Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 1 hour ago, paweather said: RGEM has it. RGEM is this weeks NAM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 I have 12" - 16" on the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 16 minutes ago, 2001kx said: I have 12" - 16" on the ground. Very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 21 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: RGEM is this weeks NAM. RGEM has been good lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 23 minutes ago, paweather said: RGEM has been good lately. The RGEM nailed this storm for my yard over the last couple of days. 5 inches of snow here in Marysville today! Great over-performing event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 @Cashtown_Coop Please ask your friends at CTP how they only got 3.6 inches of snow out of .39 precip today that was all snow according to the 5 pm daily summary??? Yes, I understand ratios, but many surrounding reports were over 4 inches near MDT. I want 20 inches at MDT... with the 3.6, they are only sitting at 19.7 for the month...! The CTP guys seem to like you... please try to get this fixed! We still have time until the official daily summary goes in overnight! I understand this is super trivial, but I am just having some fun with this... kind of...sort of... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 22 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: @Cashtown_Coop Please ask your friends at CTP how they only got 3.6 inches of snow out of .39 precip today that was all snow according to the 5 pm daily summary??? Yes, I understand ratios, but many surrounding reports were over 4 inches near MDT. I want 20 inches at MDT... with the 3.6, they are only sitting at 19.7 for the month...! The CTP guys seem to like you... please try to get this fixed! We still have time until the official daily summary goes in overnight! I understand this is super trivial, but I am just having some fun with this... kind of...sort of... Blizz! LOL. This post made me laugh (in a good way). You have not been hard enough on them this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Blizz! LOL. This post made me laugh (in a good way). You have not been hared enough on them this year. They have been good this year so far... until today! I want a 20 inch month in the books... Today! @Cashtown_Coop is our only hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 5 hours ago, CarlislePaWx said: For the few of you who melt down your snow, such as @Cashtown_Coop, I'd love to hear from you. I think you'd all be interested to know that this storm had the highest SLR of any event this season. I measured 2.8" of pure snow and it melted down to 0.20" of liquid. This produced a ratio of exactly 14 : 1. I don't think any other event this winter had a ratio that high. Most of my other events were all around 10:1. So, another anomaly from this storm. My 5” was from 0.46” liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 22, 2021 Share Posted February 22, 2021 13 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: They have been good this year so far... until today! I want a 20 inch month in the books... Today! @Cashtown_Coop is our only hope! CTP said that the measurements are done by an independent observer and unless it’s obvious they let the amount ride. Sorry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 11 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: CTP said that the measurements are done by an independent observer and unless it’s obvious they let the amount ride. Sorry Thanks for checking, maybe the observer took their lunch break & missed the last few tenths of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 The 12z Canadian likes the idea of some front end snow on a wave early on Saturday. The models have been on & off with this idea over the last few days. The Canadian & RGEM have been on a good winning streak... maybe they can keep it going? This would get me my .3 inches & then some...! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 The 18z EPS also has this same basic idea of some front end snow on the wave on Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 8 hours ago, CarlislePaWx said: For the few of you who melt down your snow, such as @Cashtown_Coop, I'd love to hear from you. I think you'd all be interested to know that this storm had the highest SLR of any event this season. I measured 2.8" of pure snow and it melted down to 0.20" of liquid. This produced a ratio of exactly 14 : 1. I don't think any other event this winter had a ratio that high. Most of my other events were all around 10:1. So, another anomaly from this storm. I’m right there with you at 14:1, measured .25” liquid off of my 3.5” snow total. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 Going to be crazy windy tomorrow afternoon. Gusts up to 45 I bet for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 1 hour ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I’m right there with you at 14:1, measured .25” liquid off of my 3.5” snow total. Thanks for chiming in. Interesting that you and I had 14:1 while Cashtown was around 11:1. I know ratios can vary substantially, so no big deal. But I'm glad to see that someone else (you) did report a similar measurement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Thanks for chiming in. Interesting that you and I had 14:1 while Cashtown was around 11:1. I know ratios can vary substantially, so no big deal. But I'm glad to see that someone else (you) did report a similar measurement. Yet somehow... MDT had LESS than a 10 to 1 ratio per my post above! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 @Mount Joy Snowman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 @Mount Joy SnowmanWhen I saw the OBS in the LNP this morning, I assumed the Mt. Joy one was you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 9 hours ago, canderson said: Going to be crazy windy tomorrow afternoon. Gusts up to 45 I bet for most of us. It's already pretty gusty here - 34 degrees when I arrived at work with water running from snow melt at 7:30am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 Just parsed over tellies for next few weeks, and I'd say get your wintering in this week, cause AO/NAO look to be headed north aoa +1 and PNA -1. That combo says zonal Pac flow w/ no blocking. Not a good look IMO w/ big ones cutting for the midwest where I'd bet they blizzard a couple times on W/NW sides Warmies are getting warmed up.... But I still think snow holds for some/many here. Yes I'm sure someone will post their brown lawn pic and say I'm wrong, but in general, temps look ok to hold into weekend....till then, play in it as much as you can. I know I'm gonna. