HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 While I am glad it trended NW I'm worried about the lack of consistency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 SGFS trying to dethrone the euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spaizzo Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Need a super bowl Monday snow day!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Makes a difference when you can get some real sampling of the upper pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 6:23 PM, Spaizzo said: Need a super bowl Monday snow day!!!!! Expand In early Sunday morning , out after midnight . This ones not a days and days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 6:15 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Yeah, about 20mi and SE MA is under that. Expand Since Kevin is confused most of the time. Here are the 700mb temps and VV to point out what I am saying. Thermal gradient is about 20mi offshore co-aligned with the VV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 6:18 PM, OceanStWx said: Soon we'll be offering Brian congratulations. Expand Definitely think the sensitivity (also) here is related to the orientation of the N/ stream SPV pearling going on N of the Lakes to the western/lower Maritime. Ubiquitous ...even subtle backing off on the suppressive nature in how that is integrating everywhere ( really ..) ... immediately evinces the incredible baroclinic potency - it's like under constant pressure, and as that backs off.. metaphor slowly unscrewing a cap and we hiss our way into a flat wave NJ Model low type in step.. The ICON - obviously you know all this gunk ... - was back well off that SPV aspect a few cycles ago and had a pretty impressive short duration albeit major impact, and another 3 degs of lat/lon relaxation may bring those robuster solutions back to the discussion, another 6 and we open wave-style fast moving bomb. It's really a blessed time for multi subforum interests ... to be relayed into another focus in such short order to the last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 6:25 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Since Kevin is confused most of the time. Here are the 700mb temps and VV to point out what I am saying. Thermal gradient is about 20mi offshore co-aligned with the VV. Expand No the confusion emojis are directed at the poster. Meaning they are confused 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 6:25 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Since Kevin is confused most of the time. Here are the 700mb temps and VV to point out what I am saying. Thermal gradient is about 20mi offshore co-aligned with the VV. Expand Yeah where you see those isotherms packed, you'd prob get a weenie band displaced NW of that...esp in a very tilted system like this one. The key is getting it close enough so the realy good band gets over land. It might get the Cape on this run (even though it doesn't directly show it on QPF) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 I'm sure it was mentioned, but the GEFS heavy spread to the NW and deeper. By 84 hours, virtually all the members are to the W of the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 6:25 PM, Damage In Tolland said: In early Sunday morning , out after midnight . This ones not a days and days Expand And it won’t last as long as what you’re proposing either. 9-12 hrs at best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 6:27 PM, Damage In Tolland said: No the confusion emojis are directed at the poster. Meaning they are confused Expand Not confused at all since Will just backed me up. Make sure to spray and flush when you're done on the toilet. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 This storm blowing up helps the pattern down the line. Turns into a 50/50 type feature locks in an okay HP in a good spot. Day 6 euro buries SNE because of help from this event. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 6:29 PM, Wentzadelphia said: This storm blowing up helps the pattern down the line. Turns into a 50/50 type feature locks in an okay HP in a good spot. Day 6 euro buries SNE because of help from this event. Expand That storm is also trending south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Kiss of death.... I like the look for se mass 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Too many beers for Kevin today. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Nice bump W on the EPS too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Bumps in the rump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 We cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Not surprising ... the EPS seems to follow it's Pied Piper operational version.. I was almost hoping for it to be 'more' so ... sometimes, albeit rarely, that happens. But in any case, it's probably telling nonetheless - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 The EPS members are either big hits or nearly total misses. There aren’t really any minor events in there. The hits have widespread 6 plus areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 7:00 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Pump em in me rump. Expand Who are you talking to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 7:20 PM, SnowGoose69 said: The EPS members are either big hits or nearly total misses. There aren’t really any minor events in there. The hits have widespread 6 plus areas Expand Fascinating - is there a spread plot ?? ... like this, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 7:26 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Fascinating - is there a spread plot ?? ... like this, Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Sadly the rapprochement is ending.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 Ha, the members seem to be bombs or whiffs...almost no members are colocated with the mean! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 They should do a median-much better representative especially with an n of low numbers like gefs. It even 51 can have one member skew the mea too much. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 7:37 PM, weathafella said: They should do a median-much better representative especially with an n of low numbers like gefs. It even 51 can have one member skew the mea too much. Expand wow, just trying to think how I would do that and the math gets very complicated on the global scale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 7:40 PM, Henry's Weather said: wow, just trying to think how I would do that and the math gets very complicated on the global scale. Expand actually, it's really not any more complicated than the mean. nevermind! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 4, 2021 Share Posted February 4, 2021 On 2/4/2021 at 7:28 PM, Henry's Weather said: Expand Oh right - duh ... heh - sorry Forgot about this product. Yeah, so...again, like the GEFs - the spread appears to be over the NW arc. Man, that'd be a hoot: that 975 mb near Cape Ann - The thing is we actually want to watch the SB ...not just having to know the SB in airing while we're in the dark cuz a dystopian cryo bomb's going off in the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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