CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I don't really see how this slows down much if any. It's progressive and should remain that way. If anything, the best way to fake a slow movement, is for a fronto band to extend well to the NE and tickle SNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Man what a fast moving crush job here... foot of snow during the day Sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 NAM delivers 1" qpf from Boston SW to Hartford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: I don't really see how this slows down much if any. It's progressive and should remain that way. If anything, the best way to fake a slow movement, is for a fronto band to extend well to the NE and tickle SNE. Increased phasing, and more rapid synoptic wave development... that’s my guess anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Its pretty similar to 18z, just a sharper NW gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Looks like it’s pretty much gone before the game starts... maybe lingering Far East for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Should I pull my money out of Tuesday and throw it back to Sunday? Actually we might be on the outside looking in anyhow, but I can make money by trading the wild swings in here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: Increased phasing, and more rapid synoptic wave development... that’s my guess anyway. I think that would help sort of extend the precip shield maybe? But anyways, nice to see a good chunk get involved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 In Sunday morning and out after midnight. Dropping a foot on its way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Looks like it’s pretty much gone before the game starts... maybe lingering Far East for a bit. going to hang out in Hong Kong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 That's a great look for SE MA. Deformation love. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 It's like an 8 hr storm haha. Done by evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's like an 8 hr storm haha. Done by evening. Yup...... nothing wrong with that if it drops a foot.... get your cleanup in before the game 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: I think that would help sort of extend the precip shield maybe? But anyways, nice to see a good chunk get involved. I mean it’s both. No? Instead of the track ENE/NE trajectory more like an open wave we see it bend/tug back a bit, more akin to a maturing system. That’s my thought process. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yup...... nothing wrong with that if it drops a foot.... get your cleanup in before the game It's probably 4-8" with a narrow area getting more in reality. But nothing wrong with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's probably 4-8" with a narrow area getting more in reality. But nothing wrong with that. Someone could pull a foot in that look I think... maybe your area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's probably 4-8" with a narrow area getting more in reality. But nothing wrong with that. And that’s with very limited northern stream involvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Someone could pull a foot in that look I think... maybe your area? Verbatim someone probably would. 3K goes wild, but I think it's a bit too heavy. That's also assuming NAM is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don't really see how this slows down much if any. It's progressive and should remain that way. If anything, the best way to fake a slow movement, is for a fronto band to extend well to the NE and tickle SNE. Agreed ... I don't wanna get into impugning any other Mets or skilled enthusiast efforts in this so I'll just say this once... This is not a slowing hemisphere ... Note, we can have open wave potency - it happens... 1987 November is an example of a primarily N-stream drive open wave NJ Model bomb that dropped some 12 to 14 mb in 6 hours ( !! ) trekking a low E of Del Marve initiation point to just off Cape Cod. We had 6-8 hour event dump upwards of 15" in SE zones, and as much as 6-9" to Fitchburg ...with flints of lightning blasting through windows followed kindly by girder buzzers. That or something like that ( and that's no aver to an anolog, just sayn') behavior is prooobably the ceiling for this ... I personally think the NAM is over going it NW when it does these runs .. and that something more like 4-6" SE of Orange Mass, with perhaps a some speckled lollypops to 8" possible. I don't have anything in life so don't care if I'm wrong - which is probably why I am good at this shit .. I really don't f'n care... So, bombs away or don't bombs away, this is not a slow down pattern. It's not geophsyically supported in a geopotential height gradient saturation - it's just going against math. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It's probably 4-8" with a narrow area getting more in reality. But nothing wrong with that. Yeah there probably would be a lot of 6 and 7" amounts with a stripe of like 9-12 for whoever gets into the weenie front band (and it definitely looks like there would be one on that setup) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Someone could pull a foot in that look I think... maybe your area? If somehow the low gets below 989mb before reaching the benchmark, there is a good chance a foot plus occurs for someone in the SE MA and RI region on Sunday. That FRONTO band is impressive, omega is elite in the DG zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: In Sunday morning and out after midnight. Dropping a foot on its way 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's like an 8 hr storm haha. Done by evening. hmmm, who do we think is right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 8-9 hr storm at 1"/hr is a good dumping for as fast as this is moving. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It's probably 4-8" with a narrow area getting more in reality. But nothing wrong with that. Congrats, @Ginx snewx 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 The Nams give my area 10-12 inches with some fluff factor added in....one can wish, but realistically this is a 6-10 inch storm back here if the Nam is correct 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Congrats, @Ginx snewx I haven't made a forecast all winter but with model verification showing a deeper storm I think 4 to 8 here could be in the cards. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, Ginx snewx said: I haven't made a forecast all winter but with model verification showing a deeper storm I think 4 to 8 here could be in the cards. Yea, very reasonable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 And then there's the RPM which rips the storm up through ginxy's BY and into E MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, ORH_wxman said: And then there's the RPM which rips the storm up through ginxy's BY and into E MA. That is a garbage model, so are the SREFs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: The Nams give my area 10-12 inches with some fluff factor added in....one can wish, but realistically this is a 6-10 inch storm back here if the Nam is correct I’ve got 4-6” along the 84 corridor for now with 6-8” in sect to sema. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now