Cambria County Wx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Nothing here yet. 21 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Yes, the 0z HRRR gives a solid 5 to 7 inches of snow to the LSV through Friday am. Jack IMBY 3 mi N-NE of MDT. We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pirates21 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Starting to pick up pretty good over on the other side of the city Mag. I’m near 99. Covering cars now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 9 minutes ago, Cashtown_Coop said: I must have hacked this run Look closer...Bubbler hacked it! You were his co-conspirator. haha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Can we just say the radar looks good? LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Let's go 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Good night gents and good luck to everyone in the morning. Latest from Horst....... (1/2) This is one of those winter systems where just 25 - 50 miles will make a big difference in what accumulates. As I see things this evening, the system is stringing out under a rocking upper-level jet w/ less-than-expected right entrance region support. The result may be... (2/2) ...a slight southward shift, perhaps less icy mix (here in Lanco), and a slight reduction in max snowfall amounts. Need to wait & see where the best (narrow) snow band sets up in the AM...but for now no reason to change my earlier idea of 4-8" (Rt 30 north) and 2-5" south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 3 minutes ago, paweather said: Let's go 0z. The 0z ICON looks good for CTP. I only have it available in 10-1 ratio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, Mount Joy Snowman said: Good night gents and good luck to everyone in the morning. Latest from Horst....... (1/2) This is one of those winter systems where just 25 - 50 miles will make a big difference in what accumulates. As I see things this evening, the system is stringing out under a rocking upper-level jet w/ less-than-expected right entrance region support. The result may be... (2/2) ...a slight southward shift, perhaps less icy mix (here in Lanco), and a slight reduction in max snowfall amounts. Need to wait & see where the best (narrow) snow band sets up in the AM...but for now no reason to change my earlier idea of 4-8" (Rt 30 north) and 2-5" south. Great writeup. I think this is so a game time decision and really not a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Good night gents and good luck to everyone in the morning. Latest from Horst....... (1/2) This is one of those winter systems where just 25 - 50 miles will make a big difference in what accumulates. As I see things this evening, the system is stringing out under a rocking upper-level jet w/ less-than-expected right entrance region support. The result may be... (2/2) ...a slight southward shift, perhaps less icy mix (here in Lanco), and a slight reduction in max snowfall amounts. Need to wait & see where the best (narrow) snow band sets up in the AM...but for now no reason to change my earlier idea of 4-8" (Rt 30 north) and 2-5" south. i've been thinking the harrisburg area gets way less since that's just how the patterns been the past few weeks. we've ended up with way less snow/ice/sleet than modeled or forecast each time lol so wouldnt surprise me if this happens again and we get way less than the 6-9 inches called for. really sucks that none of these storms have been overachievers here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Just now, TheDreamTraveler said: i've been thinking the harrisburg area gets way less since that's just how the patterns been the past few weeks. we've ended up with way less snow/ice/sleet than modeled or forecast each time lol so wouldnt surprise me if this happens again and we get way less than the 6-9 inches called for. really sucks that none of these storms have been overachievers here There is always one. Just watch the snow come down. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 1 minute ago, paweather said: Great writeup. I think this is so a game time decision and really not a forecast. Most models put us into a range of 4 to 8 inches, so I think that is a reasonable forecast at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 The Low here is still in W NC lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMDEW80 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 The radar is a beautiful stream of moisture from the gulf. Good luck everyone! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I didn't even notice they cut our amount down from 6-9 inches to up to 6 inches in the latest winter storm warning update. i had a feeling. was going to mention it yesterday but didn't want to drag down peoples excitement. kinda annoying every time we get to the final run with these storms it ends up being less. 6in is still decent. there's always a chance we could overperform especially since where it sets up is pretty crucial but keeping my expectations in check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
medmax Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 MDT final call: 8.5” snow/sleet 1.1 qpf total 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Nice look: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 51 minutes ago, pirates21 said: Starting to pick up pretty good over on the other side of the city Mag. I’m near 99. Covering cars now Yep same over here, a nice moderate pixie dust snow for now. Getting this early swath of snow to set over the area is gonna be a big part of hopefully getting pretty well into our forecast range of the advisory (3-7"). I think we're in pretty good shape. There's a patch of some more enhanced echoes on radar over JST that should try to shift this way here within the next hour or so. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cambria County Wx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Very light snow falling here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 Much better flakes now and moderate-heavy rate. Binocular check of the snowboard with the flood light on already looks like over a half inch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pirates21 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 19 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Much better flakes now and moderate-heavy rate. Binocular check of the snowboard with the flood light on already looks like over a half inch. Just was outside. Coming down at a very nice rate right now. Quickly approaching an inch. Looks like this two parter could last well into tomorrow evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 Moderate snow and 24ºF. Midnight measurement is 1.3" of straight powder snow in a bit under 2 hrs since it got going. Not too bad considering the near term stuff late this afternoon and early evening didn't have this even starting here until about now or a bit later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 6 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Moderate snow and 24ºF. Midnight measurement is 1.3" of straight powder snow in a bit under 2 hrs since it got going. Not too bad considering the near term stuff late this afternoon and early evening didn't have this even starting here until about now or a bit later. Well, speaking of delayed starts...the current 04Z run of the HRRR doesn't have accumulating snow reaching MDT until 9:30am and its first inch until 11:00am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 2 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said: Well, speaking of delayed starts...the current 04Z run of the HRRR doesn't have accumulating snow reaching MDT until 9:30am and its first inch until 11:00am. The next run will show 3 inches by 11 am and then the next run will show partly cloudy with a high of 60 at the same time. The hourly swings on the HRRR are bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 The HRDPS has a nice swath of 6 to 8 inches of snow for the LSV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Here in Williamsport there is a coating of snow over everything now. The small flakes are coming down fast but not heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 2.1” for my last measurement til morning. Steady light snow, 23°F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Nothing but virga here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I just came from that direction and still nothing sadly. Btw why did we get downed to only 6 inchs vs what they were calling for earlier? I thought things were looking juiced so it should go up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 updated now says 5-7 and will last through 10 am fri. Tho one thing that is worrying me forecast low low 20s still sitting at 28 the clouds came in hella fast yesterday mostly cloudy before 6 didnt allow for much drop in temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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