goal posts have narrowed. That's what I was just pondering..how much more could it trend with the current setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I think a closer in hugger is on the table. We’re seeing a few signals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Dendy is so close to a full on melt... he will deny it, but it is palpable It honestly kinda seems like somewhere around ORH is a better spot for snow than parts of CNE. There are frequent precip holes in that part of NH. I am newb to this area so maybe long term the story is different, just my observation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 This may be one of those 12-18 hour foot powder bombs we sometimes see interior SNE Amazing runs so far 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: This may be one of those 12-18 hour foot powder bombs we sometimes see interior SNE Amazing runs so far 10 maybe 12 hour maximum on this. In and it quick. It should be starry it by halftime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 58 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This thing is outta here fast. What is that PD2? I meant Feb 7-8 2003. The mini nuke that dropped 18" of SE MA but was a general 5-10 for most of SNE. We had some crazy rates and thundersnow that storm. I believe it was mentioned here by Will yesterday. Buy yea Feb 7-8 2003 was the analog showing up. I think this is PD2. Yes mentoring MY FAVORITE STORM Ever!!!!! The ONLY Time I saw 4” per hour unlike all you lucky weenie people that take it for granted and get it every tom dick and harry Storm. 4” per hour for 2 hours and no wind so you could truly see what it looks like. Just pure Heaven. Got 14”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, PhineasC said: It honestly kinda seems like somewhere around ORH is a better spot for snow than parts of CNE. There are frequent precip holes in that part of NH. I am newb to this area so maybe long term the story is different, just my observation. ORH is prob better than CON by a couple ticks, but I think where dendrite is does better than ORH by a few ticks and his area up there is also better for retention. That is that start of big time CAD land. ORH is a good spot for retention overall but not as good as getting up north of CON. ORH is sort of where the CAD starts in earnest in a lot of messier events, but it hits a new tier when you get north of CON and then it goes into nuclear bunker mode once into W ME. If you like monster 18"+ synoptic storms, then ORH is one of the best spots due to the elevation and proximity to the ocean. There is really no terrain that screws with it during ocean storms....easterly flow or northerly or northeasterly flow are all going to work there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 59 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: This thing is outta here fast. What is that PD2? I meant Feb 7-8 2003. The mini nuke that dropped 18" of SE MA but was a general 5-10 for most of SNE. We had some crazy rates and thundersnow that storm. I believe it was mentioned here by Will yesterday. Buy yea Feb 7-8 2003 was the analog showing up. I think this is PD2. My mistake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Any similarity to that super fast one we had in '17? Sucker was in and out in about 8 hours and put down over a foot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Hoth said: Any similarity to that super fast one we had in '17? Sucker was in and out in about 8 hours and put down over a foot. Yes there are a few similarities to that one....but it's not as robust of a shortwave and the orientations will be more NE to SW rather than the bands tilting more vertical in that 2/9/17 event. Both occurred in a very fast flow environment and assuming the modeling is correct on this one, both have excellent ML fronto features. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PineHillsWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Driving back to Plymouth from Dennisport Sunday morning, can someone tell me what is the approximate start time would be? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 hour ago, The 4 Seasons said: This thing is outta here fast. What is that PD2? I meant Feb 7-8 2003. The mini nuke that dropped 18" of SE MA but was a general 5-10 for most of SNE. We had some crazy rates and thundersnow that storm. I believe it was mentioned here by Will yesterday. Buy yea Feb 7-8 2003 was the analog showing up. I think this is PD2. PD2 was PD 2003. I think it was around 2/17. 2/7/03 was separate and we had good snow otg by PD2 because it was pretty cold in that interval Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I don’t think this is going to cut across se mass or anything. I think there is room for more west movement but not that much more... that would be pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, PhineasC said: It honestly kinda seems like somewhere around ORH is a better spot for snow than parts of CNE. There are frequent precip holes in that part of NH. I am newb to this area so maybe long term the story is different, just my observation. They’re on a roll overall. I mean I just had almost 3ft in a storm. I’m honestly not melting or complaining. I had some monster years in the late 2000s and early 2010s. ORH does better with the bigger amounts, but we slowly pick away at that difference in smaller events. edit...yeah, similar reply from Will...just more in depth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 cape/SE areas good hits, 12+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Feb 7 2003. Good low end benchmark. I’d reference this for a “conservative forecast” right now. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Feb 7 2003. Good low end benchmark. I’d reference this for a “conservative forecast” right now. Good low end benchmark? Are you punking us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: ORH is prob better than CON by a couple ticks, but I think where dendrite is does better than ORH by a few ticks and his area up there is also better for retention. That is that start of big time CAD land. ORH is a good spot for retention overall but not as good as getting up north of CON. ORH is sort of where the CAD starts in earnest in a lot of messier events, but it hits a new tier when you get north of CON and then it goes into nuclear bunker mode once into W ME. If you like monster 18"+ synoptic storms, then ORH is one of the best spots due to the elevation and proximity to the ocean. There is really no terrain that screws with it during ocean storms....easterly flow or northerly or northeasterly flow are all going to work there. 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: They’re on a roll overall. I mean I just had almost 3ft in a storm. I’m honestly not melting or complaining. I had some monster years in the late 2000s and early 2010s. ORH does better with the bigger amounts, but we slowly pick away at that difference in smaller events. edit...yeah, similar reply from Will...just more in depth. Thanks guys, makes perfect sense. I used to be all about the huge events like Will was saying for ORH, but starting to hedge more in the retention department being up here now. I can see the appeal of both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 12-18” in ema as conservative? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, jbenedet said: Feb 7 2003. Good low end benchmark. I’d reference this for a “conservative forecast” right now. Remember this storm. Went to bed expecting 6-9" I think and woke up to 15". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Pope returns by funneling 2 bottles of wine before noon. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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