canderson Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Sunday looks like a clear storm - no super difficult transfers or anything. We should at least know pretty well if we'll get a storm or not by Saturday 0z I'd think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 It’s snowing quite hard again .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 9 minutes ago, paweather said: I have been spoiled though now, no stall on this one. No - the flow definitely suggest in and out quickly. Even with a direct hit it's likely a 6-12 hour event. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, canderson said: It’s snowing quite hard again .... Sun has been in and out here for at least 3 hours. Snowpack is down to nearly 9" already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 12z Euro just for grins. Note that it's all on its own for this one - the GFS and everything else is way south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 2, 2021 Author Share Posted February 2, 2021 33 minutes ago, pasnownut said: yep. Gfs still separated but ticked in right direction. Plenty of time for it to come around although suppressed is def a possibility as cold is fresh and deep. I think even if the southern wave doesn't work out there's a northern branch shortwave and likely arctic frontal passage to be watched for there... and it would probably be a pretty potent one too given the arctic air on the table. Euro's the only one with this bigger storm attm, but it's been keeping this solution plus enjoying solid support from it's ensembles.. so def more than a fluky run or something like that. We'll see how things progress. Did notice guidance isn't completely dumping the PV into the Great Lakes/NE today after whatever this system ends up being.. keeping the core of stupid cold -35 to -40ºC 850mb air just above over on the Canadian side of the North Central/Great Lakes. GFS drops it down more getting -20 to -25ºC 850mb air into the commonwealth. Euro cold but not quite as cold, which isn't too bad as that set up could be better in terms of getting a gradient pattern with some well tracked systems. Euro ran another system out around D8 or so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Cold is great for snowpack longevity but we risk suppression as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 37 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: No - the flow definitely suggest in and out quickly. Even with a direct hit it's likely a 6-12 hour event. Yeah, your right. It will be one of those typical systems to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
717WeatherLover Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 And here I was hoping for an uncomplicated, easy to forecast win for us! LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 20 minutes ago, canderson said: 12z Euro just for grins. Note that it's all on its own for this one - the GFS and everything else is way south. Not entirely true - Para GFS is actually running west of us from what I can tell. We have several south, one west, and the Euro just about perfect, at least for the LSV. Not a bad place to be right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 8 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Not entirely true - Para GFS is actually running west of us from what I can tell. We have several south, one west, and the Euro just about perfect, at least for the LSV. Not a bad place to be right now. Ah, I didn't see the para - thanks for clarification! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dcfox1 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said: Sun has been in and out here for at least 3 hours. Snowpack is down to nearly 9" already. That is odd I have not seen a peak of sun yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 36 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Not entirely true - Para GFS is actually running west of us from what I can tell. We have several south, one west, and the Euro just about perfect, at least for the LSV. Not a bad place to be right now. Yea 6z showed that. Not sure about 12z para never updated for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 21 minutes ago, dcfox1 said: That is odd I have not seen a peak of sun yet. And for the past hour it's been exceptionally windy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 11 minutes ago, daxx said: Yea 6z showed that. Not sure about 12z para never updated for me. Not sure there's a whole lot of upside with Sunday (next week might be a different story) but a 4-8" type of snowfall is on the table if things work out right. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 HH Time. Let's go GFS catch on to the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 59 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Not sure there's a whole lot of upside with Sunday (next week might be a different story) but a 4-8" type of snowfall is on the table if things work out right. I’d take a 3 to 6 snowpack freshener, plus less shoveling and clean up! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 It looks like a good next couple of weeks of winter chances. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 6 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: I’d take a 3 to 6 snowpack freshener, plus less shoveling and clean up! I was thinking about you earlier today. On Sunday you were telling everyone that you MIGHT get a nice advisory event for this past storm. I think you said 4-6"? And you ended up with how much, Mr. snow capital of the east? 3-6" on Sunday would be perfect. Nice appetizer before I start big game hunting next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 NAM says....lets party for Friday. Sorta didnt expect that, but hey, inside of 24 hours....anything goes round here. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, pasnownut said: NAM says....lets party for Friday. Sorta didnt expect that, but hey, inside of 24 hours....anything goes round here. lol Geezus didn't even look at the NAM. Thanks for sending it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Can always count on the ICON. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 GFS isn't there yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daxx Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, paweather said: GFS isn't there yet. It took a step in the right direction. IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, daxx said: It took a step in the right direction. IMO Yeah, I agree. It did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 This upcoming pattern looks to be loaded with potential. A Super Bowl Sunday snowstorm would be great! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 The 12z EPS 15 day snow map is showing a great signal for the next 2 weeks. Maybe the LSV will get to seasonal average snow by this weekend if the 12z Euro verifies? MDT is only 6 inches away from the seasonal average after the storm the last 2 days. I’m exhausted after tracking & watching this storm performance since Sunday. Plus, with the sleet mixed in, this snow was tough to remove! I will be ready to track again, probably right after dinner tonight! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 3 hours ago, daxx said: It took a step in the right direction. IMO Yessir it did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 3, 2021 Author Share Posted February 3, 2021 At this rate the deform bands might leave C-PA just in time for Friday’s event lol. At roughly 65 hrs off and on with this storm now, and I’m currently getting by far the worst conditions I’ve gotten the whole event. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 3, 2021 Share Posted February 3, 2021 1 minute ago, MAG5035 said: At this rate the deform bands might leave C-PA just in time for Friday’s event lol. At roughly 65 hrs off and on with this storm now, and I’m currently getting by far the worst conditions I’ve gotten the whole event. Awesome, let us know your final tally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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