wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Ukmet over the next 6 days.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 Looks like the GFS is gone in about a month being replaced by the v16. March 17th is the day I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 Anyone have any data on accuracy of new GFS if old one is going away next month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 5 hours ago, Chicago Storm said: Actually, just came across the updated info. There is now a set date instead of just “Feb”. Looks like it is now officially scheduled for March 17th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 Tidbits no longer has Para, hopefully they add it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf2/scn21-20gfs_v16.0.pdf Here is the document Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 12, 2021 Author Share Posted February 12, 2021 GEFS look good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 0z Euro even drier than 18z for the weekend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 0z Euro still a solid hit for Mon-Tues... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 0z Euro way further SE vs. 12z for the Thur-Fri storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 0z Euro total precip, 10:1 snowfall, and Kuchera snowfall thru the end of the Thur-Fri storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 0z EPS mean for Mon-Tue storm shifted NW a bit vs 12z and more precip for the Finger Lakes and points west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 0z EPS mean also shifted SE vs. 12z for the Thur-Fri storm but not as much as the OP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 0z EPS total mean precip and 10:1 snowfall thru Saturday/Day 9... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Updated HWO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 7 hours ago, tim123 said: Not buying the cut still. Neither is the EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 4 hours ago, BGM Blizzard said: 0z Euro still a solid hit for Mon-Tues... And once again the minima is situated right over N'CNY and points NE, what a surprise, RLMAO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 4 hours ago, BGM Blizzard said: 0z EPS mean for Mon-Tue storm shifted NW a bit vs 12z and more precip for the Finger Lakes and points west... What is 13 Ken... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Both pulaski WU stations got down to-11° overnight, forecast low was -2.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 An active pattern for the long term. Some snow showers will be possible for Monday with an upper level trough over the Great Lakes, but nothing too organized as of right now. An area of low pressure will bring snow across the entire area on Tuesday and again possibly on Thursday into Thursday night. Some guidance disagreement for temps aloft, but light lake snow will be possible after each passing area of low pressure with 850H temps of -12C or colder. As of right now, the area of low pressure for Tuesday looks to bring the potential for at least plowable snowfall amounts. Temperatures remain below normal during this period, with the coldest temperatures on Monday, with highs in the mid teens for the higher terrain and in the low 20s for the lower elevations. The warmest temperatures expected for Thursday with highs in the low to mid 30s. otherwise temperatures mostly in the low to mid 20s for daytime highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 16 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: An active pattern for the long term. Some snow showers will be possible for Monday with an upper level trough over the Great Lakes, but nothing too organized as of right now. An area of low pressure will bring snow across the entire area on Tuesday and again possibly on Thursday into Thursday night. Some guidance disagreement for temps aloft, but light lake snow will be possible after each passing area of low pressure with 850H temps of -12C or colder. As of right now, the area of low pressure for Tuesday looks to bring the potential for at least plowable snowfall amounts. Temperatures remain below normal during this period, with the coldest temperatures on Monday, with highs in the mid teens for the higher terrain and in the low 20s for the lower elevations. The warmest temperatures expected for Thursday with highs in the low to mid 30s. otherwise temperatures mostly in the low to mid 20s for daytime highs. The verbiage “for at least plowable” snowfall is up from the original “shovelable” snowfall...I like the or more part frankly...winter storm watches tomorrow for that timeframe? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Para for both events.. Includes about 1"-2"(3"-4" south shore) for Sat.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 It got down to -8 F last night according to my weather station. It’s up to a balmy 5 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 LR NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 I'm so jealous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 22 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: LR NAM I do think, dangerous I know, that the storm for next week will move NW in time, like every other storm has this year. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 13 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: I do think, dangerous I know, that the storm for next week will move NW in time, like every other storm has this year. Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Icon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 12, 2021 Share Posted February 12, 2021 Still snowing at this frame.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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