wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 We have had several bouts of WNW over the last couple years but more emphasis is usually put on west then North..Like Fulton/granby/volney all need a WNW..So does the mohawk valley if the wind blows hard enough.. Just like I miss events to my north that are considered"westerly", comes down to the exact degree.. Lake effect is truly a needle in a haystack unless you live in N Redfield lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 53 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: We have had several bouts of WNW over the last couple years but more emphasis is usually put on west then North..Like Fulton/granby/volney all need a WNW..So does the mohawk valley if the wind blows hard enough.. Just like I miss events to my north that are considered"westerly", comes down to the exact degree.. Lake effect is truly a needle in a haystack unless you live in N Redfield lol I would love to buy a small place up that way for weekend retreats. I think we all discussed this in the past. Still a thought i have rattling around. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Hrrr likes South shore action Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Now getting some SW flow lol Coming down quite nice at the moment.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Obviously not all from todays event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Rgem still looks like it's doing best.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Hrrr and 3k at 6pm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 New map, giving the south shore a little love.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Guidance definitely busting up north as the NWS has almost nothing for this area.. It's been steady for a little while now.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Gist of 00Z runs Syracuse snow weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Looks like lake effect is beginning to move south again. Wolfie, you're about to get into it again. Maybe a sweep through? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 Erie is just about done for LES. Crazy ice growth this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 25" storm total report on FB on Oswego/Scriba town line. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 The band that's been hitting Rochester all day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 No Special Weather Statement or anything with this 3-5" and still coming snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Nice pictures from the other thread, @rochesterdave. Looks beautiful. Looks like we have some new lake effect firing up over here on a NNW flow (maybe?) It's like a band may be coming directly towards me. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Been like living in a snow globe here all day lol. Big fluffy parachutes falling. Picked up another 3-4" overnight and into this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 11, 2021 Author Share Posted February 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, Revracer800 said: Been like living in a snow globe here all day lol. Big fluffy parachutes falling. Picked up another 3-4" overnight and into this morning. Near 2 feet for storm total? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 16 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Near 2 feet for storm total? I don't have a exact measurement but guessing maybe closer to the foot and a half mark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Getting a heavy snow shower right now. Going outside to enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, Revracer800 said: I don't have a exact measurement but guessing maybe closer to the foot and a half mark. 18 inches from just the lake effect?!?!? Wow...that's definitely more than we have on the ground from the past couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 My parents in Webster got about 6-7" since the early AM. That's approaching LSW criteria... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Looks like a meso low forming north side of lake. North of rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 19 minutes ago, tim123 said: Looks like a meso low forming north side of lake. North of rochester. Something going on there. Little spin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Lake Erie sure doesn’t look 80+ percent ice covered to me based on today’s satellite image. Posted by the NWS BUF Twitter page. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Lake Erie sure doesn’t look 80+ percent ice covered to me based on today’s satellite image. Posted by the NWS BUF Twitter page. Lake Ontario says “hold my beer”. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Late for this but been meaning to jot down some post-event thoughts on the WNY lake effect storm last weekend. We spend so much time looking ahead sometimes I like to hit rewind... * Models started showing a sizable event at least 5 days in advance. It held...so good to know that model dreams sometimes do come true. * The idea for several days leading to the event was for a predominant SW/WSW flow event off Erie. That changed to more of a WSW event the day or so before, causing widespread panic for the northtowns crew. * One thing on modeling that didn’t change was fairly deep low pressure over Lake Superior that either held it’s ground or moved slowly N/NE. This is a classic position for BUF and points north lake effect post arctic cold FROPA. It ultimately played out that way and BUF points north were “banded” for 8+ hours. *. Patience is key in lake effect events but it’s hard...Lots of bust posts on Saturday morning from the immediate BUF crew when the event was really just starting. * Strong winds limiting accumulations is real. As good as the event was the snow came in pulses, switching from blinding 3”+/hour to an inch or less per several times. This kept accumulations in check but did provide the “wow” factor when vis dropped to zero (as so nicely documented by BUF Weather. * 3-4”/ hour snow is a thing of beauty...duh. Memorable event for the BUF northtowns! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 2 hours ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Late for this but been meaning to jot down some post-event thoughts on the WNY lake effect storm last weekend. We spend so much time looking ahead sometimes I like to hit rewind... * Models started showing a sizable event at least 5 days in advance. It held...so good to know that model dreams sometimes do come true. * The idea for several days leading to the event was for a predominant SW/WSW flow event off Erie. That changed to more of a WSW event the day or so before, causing widespread panic for the northtowns crew. * One thing on modeling that didn’t change was fairly deep low pressure over Lake Superior that either held it’s ground or moved slowly N/NE. This is a classic position for BUF and points north lake effect post arctic cold FROPA. It ultimately played out that way and BUF points north were “banded” for 8+ hours. *. Patience is key in lake effect events but it’s hard...Lots of bust posts on Saturday morning from the immediate BUF crew when the event was really just starting. * Strong winds limiting accumulations is real. As good as the event was the snow came in pulses, switching from blinding 3”+/hour to an inch or less per several times. This kept accumulations in check but did provide the “wow” factor when vis dropped to zero (as so nicely documented by BUF Weather. * 3-4”/ hour snow is a thing of beauty...duh. Memorable event for the BUF northtowns! Good stuff Buffalo! Can't wait for next LES already only 9 months away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 Potential for pretty big Toronto LES event coming up! @mississaugasnow @Snowstorms 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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