rochesterdave Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Worth is approaching 4’. They typically are one of the big ones. https://www.northernchateau.com/northernchateau.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: With Good ratios, that would probably be 4 to 6 inches for many of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 The band over Niagara county just shifted to a WNW orientation. I am assuming that is a similar angle we will be seeing off of Lake Ontario soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 hours ago, wolfie09 said: New map starting 7pm..resse Yeah, I think this map is off not by much but off nonetheless, but we'll see as the night progresses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Looks like a beautiful band starting to form over wolfie's head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 18z Euro for Tuesday storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 46 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: The band over Niagara county just shifted to a WNW orientation. I am assuming that is a similar angle we will be seeing off of Lake Ontario soon. The band is dropping ever so slowly but thats good as well cause when it finally arrives it'll be here longer, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Looks like the whole band is gonna come ashore then the band will reform on a more W-WNW direction, so we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, BGM Blizzard said: 18z Euro for Tuesday storm... The EURO is a downer for sure, lol! 1.6", what a joke, as I'd rather it not snow at all, but 'm sure its gonna change the next run so no worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 i think the band might get aided along by Huron in a few hrs as it attempts to connect, or at least starts to get seeded by Huron. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 I'll give it till 3Z and if it hasn't dropped yet than its probably not gonna, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 56 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I'll give it till 3Z and if it hasn't dropped yet than its probably not gonna, lol! I think the way it's oriented where it's curving up to the northeast is not going to help us in N. Onondaga. Doubtful we get anything. Still think you will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 My call for an inch on Tuesday might have been too high. I had to make sure I wasn't looking at the "10:1" ratio map. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 hour ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I'll give it till 3Z and if it hasn't dropped yet than its probably not gonna, lol! Yeah... this one doesn't look to be significant for S.Oswego Co./N. Onondaga Co....I think this may get into your area for a couple hours later tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 One last gasp here for now, coming down pretty good.. Band should back north in the AM.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Once again rgem leading the way.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Looks like more of a NW potential after the next system.. And jersey keeps getting snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SyracuseStorm Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 1 hour ago, wolfie09 said: Once again rgem leading the way.. Of course it is...it’s in your backyard. ****ing exhausting. Can someone start a thread for Lake Effect with W/WSW winds only!?!? it is a F’ing joke at this point- in Onondaga county, Binghamton NWS seems to not be aware we are part of their coverage. They need to hand it over to KBUF and frankly, exhausting seeing the same pattern with the F’ing W/WSW flow. meanwhile, Bing talks about a prolonged NW flow all week. Goddam...it is exhausting and people need to do their jobs and ****ing collaborate with Buffalo to understand who is the swinging D and who is just punching a clock. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 @SyracuseStorm, sorry to see you're so frustrated. It has been a tough one. Looks like the flow has gone a bit more NW so we'll see if it's enough to give us something of interest from the band in its weaker state. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Looks like City of Oswego getting hit pretty good right now... SUNY Oswego Webcam 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 I'm really liking tomorrows event as it leads right into a decent LES event with winds aligning out of the WNW/NW which oscillates in between the two flows for about 12 hrs with a nice converging of the winds with super omega. Here's the GFS tomorrow evening, notice the converging winds almost at the sutrface, and look at how the omega intersects the highest rh field so I would expect there to be some intense snows around tomorrow evenig. 06Z Wed Oh Boy, lol, impressive to say the least! 03Z Wed morning basically an all night event, but the one caveat is that its the GFS, lol, but ya never know. anyway, 12Z wed still going strong! I will check the 3K Nam to see if the GFS is off but iut seems like its not according to the 3K. Here's the 03Z Wed, even more omega with steep lapse rates with no inversions to impede growth. Suffice to say that I will be watchin out for some serious LE snows somewhere around here, lol! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 6z GFS has the sequel to the Valentines Day massacre 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Band is slowly lifting north and has retracted back to the lake.. Still getting a steady snow with some fluff bombs, 13°.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 One of my buddies lives in Scriba said he picked up close to foot and a half overnight. Nada thing here in Hannibal, which is good i didn't have to shovel haha. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 6 minutes ago, Revracer800 said: One of my buddies lives in Scriba said he picked up close to foot and a half overnight. Nada thing here in Hannibal, which is good i didn't have to shovel haha. You know we all like winter on this blog... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 17 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: You know we all like winter on this blog... Really? Huh didn't notice. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 8, 2021 Author Share Posted February 8, 2021 Getting some moderate snow here this morning. Roads are already covered. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 Nada here as well. @wolfie09, you are right...the Rgem is the best model for lake effect snow. How did you guys do up there in Oswego county? I have a couple colleagues who live in Oswego and as soon as I pulled in the parking lot I knew they had lots by the snow on their cars...lol. They said they got a foot overnight. Hopefully we can get a good WNW/NW flow after the system tomorrow. Have a good day, weather friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Getting some moderate snow here this morning. Roads are already covered. You're becoming the Carol Yerdon of SW NY. A drunk farts and you get 6" of snow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 8, 2021 Share Posted February 8, 2021 KBGM's current AFD disco of the post-clipper LES on WNW seems decidedly unimpressed although LES Freaks skew-Ts looked pretty good for us WNW flow losers: .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... Temperatures turn much colder Tuesday night with a cold Canadian airmass in place behind the exiting system, falling back into the teens. Persistent west/northwest flow will keep in chances for lingering lake effect snow showers, and thus additional light accumulations, southeast of Lake Ontario Tuesday night through early Wednesday. Light snow totals generally below an inch are expected. Otherwise, expect more breaks in the clouds while temperatures peak in the 20s. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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