Albedoman Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 38 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Pocono Pines. Winter Heaven. looks like my backyard in macungie 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 I always love looking at the 12K NAM to get our hopes up LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 hour ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Pocono Pines. Winter Heaven. Troegs 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Troegs Only Bubbler. I didn't even see it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: Only Bubbler. I didn't even see it. I suspect half the folks who saw that picture saw beer. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: I suspect half the folks who saw that picture saw beer. LOL Dang I should not have missed that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Troegs I see an empty sixer along with some scattered empties on the table #poconopartytown 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 I wish we had a special CPA thread that was locked, except for posts sharing useful links to models/data, links to educational materials, reports, worthwhile multimedia. Anyways, I implore everyone to spend at least 10 mins and look through this PowerPoint turned PDF by the WPC so aptly named “Snow forecasting”. Especially pertinent is it’s information regarding boundary layer issues, snow flake growth & aggregation, mescoscale banding. It’s also a great review of basic issues https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/snowfcst/snow.pdf. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 37 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I see an empty sixer along with some scattered empties on the table #poconopartytown It is one way to enjoy the snow on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 MDT recorded a 2 day event snow total of 4.2 inches. I enjoyed round 2 with several hours of light snow last night and this morning. Now, it’s time to track our next snow chance on Monday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 It looks like most models today have the majority of CTP getting 1 to 3 inches of snow on Monday. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Larry Cosgrove:This has been a strange week for me. And for many of you, I am certain.When you review sensible weather since last Friday, you will see that the onslaught of bitter cold was probably the worst since 1899. It felt like I was in Kansas or Iowa again. All kinds of misery occurred, and of course everything connected with the once in 120 year cold snap turned into a political football. The worst part, a rumor was spread that winter was absolutely over in most of the U.S., and lots of irritated or bewildered people bought into it.That is the tune set for your Friday night. It is cold, but will improve for a week or so before we have to deal with a new Arctic surge across the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. You will see stronger warming as we get to April. But for now, do not let your guard down anywhere but California or most of the Southeast.There. I feel better. Have a nice weekend, wherever you are! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 31 minutes ago, anotherman said: Larry Cosgrove: This has been a strange week for me. And for many of you, I am certain. When you review sensible weather since last Friday, you will see that the onslaught of bitter cold was probably the worst since 1899. It felt like I was in Kansas or Iowa again. All kinds of misery occurred, and of course everything connected with the once in 120 year cold snap turned into a political football. The worst part, a rumor was spread that winter was absolutely over in most of the U.S., and lots of irritated or bewildered people bought into it. That is the tune set for your Friday night. It is cold, but will improve for a week or so before we have to deal with a new Arctic surge across the eastern two-thirds of the U.S. You will see stronger warming as we get to April. But for now, do not let your guard down anywhere but California or most of the Southeast. There. I feel better. Have a nice weekend, wherever you are! I have heard more than one person suggest winter was over. Sort of strange. It's almost like people are wishing it away. Someone told me we are hitting 70 next week? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 52 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: I'm thinking some impressive rates for a brief period will occur . With this warm front banging into what's left of our cold air. Hopefully some areas see like 1-2" hour rates briefly. I'm thinking someone in central and esp eastern Pa if I had to guess ...probably where the best lift will be .( hope its along the m/d line ) And as @psuhoffman mentioned earlier there could be a little wave along that front that energies things MD line has been the place to be this winter. We are both probably near 40 plus inches now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 13 minutes ago, losetoa6 said: 38" after today here . Carroll county averages 32"-40" a season but 20 year average is closer to 35"-45"+ . It's been a very good season here imo. 26" inches alone in February and it's only February 19th . We are near 50" but I had the benefit of that crazy "deathband"/enhancement this month. 22" in two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Big flakes and .5" new fluffy snow so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: I have heard more than one person suggest winter was over. Sort of strange. It's almost like people are wishing it away. Someone told me we are hitting 70 next week? Lol That would be me... