Syrmax Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 33 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Each storm will progressively go further NW then the last in this pattern. Actually a good setup for the entire forum to get jack potted by one of the storms. Agreed. One or two of these should deliver over the next week. Or I'm calling Mayflower Van lines to get @TugHillMatt t.f. outta here. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Little on the older side.. A more potent low pressure system appears to enter the Northeast United States on Monday Night into Tuesday. While the timing of this system is consistent with the extended guidance, there is still some question in the exact track of the system. Overall, the forecast area appears to be on the cold side of the low and will maintain the messaging that shovelable snow is expected with this system. As this system departs, cold air remains over the region and lake effect snow will persist in favored areas. Temperatures through the period will be below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z EPS mean precip and mean 10:1 snowfall for Thur-Fri storm... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 12z EPS mean 10:1 total snowfall combined... 12z EPS individual members total 10:1 snowfall combined... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 22 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: 12z EPS mean precip and 10:1 mean snowfall for Mon-Tue storm Individual members 10:1 total snowfall thru 18z Wednesday... Those are LESS than 10 to 1.... .53 LE at KBUF and 4.8” of snow...so it’s going to be above freezing? Lmao toss 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 13 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Those are LESS than 10 to 1.... .53 LE at KBUF and 4.8” of snow...so it’s going to be above freezing? Lmao toss No that means there still a few NW outlier solutions in the spread that don't result in all snow as p-type... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 GEFS precipitation next 6 days..Looks like the Mid-Atlantic is going to get a boatload of snow the next 7 daysSent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 That's not all snow for them as the Tues system could be more rain/mix depending on track.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 38 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: 12z EPS mean 10:1 total snowfall combined... 12z EPS individual members total 10:1 snowfall combined... #50 plz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Look at the 850 mb low on the European lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 925mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 56 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Little on the older side.. A more potent low pressure system appears to enter the Northeast United States on Monday Night into Tuesday. While the timing of this system is consistent with the extended guidance, there is still some question in the exact track of the system. Overall, the forecast area appears to be on the cold side of the low and will maintain the messaging that shovelable snow is expected with this system. As this system departs, cold air remains over the region and lake effect snow will persist in favored areas. Temperatures through the period will be below normal. Yeah the update was kinda stolen from earlier text...it’s also from 1:07 so I’m wondering if this is it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 12 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 925mb Are those good in your opinion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: 925mb Looks damn good to me, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Maybe get a few more tomorrow am. I love this pattern for the south shore. Ya get surprised 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Lots of Atlantic moisture will be thrown back up and over the enormous dome of cold air, Suffice to say that both the H925mb lp as well as the H850mb lp look ideal at the present time but that can change at any time but I'd begin to wonder how much can it actually change at this point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Multiply by 3 Dave. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 At the end of the GFS' run look at the COLD AIR rebuilding out in Western Canada waiting to drop the hammer once again across the lower 48, ,lol! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Yeah Dave what freak said haha.. Probably around-15c 850 is wamer at like-5c to -10c..On the euro of course.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 New NAM for the Saturday night Sunday deal. RGEM-ish... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 NAM Kuchera. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Thanks again BGM Blizzard for the maps! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 10 minutes ago, 96blizz said: New NAM for the Saturday night Sunday deal. RGEM-ish... Lock it. Lock it right now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 NWS Buffalo says there will be more powdered sugar on your Paula’s doughnut than snow accumulation Saturday night...they’re also less than thrilled with the Tuesday storm...they’re very Jekyll and Hyde in that office... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Look at the difference down in the Mid Atlantic between the 10/1" vs the Kuchera?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 That's because TT includes sleet as snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: 925mb Sou'easter! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 15 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Sou'easter! The longer the primary stays the more snow we get simple as that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now