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: Just parsed over tellies for next few weeks, and I'd say get your wintering in this week, cause AO/NAO look to be headed north aoa +1 and PNA -1. That combo says zonal Pac flow w/ no blocking. Not a good look IMO. Warmies are getting warmed up.... But I still think snow holds for some/many here. Yes I'm sure someone will post their brown lawn pic and say I'm wrong, but in general, temps look ok to hold into weekend....till then, play in it as much as you can. I know I'm gonna. I'm still holding out hope that we get at least a brief reprieve and a better look heading toward mid March. I'm expecting a 1993 redux this year. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 13 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm still holding out hope that we get at least a brief reprieve and a better look heading toward mid March. I'm expecting a 1993 redux this year. HAHA. Your on my wavelength now. I'm holding out hope for a 24-30" before we close the 2021 winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 27 minutes ago, pasnownut said: Just parsed over tellies for next few weeks, and I'd say get your wintering in this week, cause AO/NAO look to be headed north aoa +1 and PNA -1. That combo says zonal Pac flow w/ no blocking. Not a good look IMO w/ big ones cutting for the midwest where I'd bet they blizzard a couple times on W/NW sides Warmies are getting warmed up.... But I still think snow holds for some/many here. Yes I'm sure someone will post their brown lawn pic and say I'm wrong, but in general, temps look ok to hold into weekend....till then, play in it as much as you can. I know I'm gonna. I don't think the end of next week looks that bad. Once we get through the weekend hopefully a good thump, then warms again for a bit but think we will still have multiple chances coming up. Of course we could lose all of them and have no wins but let's see. I'll be out of the country March 12 to the 21 so book it now my major snowstorm. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 9 hours ago, CarlislePaWx said: Thanks for chiming in. Interesting that you and I had 14:1 while Cashtown was around 11:1. I know ratios can vary substantially, so no big deal. But I'm glad to see that someone else (you) did report a similar measurement. Didn't they have a bit more sleet down that way? Would also perhaps suggest a wetter snow at times for them being closer to the mix line. We had no sleet until the very end and it only lasted a few minutes and was so light it would not have meaningfully contributed to the total. SLRs can be so tough though, just checked Cocorahs and even within the same counties values can be all over the map. I also don't fully trust that my gauge catches everything frozen, just a hunch that it may slightly undercount in snow events. I did not do a core sample for this event. 2 hours ago, Mshaffer526 said: @Mount Joy SnowmanWhen I saw the OBS in the LNP this morning, I assumed the Mt. Joy one was you. Haha nope not I. I've always just kept my own records, never reported to anywhere like Cocorahs, NWS Co-op/spotters, etc. Thought about it plenty but never pulled the trigger. I only had 3.5" but I'm like 4 miles SSE of town at a very low spot, whereas I suspect that person is somewhere well north of town more towards the Manheim area. I believe they did a bit better with the totals up that way, they usually do. I take it the Gap report is you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 44 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I'm still holding out hope that we get at least a brief reprieve and a better look heading toward mid March. I'm expecting a 1993 redux this year. Boy that would be nice. From the little I've payed attention of late, I've seen a few mentions of a late blocking episode, but it has to be strato driven, because nothing I see says that....but then again, I'm not very smart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 I'm not a long range guy, just a fun model chasing weenie but losetoa6 posted this over in the MA forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 41 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Didn't they have a bit more sleet down that way? Would also perhaps suggest a wetter snow at times for them being closer to the mix line. We had no sleet until the very end and it only lasted a few minutes and was so light it would not have meaningfully contributed to the total. SLRs can be so tough though, just checked Cocorahs and even within the same counties values can be all over the map. I also don't fully trust that my gauge catches everything frozen, just a hunch that it may slightly undercount in snow events. I did not do a core sample for this event. Haha nope not I. I've always just kept my own records, never reported to anywhere like Cocorahs, NWS Co-op/spotters, etc. Thought about it plenty but never pulled the trigger. I only had 3.5" but I'm like 4 miles SSE of town at a very low spot, whereas I suspect that person is somewhere well north of town more towards the Manheim area. I believe they did a bit better with the totals up that way, they usually do. I take it the Gap report is you? I report my totals to the MU Weather Center - Maytown is well represented...there are 2 of us that report totals. I used to report them to Mr. Horst, I'm not sure who gets them now, but I'm still reporting and they're still available for the public to view. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 The Canadians are close to giving us snow Friday night. Would be a very marginal situation but if one wants to track something....total qpf for the LSV. Some of this QPF in North and West PA is from another event. Did not look at the column but surface temps are 35-38ish as depicted right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greensnow Posted February 23, 2021 Share Posted February 23, 2021 NYZ015-016-022>025-055-PAZ038-043-044-047-231700- Yates-Seneca-Steuben-Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Tioga-Bradford- Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne- 859 AM EST Tue Feb 23 2021 ...Light accumulating snow through the late morning... An area of light to moderate snow will accumulate up to an inch per hour through the late morning. Snow totals up to 1 to 2 inches are possible, leading to slick roadways. Visibility may also drop below a mile in the heaviest areas of snow. The snow will start to mix in with rain and taper off into the late morning. While out driving, allow for extra time to reach your destination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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