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Been posted before but still funny... August 15 Moved to a new home in Pennsylvania . It's so beautiful here. The lake to the north looks so majestic. I can hardly wait to see it snow covered. I'm going to love it here. October 14 Pennsylvania is definitely the most beautiful place on earth. The leaves have turned all the colors and shades of red and orange. Went for a ride through the park and saw some deer. They are so graceful. Certainly they are the most wonderful animals on earth. This must be paradise, I LOVE IT HERE. November 10 Deer season will start soon. I can't imagine anyone wanting to kill such a gorgeous animal, hope it will snow soon. I love it here. Those red and orange leaves have covered my yard. Looks like a magnificent multi-colored carpet. HOW BEAUTIFUL. Raking and cleaning up the yard will be an opportunity for invigorating exercise in the cool crisp air. November 15 - Ah, more leaves and more exercise. November 18 - Jesus, still more leaves. Guess it's best to wait until they've all fallen before I rake again. November 25 - Finally, all of the trees lost their leaves and today's final raking it's over for this season. Chiropractor suggested I use a lawn maintenance service next year. Only four blisters became infected. Should probably remember to use gloves. November 30 - What the f --k? Where did all of those leaves come from? A little wind last night and the lawn is covered again. Oh well, they'll just have to wait until spring. December 12 - It snowed last night, FINALLY. Woke up to find everything blanketed in white. It looks like a postcard. We went outside and cleaned the snow off the steps and shoveled the driveway. Had a snowball fight (I won) and when the snowplow came by and we had to shovel the end of the driveway again. What a beautiful place. I Love Pennsylvania December 14 - More snow last night, I love it. The snowplow did his trick to the driveway again. I Love it here. December 19 - More snow again last night. Can't get out of the driveway to get to work. I'm exhausted from shoveling. F---ing snowplow. December 22 - More of that white sh-t fell again last night. A s if dealing with the leaves weren't bad enough, now I've got blisters all over my hands from shoveling, must remember to wear gloves. I think the snowplow hides around the corner and waits until I'm finished shoveling the driveway. The a--hole. December 25 - Merry Christmas. More frigging snow. If I ever get my hands on that son-of-a-bitch who drives the snowplow. I swear I'll kill the bastard. Don't know why they don't use more salt on the roads to melt the f---ing ice. December 27 - More white sh-t last night. Have been inside for three days except for shoveling out the driveway after that plow goes through every time. F---ing gloves got wet and then froze on my hands. Doctor said it was just a mild case of frostbite, disfiguration is probably only temporary. Can't go anywhere, car is stuck in a mountain of white sh-t. The weatherman says to expect another 10 inches of the sh-t tonight. Do you know how many shovels full of snow 10 inches is? December 28 - The f---ing weatherman was wrong. We got 34 inches of that white sh-t. A t this rate it won't melt 'till summer. The plow got stuck up the road and the bastard came to the door and asked to borrow a shovel. After I told him I'd already broken six of them shoveling all the sh-t he pushed into the driveway, I broke my last one on his f---ing head. January 4 - Finally got out of the house today. Went to the store to get food and on the way back I hit a damned deer that ran in front of my car. Did about $3000 damage f---ing beast should be killed. Wish the hunters had killed them all last November. May 3 - Took the car to the garage in town. The thing is rusting out from all the f---ing salt they put all over the roads. May 10 - Moved to The Villages in Florida . I can't imagine why anyone in their right mind would ever live in that God-forsaken state of Pennsylvania 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Just under 1.5" of new snow overnight and still snowing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 6 hours ago, 2001kx said: Been posted before but still funny... August 15 Moved to a new home in Pennsylvania . It's so beautiful here. The lake to the north looks so majestic. I can hardly wait to see it snow covered. I'm going to love it here. October 14 Pennsylvania is definitely the most beautiful place on earth. The leaves have turned all the colors and shades of red and orange. Went for a ride through the park and saw some deer. They are so graceful. Certainly they are the most wonderful animals on earth. This must be paradise, I LOVE IT HERE. November 10 Deer season will start soon. I can't imagine anyone wanting to kill such a gorgeous animal, hope it will snow soon. I love it here. Those red and orange leaves have covered my yard. Looks like a magnificent multi-colored carpet. HOW BEAUTIFUL. Raking and cleaning up the yard will be an opportunity for invigorating exercise in the cool crisp air. November 15 - Ah, more leaves and more exercise. November 18 - Jesus, still more leaves. Guess it's best to wait until they've all fallen before I rake again. November 25 - Finally, all of the trees lost their leaves and today's final raking it's over for this season. Chiropractor suggested I use a lawn maintenance service next year. Only four blisters became infected. Should probably remember to use gloves. November 30 - What the f --k? Where did all of those leaves come from? A little wind last night and the lawn is covered again. Oh well, they'll just have to wait until spring. December 12 - It snowed last night, FINALLY. Woke up to find everything blanketed in white. It looks like a postcard. We went outside and cleaned the snow off the steps and shoveled the driveway. Had a snowball fight (I won) and when the snowplow came by and we had to shovel the end of the driveway again. What a beautiful place. I Love Pennsylvania December 14 - More snow last night, I love it. The snowplow did his trick to the driveway again. I Love it here. December 19 - More snow again last night. Can't get out of the driveway to get to work. I'm exhausted from shoveling. F---ing snowplow. December 22 - More of that white sh-t fell again last night. A s if dealing with the leaves weren't bad enough, now I've got blisters all over my hands from shoveling, must remember to wear gloves. I think the snowplow hides around the corner and waits until I'm finished shoveling the driveway. The a--hole. December 25 - Merry Christmas. More frigging snow. If I ever get my hands on that son-of-a-bitch who drives the snowplow. I swear I'll kill the bastard. Don't know why they don't use more salt on the roads to melt the f---ing ice. December 27 - More white sh-t last night. Have been inside for three days except for shoveling out the driveway after that plow goes through every time. F---ing gloves got wet and then froze on my hands. Doctor said it was just a mild case of frostbite, disfiguration is probably only temporary. Can't go anywhere, car is stuck in a mountain of white sh-t. The weatherman says to expect