BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Here come the videos! 40 seconds to the end is complete whiteouts. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 21 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: You think the super res reflectivity is too low res? It's usually in high sensitivity mode, I haven't found anything better. I think its great I’ve been trying to get on board with the wunderground radar but that thing showed rain for most of today... not overly detailed but for me this one is h go old enough most of the time... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=BUF-N0Q-1-48 as for the snow, still snow in the air but probably about done... handful of measurements in the yard gives me a 7” average... I’ll take it... Batavia easily had a foot when I was coming home around noon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 One of my favorite all time videos I took. Strongest stuff starts at around 20 seconds. Turn the volume up. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Last one 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 48 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Here come the videos! 40 seconds to the end is complete whiteouts. Actually I think this is my favorite video, The end of it is just insane. I couldn't see anything. I wish I got into the heaviest stuff early this morning. Regret not chasing sooner. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 Such a great picture of the lake today 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Amazing videos Rich!! You captured the worst, I mean best, of it perfectly. Well done! Glad the northtowns produced a chase-worthy event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeyes_Suck Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Great videos! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 hour ago, DeltaT13 said: You think the super res reflectivity is too low res? It's usually in high sensitivity mode, I haven't found anything better. I think its great I'm just not a fan. During LES it doesn't work as well as Underground or Radar app on iphone for me. I'll give it another shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Excellent stuff @BuffaloWeather! Thanks hoping for one more good event this year. If it happens its coming next weekend. After that the lake will be frozen and if something comes up I'll be chasing off the tug. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: Here come the videos! 40 seconds to the end is complete whiteouts. Ok looking at that video, great stuff as always btw, why did the NWS not place northern Erie under a blizzard warning? I feel like they’ve done it for less and it actually checked all 3 boxes...discuss away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 This missed last nights radar, but got most of the bands history. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Hrrr likes central Oswego county tomorrow evening into Monday.. As usual I'll probably just stick with the RGEM on band placement lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Here come the videos! 40 seconds to the end is complete whiteouts. Great videos! The weather gods must have read my weenie complaining this morning, because that three hour period in the early afternoon including the best daytime LES conditions I have seen in the N Buffalo to Amherst corridor in several years. More than an hour of the 3”/hr whiteout stuff and around 2 hours of heavy 2”/hr snow. I have a three year old who insisted on making a snowman in those conditions. One of these years we’ll get one of those old school Northtowns crushers that sits in place the better part of a day, but this afternoon’s whiteout band mostly made up for the overall bust (we ended up with maybe 10-11” including last night’s minor accumulation). Hitting the February and March snowfall averages might bring us within shouting distance of our 30 year climo average. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 850s down to about-20c tommorow after the front, some guidance showing lake snows in the single digits, could be some real fluff.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 850s down to about-20c tommorow after the front, some guidance showing lake snows in the single digits, could be some real fluff.. Yeah that's the next potential event and could be a massive one. Latest GFS shows more WNW winds after showing WSW/SW for days straight. As this is Eries likely last hurrah, strongly cheering for WSW/SW to get one last strong band going. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Here was the latest RGEM, starts west veers WNW and then backs north as it retracts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Matches pretty well with the gfs wind field off Ontario (kfzy).. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Matches pretty well with the gfs wind field off Ontario (kfzy).. Opps thought you were posting next weeks GFS run. The next few days won't feature too much LES. Next weekend has crazy potential. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Opps thought you were posting next weeks GFS run. The next few days won't feature too much LES. Next weekend has crazy potential. Great videos BW! That wind! I prefer the 3-5"/hr. with no wind, but certainly appreciate the harshness the wind adds. Yeah. Not much for Erie folks the next few days, but off Ontario, C/S Oswego Co. into Oneida Co. should have a decent window (8-14 hours) for 1-3"/hr. stuff. At this time it doesn't look like there will be any connection (circulation nor seeding) off Georgian Bay. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Rgem wants to keep this farther north than the WRF models which is no surprise lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 NMM.. Hopefully the southern bias is in play here haha.. Not to dissimilar to the rgem just a little farther south.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 12z GFS has a S/W around Friday/Saturday that would be a nice WSW/SW wind flow for 18-24 hours or so. 6z also had thus feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 Snowfall totals: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF The wind killed the potential for higher amounts. We could have easily seen 20"+ without the winds. Whenever we see high winds in the forecast for LES event we know to cut totals by 25-30%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: Snowfall totals: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=BUF The wind killed the potential for higher amounts. We could have easily seen 20"+ without the winds. Whenever we see high winds in the forecast for LES event we know to cut totals by 25-30%. Some if these totals look WAY off...1.6 at Clarence center bit 12 at Akron? Nope also 4.1@ E. Williamsville bit 9.4 @ NNW Williamsville? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 7, 2021 Author Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Some if these totals look WAY off...1.6 at Clarence center bit 12 at Akron? Nope also 4.1@ E. Williamsville bit 9.4 @ NNW Williamsville? Yeah when I was in and around Clarence/Akron I definitely saw from 14-15" amounts. Probably no reports there though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, Thinksnow18 said: Some if these totals look WAY off...1.6 at Clarence center bit 12 at Akron? Nope also 4.1@ E. Williamsville bit 9.4 @ NNW Williamsville? Look at the dates. That 1.6” number is from yesterday morning before the band made its way up here. Most of the low numbers are from yesterday morning not this morning. I ended up with 8.7” from the lake effect and another 2.8” this morning for a total of 11.5” in the last 48 hours or so. Up to 56.6” on the season and would only need another 25-30” to hit seasonal average for this area so definitely doable if we can have a good week this week and get almost half that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Look at the dates. That 1.6” number is from yesterday morning before the band made its way up here. Most of the low numbers are from yesterday morning not this morning. I ended up with 8.7” from the lake effect and another 2.8” this morning for a total of 11.5” in the last 48 hours or so. Up to 56.6” on the season and would only need another 25-30” to hit seasonal average for this area so definitely doable if we can have a good week this week and get almost half that. Agreed. I’m at roughly the same amount I picked up 10.1” and 2.8” for a total of 12.9 and seasonal total is 59.4” (I think it’s a bit more due in part to the first event after Christmas) and I agree one good event synoptic or meso will get us close this year. I’m pretty optimistic, especially with the upcoming pattern. One of these systems will pop in our favor. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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