paweather Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: @paweather, Euro PBP duty starts in 25 min. LOL. It is all yours! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 4 minutes ago, paweather said: LOL. It is all yours! I will try but not sure I will be free. We shall see. Lol. Maybe go vintage and ask @daxx to do it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 15 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: I would love to alleviate your concerns but I'm having some of the same worries myself. Let's just put it this way, we should be in for a nice thump of snow sometime between roughly 7am-Noon before we have to even consider worrying about mixing, or at least that's the hope ha. Yes the heaviest rates may remain below the border but we should still be in for some nice amounts. Just enjoy whatever comes during the morning and the rest is gravy. The weather gods will have the final say, as they always do. It's fascinating how we allow thoughts to cloud our perspective - there hasn't been a dramatic shift in guidance and I was never expecting anything more than what guidance suggests today. I said early on that 3-6" was my first call and I'm sticking with it. I think sometimes seeing map after map that shows amounts that double that..."distract" me, or influence my judgement, I really need to tune those out even more. To me, this is a 3-6" snowfall for Lanco with significant ice to follow and I'm sticking with it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: I will try but not sure I will be free. We shall see. Lol. Maybe go vintage and ask @daxx to do it! Pretty sure Brian is working right now. I have the inside scoop. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 12hr Euro. High in a decent position. Certainly no cutters. 850 line in Southern VA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 18 Hr, high still over NY. Cad signal down the coast. First flakes flying in Central PA with that finger out in front of the full WAA. 24 Hr the high has weakened but moderate snow now over spreading southern PA. 850's still in Central VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 oh my don't look at the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Ug. 30 Hour and the low is scooting off the coast. Not impressive. Supression....a MA thriller. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: 18 Hr, high still over NY. Cad signal down the coast. First flakes flying in Central PA with that finger out in front of the full WAA. 24 Hr the high has weakened but moderate snow now over spreading southern PA. 850's still in Central VA Thanks for doing this! But also if you could make the run be awesome and describe with a “BOOM” or shocked emoji... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Ug. 30 Hour and the low is scooting off the coast. Not impressive. Well that sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: Thanks for doing this! But also if you could make the run be awesome and describe with a “BOOM” or shocked emoji... Boom, we lose. LOL. Well no taint for the Lancaster folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Bubbler86 said: Boom, we lose. LOL. We no taint for the Lancaster folks. That's the silver lining of this run. Get a few inches of nice fresh white snow and call it a day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Ug. 30 Hour and the low is scooting off the coast. Not impressive. Supression....a MA thriller. son of A 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, Bubbler86 said: Boom, we lose. LOL. Well no taint for the Lancaster folks. If that’s everything, it’s advisory level. Damn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, sauss06 said: son of A May make it hard to go with WSW's. They will have to discount the Euro. That is a short WWA like storm only for the southern 2/3 of the state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 1 minute ago, GrandmasterB said: If that’s everything, it’s advisory level. Damn. That is pretty much everything. .10 of an inch afterwards in far S/E Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I hate my instincts... I woke up today with a bad feeling. Don't know why. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 I think we’ll be seeing a lot of downward adjustments to maps. Horst and NWS in the 6-10 range. Don’t see a lot of support for that now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: I hate my instincts... It's really not *that* bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 We will probably know, in 90 min or so, if the Euro is a trend or fail on its part. And again this may be better for some far S/E folks so not discounting it could be good for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 There are going to be some counties in the NW area of CTP's CWA that may go from WSW to nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Mshaffer526 said: It's really not *that* bad. For us...it might actually be better. For those north, obviously not. We might get a little more white gold at the expense of mixing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said: It's really not *that* bad. It’s the steady drying trend on the northern extent that’s worrisome. Hopefully comes back a bit at HH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mshaffer526 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, GrandmasterB said: It’s the steady drying trend on the northern extent that’s worrisome. Hopefully comes back a bit at HH Yup, admittedly I would be more worried if I was north and west of 222. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 9 minutes ago, Mshaffer526 said: It's really not *that* bad. Interesting aspect of this map....it is similar in what it shows for the Euro Jackpot area vs. the Para GFS (6-8" for those folks) for the same time frame but on the Para this area is the screw zone with higher amounts north and south.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: For us...it might actually be better. For those north, obviously not. We might get a little more white gold at the expense of mixing. Ouch only 3 counties hit the warning level on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: Ouch only 3 counties hit the warning level on that run. Yes - this run as depicted helped those who traditionally mix at the expense of those who don't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cashtown_Coop Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Yes - this run as depicted helped those who traditionally mix at the expense of those who don't. 18z euro will juice back up 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 Just now, Cashtown_Coop said: 18z euro will juice back up Only if the Nam allows it. If the Nam starts drying out in 90 min I am pulling the plug! :-). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 17, 2021 Share Posted February 17, 2021 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Interesting aspect of this map....it is similar in what it shows for the Euro Jackpot area vs. the Para GFS (6-8" for those folks) for the same time frame but on the Para this area is the screw zone with higher amounts north and south.... That is 100% correct! Para was a biggy snowstorm north and south of the Rt. 30 corridor...Euro filled the center of the sandwich and removed the buns. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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