wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Hrrr hammers N cayuga and SW Oswego.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Hrrr hammers N cayuga and SW Oswego.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 I think Syrmax, Freak and Matt are in the game tomorrow night....and Some scraps for me too! And don't count out some influences from Geo Bay. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, LakeEffectKing said: I think Syrmax, Freak and Matt are in the game tomorrow night....and Some scraps for me too! And don't count out some influences from Geo Bay. I tend to agree. I get lost looking at the slew of model output for this but the general look is good for us here. I could see a 5 or 6" LES event here. That is usually the upper end here but we're also overdue for an exceedance. So, fingers crossed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: I think Syrmax, Freak and Matt are in the game tomorrow night....and Some scraps for me too! And don't count out some influences from Geo Bay. I hope you're right. It seems we almost have to have some Georgian Bay connection for it to get us here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Looks like he includes the rte. 31 corridor as the line...hard to tell though with the fading white color. @Syrmax may actually have the best chance out of our group. Nah, I'm right in the middle of the 6-12" but where the blue fades to white but it was also supposed to be in the same spot last night and where did that band end up, lol? I want this band more than anyone else but when you've been burned so many times especially wrt LES, it gets old quick, lol, but nonetheless I'm good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: #12 please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 4 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Nah, I'm right in the middle of the 6-12" but where the blue fades to white but it was also supposed to be in the same spot last night and where did that band end up, lol? I want this band more than anyone else but when you've been burned so many times especially wrt LES, it gets old quick, lol, but nonetheless I'm good. Hopefully this isn't right, because then we're skunked again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Hopefully this isn't right, because then we're skunked again. Whats the NMMB, lol?? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 That would be typical though and look at how it jogs around me in SC Oswego County, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 SUffice to say but were gonna have to moisten up as the Temp is 13F and a dp of 2F so I don't know how much of the precip it'll eat up before it starts to precipitate, at least a few hrs worth Id imagine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 49 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: GSB Cities The 2020 - 2021 Snow Season Normal Average to Date This Time Last Season Normal Seasons Average All Time Season Snowfall Record Binghamton 79.5 51.7 53.7 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017) Buffalo 55.6 66.9 50.7 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977) Syracuse 47.6 84.3 60.9 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993) Albany 47.5 38.5 38.9 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971) Rochester 43.8 63.7 73.0 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960) KBUF, if all goes perfect, could make up that deficit this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, Thinksnow18 said: KBUF, if all goes perfect, could make up that deficit this weekend Going to be tough, lake is starting to freeze. Have to rely on synoptic and it's pretty late in the season already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 3 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: SUffice to say but were gonna have to moisten up as the Temp is 13F and a dp of 2F so I don't know how much of the precip it'll eat up before it starts to precipitate, at least a few hrs worth Id imagine. Synoptic snow? What's that? I like this cone for the lake effect event. Gets us all in. I would prefer it more south, as I could get dumped on...but this gets me in 6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Going to be tough, lake is starting to freeze. Have to rely on synoptic and it's pretty late in the season already. Any aerial/satellite imagery of Lake Erie today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Ugh. The best lake effect model says, "NO!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Synoptic snow? What's that? I like this cone for the lake effect event. Gets us all in. I would prefer it more south, as I could get dumped on...but this gets me in 6 inches. Yeah that would literally bury me, lol, close to 1' out there now and then another 18" but that would be equivalent to Moses parting the Red Sea, ,lol! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Ugh. The best lake effect model says, "NO!" its NOT always right, trust me on that as they all find a nut once in a while, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Just now, CNY-LES FREAK said: Yeah that would literally bury me, lol, close to 1' out there now and then another 18" but that would be equivalent to Moses parting the Red Sea, ,lol! That would put you on par with Carol Yerdon and Buffalowx Yerdon... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: That would put you on par with Carol Yerdon and Buffalowx Yerdon... I haven't been doing that well, I'm still below normal. Eastern and Southern NY are far above normal. Carol is way behind too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: I haven't been doing that well, I'm still below normal. Eastern and Southern NY are far above normal. Carol is way behind too. Good point. You're doing better in comparison to most of us in the lake effect belts. I think you might be almost 2 feet ahead of us? Southern and Eastern NY appear to be continuing their great run this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 This whole event tonight and tomorrow is perfect for this winter. A band north...and band south...they merge once east of us. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Not a bad H700 as the flow is pretty much parallel to the direction of the the greatest RH values but theres not much energy with it at all as its a completely open wave but there is a nice streak directly overhead but thats at H500. If someone showed me this map I'd say where's the storm at cause's theres zero reflection anywhere except H500, lol. Dominated by HP and yet we're getting a SWFL event, go figure! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 5 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: This whole event tonight and tomorrow is perfect for this winter. A band north...and band south...they merge once east of us. lol Let's just see what happens...the potential is there. No use getting negg'd out over this or that model with this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 minute ago, Syrmax said: Let's just see what happens...the potential is there. No use getting negg'd out over this or that model with this. Yeah. Could be pleasantly surprised. Many events have had moisture farther north and west, and more developed, than models have showed this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 1 hour ago, TugHillMatt said: Good point. You're doing better in comparison to most of us in the lake effect belts. I think you might be almost 2 feet ahead of us? Southern and Eastern NY appear to be continuing their great run this week. 67.1" so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 9, 2021 Author Share Posted February 9, 2021 Getting some pretty good snow right now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Not much excitement in the 0z runs. Luckily they change in 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Gfs is a close call verbatim.. Solid snow event.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 9, 2021 Share Posted February 9, 2021 Ukmet 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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