another 10 inches of the sh-t tonight. Do you know how many shovels full of snow 10 inches is? December 28 - The f---ing weatherman was wrong. We got 34 inches of that white sh-t. A t this rate it won't melt 'till summer. The plow got stuck up the road and the bastard came to the door and asked to borrow a shovel. After I told him I'd already broken six of them shoveling all the sh-t he pushed into the driveway, I broke my last one on his f---ing head. January 4 - Finally got out of the house today. Went to the store to get food and on the way back I hit a damned deer that ran in front of my car. Did about $3000 damage f---ing beast should be killed. Wish the hunters had killed them all last November. May 3 - Took the car to the garage in town. The thing is rusting out from all the f---ing salt they put all over the roads. May 10 - Moved to The Villages in Florida . I can't imagine why anyone in their right mind would ever live in that God-forsaken state of Pennsylvania Yuck, The Villages. It was all falling into place until that ended up being end game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Timing on Monday will be interesting. Looks like the general average is mid morning which will be less of an issue but if you take the common thought that it gets here a few hours before modeled and at least one model (Rgem) has it starting before or near daybreak, for the western 2/3 of PA, it leaves the door open for schools to be closed 3 days in a row and people to call out again. LOL. Several of the schools around here (some in MD) are cancelling virtual and in place on these snow days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 CTP seems to be interested in the Monday snow chance. Very nice write up this morning “The most interesting weather will be Monday, mainly in the morning and early aftn. A fast-moving low just now coming on- shore in the western U.S. will be arriving. Clouds will increase Sunday night, with a dusting of snow possible as an arm of warm advective precip crosses the NW half/two-thirds of the CWA overnight. The sfc trough which crosses the area will bring enough moisture to worry about a wint wx advy for a good portion of the area. The fast forward speed and daylight passage of the main slug of precip will be negatives for higher snow totals. The timing of the precip is about 3-4 hours different between the GFS and NAM at this point. The faster GFS would put down much of the precip very early in the day (some before sunrise in the wrn half). This would make it more likely all snow than a mix or plain rain. The slower NAM keeps the precip snow for a long time, as well, despite precip not arriving in the Lower Susq just an hour or so before Noon. The precip rates may also dictate what the p-type will be. Models all pumping out 0.15-0.4" of liquid equiv of pretty much all snow in just 3-5 hrs as the main wave of precip moves thru in the morning. That means 1"/hr rates are possible. But, the wind will not be all that gusty (S <10MPH and no real gusts) as it passes thru. Have nudged maxes down a deg on Monday looking at the cloud cover and snowfall. Snow amounts may end up 2-4" for lots of places, some higher amounts possible in the NW and lower amounts possible in the south-central mountains. The precip lingering behind the first shove of moisture could turn to rain in the SE, but I could easily see 1-2" there, and higher numbers are poss judging from NAM QPF of 0.4" despite SLRs in the 8-10:1 range. Since this event could negatively impact the Mon AM rush, this will need some close attention. Upright instability during the first/main push of precip on Monday is hardly noticeable if any exists. Some CAPE shows up in the aftn across the NW half of the area when the real trough moves through. So, if there is some heating, there could be some squalls there later in the day. But, additional accums will likely be less than in the morning hours.” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 The 6z Euro looks good for for the Monday snow chance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 We will have cold leading in to the event Sunday night and early Monday, but by the time the heavier precip arrives the surface temps & 850s do get more marginal. Good rates should be able to keep the heavier precip as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Just now, Blizzard of 93 said: We will have cold leading in to the event Sunday night and early Monday, but by the time the heavier precip arrives the surface temps & 850s do get more marginal. Good rates should be able to keep the heavier precip as snow. I suspect good rates will lead to dynamic cooling and bring most down under freezing if it happens sometime mid morning or before. Roads will be fine Monday Pm though. A decent haul Monday helps protect the pack a little from the upcoming 50ish temps. :-). Hopefully this one does not go off the rails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Thanks Bubb! Good maps to start the morning. I am past 50" of snow for the year now. Dusting overnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 3 minutes ago, pawatch said: Thanks Bubb! Good maps to start the morning. I am past 50" of snow for the year now. Dusting overnight Congrats! The LSV is now in stats padding mode as most of us are above normal snow for the season. We still have about 5 weeks to score some more. Monday will give us another chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 What gives with this snow? I woke this morning to light snow/flurries, and they've continued now for about 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 What gives with this snow? I woke this morning to light snow/flurries, and they've continued now for about 3 hours.It’s called winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 11 hours ago, 2001kx said: Been posted before but still funny... August 15 Moved to a new home in Pennsylvania . It's so beautiful here. The lake to the north looks so majestic. I can hardly wait to see it snow covered. I'm going to love it here. October 14 Pennsylvania is definitely the most beautiful place on earth. The leaves have turned all the colors and shades of red and orange. Went for a ride through the park and saw some deer. They are so graceful. Certainly they are the most wonderful animals on earth. This must be paradise, I LOVE IT HERE. Here's the video version of that...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now