dryslot Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:14 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Your off hour euro theory reared its head. Expand I'll stand by it too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Nam against the world 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:21 AM, Ginx snewx said: Nam against the world Expand It’s the world against the 18z Euro . Interesting battle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:21 AM, Ginx snewx said: Nam against the world Expand This is the first model run in a while that didn't come NW. May be a burp or start of the drift back SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 18z euro in to take a dump on the forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:14 AM, Damage In Tolland said: See if EPS has that massive NW spread its had last 2 runs. If so, still on track Expand This run may just be one of the solutions on the eastern edge of the envelope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Went from the EE rule to the EF rule. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:15 AM, dryslot said: I'll stand by it too. Expand There is still definitely something weird about the off-hour runs, especially the 06z. Storms frequently come back or disappear entirely during that cycle. I'm sure the stats show there is no difference, like the stats say the UKMET is the second best model. Sure, NWP experts, okie dokie... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:25 AM, PhineasC said: This run may just be one of the solutions on the eastern edge of the envelope. Expand That’s probably what happened with everything else a hit. We’ll know shortly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:28 AM, PhineasC said: There is still definitely something weird about the off-hour runs, especially the 06z. Storms frequently come back or disappear entirely during that cycle. I'm sure the stats show there is no difference, like the stats say the UKMET is the second best model. Sure, NWP experts, okie dokie... Expand Oh, There is something that goes on with the 06z and 18z Euro, I noticed it when they first came out that they differed from the 00z and 12z runs and not just once in a while either. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:23 AM, Damage In Tolland said: It’s the world against the 18z Euro . Interesting battle Expand I guess if 1 to 2 is the same as 10 to 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:30 AM, dryslot said: Oh, There is something that goes on with the 06z and 18z Euro, I noticed it when they first came out that they differed from the 00z and 12z runs and not just once in a while either. Expand 00z and 12z has had some weird cyclic variation with each other as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:43 AM, dendrite said: 00z and 12z has had some weird cyclic variation with each other as well. Expand Less planes in the air? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:43 AM, dendrite said: 00z and 12z has had some weird cyclic variation with each other as well. Expand Ant will be in soon once he's off his donu't break with his midget buddy to tell us that the Euro sucks and its not the king anymore and to toss it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:44 AM, Ginx snewx said: Less planes in the air? Expand Could be convection too. Convection is at a minimum around 12z and closer to maximum (or a little below maximum) at 00z. But that doesn’t explain all of it either. Esp in winter when there is less of it overall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I actually read the lack of aircraft haven’t hurt the scores significantly. Satellites are pretty good as a substitute and apparently have filled the gap nicely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 EPS a tick SE as well though there’s definitely still plenty of spread NW. We’re onto 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Yup.. Game on . Op toss 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I blame Pete Bouchard. He already put a snow map out. Guy can’t help himself. 3-5 Rhode Island and southeast of 95 and 1-3 NW of that line. Says changes likely so I ask why bother right now when the models are all over the place and no one knows! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 But JoeKnows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeSnowBOS Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 1:02 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: But JoeKnows. Expand Oh no Joe don’t know! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 12:54 AM, ORH_wxman said: EPS a tick SE as well though there’s definitely still plenty of spread NW. We’re onto 00z. Expand If we want a good snowstorm we root for deeper pressure as all the deep pressures are on the NW side 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Going to need the southern stream s/w to stay zoinked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 1:03 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Expand That’s actually even more NW spread than 12z had . Ryan showed 12z on air and attempted to explain it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 1:06 AM, Damage In Tolland said: That’s actually even more NW spread than 12z had . Ryan showed 12z on air and attempted to explain it Expand See my post deeper pressure is what you want. If this is meh then forgettable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 1:08 AM, Ginx snewx said: See my post deeper is what you want. If this is meh then forgettable Expand Well I don’t think anyone is thinking a big boy is coming. I think a 6-10” is most likely . 8-12” ceiling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 1:09 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Well I don’t think anyone is thinking a big boy is coming. I think a 6-10” is most likely . 8-12” ceiling Expand Pope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 1:03 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Expand Don’t like the spread way east there. Not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/5/2021 at 1:16 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Don’t like the spread way east there. Not good Expand Spread is west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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