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Upstate/Eastern New York


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  On 2/9/2021 at 2:22 AM, LakeEffectKing said:

I think Syrmax, Freak and Matt are in the game tomorrow night....and Some scraps for me too!  And don't count out some influences from Geo Bay.

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I tend to agree. I get lost looking at the slew of model output for this but the general look is good for us here. I could see a 5 or 6" LES event here. That is usually the upper end here but we're also overdue for an exceedance. So, fingers crossed!

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  On 2/9/2021 at 12:46 AM, TugHillMatt said:

Looks like he includes the rte. 31 corridor as the line...hard to tell though with the fading white color. @Syrmax may actually have the best chance out of our group.

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Nah, I'm right in the middle of the 6-12" but where the blue fades to white but it was also supposed to be in the same spot last night and where did that band end up, lol? I want this band more than anyone else but when you've been burned so many times especially wrt LES, it gets old quick, lol, but nonetheless I'm good.

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  On 2/9/2021 at 2:44 AM, CNY-LES FREAK said:

Nah, I'm right in the middle of the 6-12" but where the blue fades to white but it was also supposed to be in the same spot last night and where did that band end up, lol? I want this band more than anyone else but when you've been burned so many times especially wrt LES, it gets old quick, lol, but nonetheless I'm good.

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Hopefully this isn't right, because then we're skunked again.

snku_acc.us_ne.png

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  On 2/9/2021 at 2:07 AM, BuffaloWeather said:
GSB Cities The 2020 - 2021
Snow Season
Normal Average 
to Date
This Time 
Last Season
Normal
Seasons Average
All Time Season 
Snowfall Record
           
Binghamton 79.5 51.7 53.7 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017)
Buffalo 55.6 66.9 50.7 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977)
Syracuse 47.6 84.3 60.9 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993)
Albany 47.5 38.5 38.9 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971)
Rochester 43.8 63.7 73.0 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960)
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KBUF, if all goes perfect, could make up that deficit this weekend 

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  On 2/9/2021 at 2:55 AM, CNY-LES FREAK said:

SUffice to say but were gonna have to moisten up as the Temp is 13F and a dp of 2F so I don't know how much of the precip it'll eat up before it starts to precipitate, at least a few hrs worth Id imagine.

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Synoptic snow? What's that? :lol:

I like this cone for the lake effect event. Gets us all in. I would prefer it more south, as I could get dumped on...but this gets me in 6 inches.

snku_acc.us_ne.png

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  On 2/9/2021 at 3:00 AM, TugHillMatt said:

Synoptic snow? What's that? :lol:

I like this cone for the lake effect event. Gets us all in. I would prefer it more south, as I could get dumped on...but this gets me in 6 inches.

snku_acc.us_ne.png

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Yeah that would literally bury me, lol, close to 1' out there now and then another 18" but that would be equivalent to Moses parting the Red Sea, ,lol!

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  On 2/9/2021 at 3:11 AM, BuffaloWeather said:

I  haven't been doing that well, I'm still below normal. Eastern and Southern NY are far above normal. Carol is way behind too.

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Good point. You're doing better in comparison to most of us in the lake effect belts. I think you might be almost 2 feet ahead of us? Southern and Eastern NY appear to be continuing their great run this week.

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Not a bad H700 as the flow is pretty much parallel to the direction of the the greatest RH values but theres not much energy with it at all  as its a completely open wave but there is a nice streak directly overhead but thats at H500.

700mb_sf.gif?1612841054372

If someone showed me this map I'd say where's the storm at cause's theres zero reflection anywhere except H500, lol. Dominated by HP and yet we're getting a SWFL event, go figure!

pmsl.gif?1612841134857

 

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