Santa Clause Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 26.5 freezing rain here, skating rink comes to mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, Wmsptwx said: 26.5 freezing rain here, skating rink comes to mind. No sleet at all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: No sleet at all? All freezing rain thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cambria County Wx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Update....pretty much all sleet here. Roads are covered and powerlines have a glaze on the wires here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I can't get the NAM to load tonight, but it sounds like it's much better for Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I can't get the NAM to load tonight, but it sounds like it's much better for Thursday Looks like it is half way there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 0z NAM def coming in colder vs 18 and 12z with the mixing portion of the Thursday storm. Very intense front end thump of snow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cambria County Wx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Heavy sleet, very loud pinging temperature is up to 30 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Pinging away here as well. Pretty much all sleet falling moderately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: 0z NAM def coming in colder vs 18 and 12z with the mixing portion of the Thursday storm. Very intense front end thump of snow as well. Yes, the 0z NAM took a big step towards every other available model for Thursday. Very nice front end thump despite only taking a step at this time. I’m looking forward to the rest of the 0z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Might as well put up a pic of the “ice board”. A little over a half inch of ice encased sleet. Ice accrual on trees isn’t too notable yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 freezing rain here currently. though i hear a lot of water running off the house so i dont think its freezing up very well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 3 hours ago, MAG5035 said: On a lighter note, CTP point and click FTW apparently with the 6-12" 48+ hrs out just thru Thursday daytime. Boy if only... lol. Same here...any models showing that much snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 17 minutes ago, 2001kx said: Same here...any models showing that much snow? Pretty much all guidance except the NAM (until 0z tonight) have been showing good front snows with varying degrees of mixing later in the event (Euro pretty much an all snow event back in our area). The new 0z NAM now joining the party with the bigger front end thump. So def not a fluke or anything, but a little early to be including accums like that in the grid forecasts considering how rapidly this current one went sideways the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Up to 34 and rain is approaching moderate level. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 The 0z ICON has the snow thump for most of the LSV! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cambria County Wx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Precip is tapering off for now, still hearing sleet pinging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoralRed Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 From the 10:30PM area forecast discussion for Williamsport: Strong llvl northerly ageostrophic flow and a howling 70-80 kt southerly jet several KFT AGL will maintain the perfect setup for a significant ice storm across the entire region between I-78/81 and the RT220/I-80 corridor. Expect between 3-6 tenths of an inch of ice by daybreak, which will undoubtedly cause down numerous trees and some power outages, from limbs falling on utility lines. This degree of ice equates to at least a 1 in 10-15 year ice storm here in Central PA, considering it`s widespread nature and pure freezing rain (with little or no sleet and snow at the onset or tail end) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrandmasterB Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Guess I’ll invest in this Thursday thing. 0Z GFS looks pretty awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, GrandmasterB said: Guess I’ll invest in this Thursday thing. 0Z GFS looks pretty awesome. The || GFS does as well. Both are mostly snow with a bit of late mix in the LSV on regular GFS while the Para-GFS never gets mix line above the mason-dixon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AMDEW80 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 nasty outside, moderate mix of sleet and freezing rain sitting at 23. tree's starting to ice up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Here in Carlisle at 11:22pm, moderate plain rain continues to fall. I am up to 0.45" of rain thus far. My temp has been holding just barely above freezing at 32.2 degrees. Like what I'm hearing about Thursday and especially that the NAM is joining the snow train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Guys pray for Texas. A nuclear plant is down and they already can’t generate enough electricity with it online. 1.4 million are without power (and it’s growing hourly) and it’s less than 15 degrees in a huge part of the state. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 28 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: The || GFS does as well. Both are mostly snow with a bit of late mix in the LSV on regular GFS while the Para-GFS never gets mix line above the mason-dixon. The 0z GFS, Para & GEFS continued to escalate the Thursday into Friday for many of us! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 As soon as the heavier rain came in we shot up to 32. Wouldn't surprise me one bit if we don't go up one or two more. I'm kind of doubting the whole half inch ice possibility that CTP had for my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Starting to notice the ice on the trees some now. P-type is mainly freezing rain with temp floating 32ish. Do have a fairly stiff SSE breeze now, which may help mix temps up a degree or two (KAOO at 34ºF). The wind probably won't help matters on the ridges though, where the bigger ice accumulations likely will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 29 freezing rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cambria County Wx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 6 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: Starting to notice the ice on the trees some now. P-type is mainly freezing rain with temp floating 32ish. Do have a fairly stiff SSE breeze now, which may help mix temps up a degree or two (KAOO at 34ºF). The wind probably won't help matters on the ridges though, where the bigger ice accumulations likely will be. Temp here has made it up to 34 now with rain with an occasional ping or two. I can see a solid glaze on the power lines. With KIDI at 36 and KJST at 30 most likely most lower elevation places probably sitting at 32 or 33. Curious to see how many places got pure freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cambria County Wx Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I went outside, wind has picked up and things are starting to melt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 0z Euro and Euro ensemble check out for Thursday's event. Mostly all snow for everyone in here. Also while I"m at it might as well throw on the 0z WPC guidance blend. That only goes out to 72hr, so probably more snow to be had in the Sus Valley. 0z Euro ensemble 0z WPC guidance (50th percentile snowfall) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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