wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 850mb winds were out of the west the entire time..I figured shear may be an issue..Same closer to the surface between 900-1000 mb..Kind of all over the place lol Small window this afternoon into evening that has limited low level shear according to the gfs.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Rgem wants to hug the shoreline.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 850mb winds were out of the west the entire time..I figured shear may be an issue..Same closer to the surface between 900-1000 mb..Kind of all over the place lol Small window this afternoon into evening that has limited low level shear according to the gfs.. What direction tonight? Channel 9 was talking about the band moving south tonight but it will probably be transient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Looking to the north I can see the lake clouds while I sit in sunshine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 According to the NWS and most SR guidance the band will be lifting north, possibly as far as southern jefferson.. Tonight it should gain a little strength and drop back south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Nice. So it goes from missing the Syracuse screw zone to the north on West(wnw...lol) to missing us to the west with NW winds, while the wave misses us to the south. Lol. Time to invest in that snow machine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 13 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: No sir..I'm about a couple miles from there..I used to work right across the street at the Fulton group lol I'm not even sure if it's considered the"dot" but it's where they keep most of their sand, salt and some of their trucks.. It's on the outskirts of the village.. Ahh gotcha. Been 2 years but delivered salt to both of them ... back to regularly scheduled discussion... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Gfs shows a similar scenario as the SR models with the band lifting north this afternoon and dropping back south overnight.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 New map starting at 10am.. If verified it would bring me into the 13"-15" range for a storm total..This is also the"low end" with 8"-12" as the high end.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Gfs with another quick shot at LES behind this weekend system as it looks like we have a SW swinging through.. Obviously wind direction is subject to change.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Still not looking great as it's trying to get its act together.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 29 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Gfs with another quick shot at LES behind this weekend system as it looks like we have a SW swinging through.. Obviously wind direction is subject to change.. Canadian with a similar concept.. We'll see how this trends as we get closer.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Looks like it's becoming better organized.. Snow definitely picking up of late.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Wolfie cashing in this week. Pulaski is a good spot. Make sure @TugHillMatt doesn't move there wolf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 So, how do we get a good WNW event around here? Need a low somewhere off the New England coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: So, how do we get a good WNW event around here? Need a low somewhere off the New England coast? Yeah, retrograding lows are your bread and butter. Or a clipper pattern with meandering wind directions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Really coming down at the moment..NWS mentioned radar not matching ground reports lol Band slowly lifting north.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 This is obviously high ratio stuff, if we had darker greens and yellows I'd be getting 4"-6" an hour lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Best bet Matt is to study the lake effect archives.. Here was a decent event for your area but you will notice the band is a little bit disjointed as that area has less fetch.. https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2019-2020&event=F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Even when I lived in the city of Fulton it seemed like everything missed me just to the north lol We had some decent events no doubt but a ton of dink and dunking.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 36 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Best bet Matt is to study the lake effect archives.. Here was a decent event for your area but you will notice the band is a little bit disjointed as that area has less fetch.. https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2019-2020&event=F Certainly much rarer to get big events on NW/WNW flow. The big time events off erie and ontario are always W/SW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Back to some rippage here as the flow is looking more westerly.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 New map starting at 1pm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 2" new since around 9am as the snow has been steady not necessarily heavy..8.25" storm total so far, doesn't include the couple inches of synoptic yesterday.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 8 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 2" new since around 9am as the snow has been steady not necessarily heavy..8.25" storm total so far, doesn't include the couple inches of synoptic yesterday.. Close to 100" on the year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Haha I wish man.. I know it seems that way but we missed out on so much synoptic potential.. Last time I checked spotter reports it was in the low 50s but that doesn't include last CF/LES, yesterdays synoptic and today's lake effect..So probably break into the 70s lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 Last synoptic event we got downsloped so bad during the day that pulaski had like 4-5 inches lol Missed out on the Christmas synoptic system..As well as the Binghamton crush job... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 10, 2021 Author Share Posted February 10, 2021 ...Oswego County... Oswego 11.0 in 1115 AM 02/10 Public 2 WSW Oswego 10.1 in 1120 AM 02/10 Trained Spotter Altmar 9.0 in 1149 AM 02/10 Public Pulaski 6.3 in 0900 AM 02/10 Public 2 N Richland 5.3 in 1100 AM 02/10 Trained Spotter 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Best bet Matt is to study the lake effect archives.. Here was a decent event for your area but you will notice the band is a little bit disjointed as that area has less fetch.. https://www.weather.gov/buf/lesEventArchive?season=2019-2020&event=F That was the event that hit....THE WEEK I WAS IN FLORIDA! LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 10, 2021 Share Posted February 10, 2021 So, I guess the answer to my question about how to get a WNW event...is for me....to leave. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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