wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Well at least initially 850mb temps aren't that cold as we have more of a SW wind..Latter part of the storm 850s start to cool with more of a northerly flow . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Ukmet all snow both systems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, tim123 said: Ukmet all snow both systems Way SE with the Jack 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Assuming 15 to 1 for both systems would be about 2 feet between both in roc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Between both systems 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Ukmet does pick up on enhancement for first storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Hoping for a strong 12z Euro run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Who wants to bet that the 12z EURO caves to the GFS for late week? Will the King take a bow? I think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 6 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Who wants to bet that the 12z EURO caves to the GFS for late week? Will the King take a bow? I think so. Nah, I think the GFS bows. There’s more in the coastal camp than the cutter camp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 First system is as close to lock as you see in this time frame. Wiggle room either way but I’m not seeing any reason for a big bust. It all comes down to who Jack pots! Binghamton, I’m looking at you, you greedy bastards. i90 from BUF to just west of Syracuse has the benefit of a relatively warm lake to their NE. Syracuse might be a touch closer to system QPF. Either way, my only concern is a little bit of late game suppression. Which would mean advisory over warning amounts. I’m not too concerned but it’s what I’m watching. Fun one! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: I'd like to see the Para move it a little bit more NW There fixed it... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 2 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Nah, I think the GFS bows. There’s more in the coastal camp than the cutter camp Hope you’re right bro! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 PARA is in the NW camp for #1. Man, it’s getting hard to keep track lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 10 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: PARA is in the NW camp for #1. Man, it’s getting hard to keep track lol That's a good thing! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 A little weird that this site allows another to edit your original post. Leaves room for shenanigans. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Euro a good hit for first storm. Over a foot I would say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: How does that compare to previous runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Nice! Nearly an inch for the entire forum. Touch less for the usual suspects Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 12z Euro SLP a tad SE of 6z but not much. It's definitely a bit faster though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 minute ago, LakeEffectKing said: How does that compare to previous runs? 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: Nice! Nearly an inch for the entire forum. Touch less for the usual suspects You mean me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Very close. Not a big difference 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: You mean me No sympathies, Mr. Footoflfuffbombs. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Gives roc about a inch qpf. Temps look great for high ratios. Upper teens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: No sympathies, Mr. Footoflfuffbombs. Yeah the way Wolfie has been talking I thought he was doing about as bad as you Matt. Then he posted pics from Pulaski the other day where it looked like a mountain town in the Rockies with how much snow there was lmao! I’m kidding Wolfie haha. Hope everyone cashes in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 13, 2021 Share Posted February 13, 2021 12z precip is a bit of a cut back from the wet 0z and 6z runs. Here a compare for Mon-Tue only... 12z 6z 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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