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3 hours ago, BGM Blizzard said:

Looks like the Saturday Night-Sunday storm quickly is becoming only a minor nuisance event and another penny for the bank.

Yeah, the last one was like that and the LES mostly a no show for several of us. Now the weekend system looks like crap also. I see a trend. 

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Even the lake effect lovers at KBUF have that storm on their radar. This must have some legs...oh and they did say several inches for the Saturday night-Sunday timeframe but said it should fall short of warning criteria...they mentioned the Tuesday storm as “shovelable”...I guess 5 or so inches isn’t worth it...

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23 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

With none verifying as shown even a few days in advance in all likelihood as per recent experience.

Yeah, hoping we don't have a "cheerleader effect" here where we have a good total projected snowfall with an active pattern, but each individual event is a nickel-dimer that doesn't really pan out.

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3 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Think was just a comparison for type of pattern. Not a direct one.

Yeah, "vibes", not a carbon copy.

Pronounced comma shape, big plume of moisture with snow on the N/W side, big mix zone (I lived in CT and got hammered by sleet before it changed over), line of thunderstorms stretching past Florida. A lot of similarities.

Of course, it'll probably disappear tomorrow.

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12z EPS output...

Sat night-Sun storm mean precip...

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-ne-precip_24hr_inch-3325600.thumb.png.cdc1005e3de3e419875ae701435c2c7c.png

Midweek storm mean precip...

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-ne-precip_72hr_inch-3606400.thumb.png.e4d974ca6b3890868e17c5ed6a9c386e.png

Total mean precip thru midweek storm...

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-ne-total_precip_inch-3606400.thumb.png.084e47490e82431acd5545166979e178.png

Total 10:1 mean snowfall thru midweek storm...

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-ne-total_snow_10to1-3606400.thumb.png.53de2d507deb15173359fd2557e14268.png

Members 1-25 total 10:1 snowfall thru midweek storm...

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-ne-snow_total_multimember_panel_ecmwf_a-3606400.thumb.png.a03473419fd6ddd71bf9d2d64cc1bbdb.png

Members 26-50 total 10:1 snowfall thru midweek storm...ecmwf-ensemble-avg-ne-snow_total_multimember_panel_ecmwf_b-3606400.thumb.png.e82f66011987869adeab132682a80551.png

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