TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Not sure if it was mentioned, but Lake Effect Snow Warning for N. Cayuga and Oswego for 7 to 10 inches. Looks like the band will flirt with this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Even a tiny tiny bit of yellow showing up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Even a tiny tiny bit of yellow showing up lol Obviously that little dot of yellow is because of the lake effect pushing in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Getting a nice burst of big beautiful fluffers, but it's having trouble surviving because it's legit sunny at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 16 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: Not sure if it was mentioned, but Lake Effect Snow Warning for N. Cayuga and Oswego for 7 to 10 inches. Looks like the band will flirt with this area. Wow I wasn't expecting that at all so its kind of a surprise, lol. I'm right in the middle of the cone which goes from No.Cayuga to Oswego, so I'm basically in the middle so I actually have a bit of wiggle room and ill get at least several inches so we'll see as its all speculative at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 My brother lives just NW of Philly. Says he got 12” of snow from this one. He’s always conservative. Fluffy stuff he said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 20 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Even a tiny tiny bit of yellow showing up lol I told you earlier that it was headed straight for you, lol, how are the ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 You may see this band for the next few hrs cause the winds are just starting to veer at the Western end of the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Like you would expect from lake effect lol Big fluffy flakes falling straight down, zero wind..I probably only have about an inch (eyeballing it), most of that in the last 20 min.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 The initial band doesn't look that impressive yet but it has grown a bit..I don't think the warning starts till 6pm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Long island and SE Mass getting obliterated by that band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: The initial band doesn't look that impressive yet but it has grown a bit..I don't think the warning starts till 6pm.. And its snowing 3"/hr? Yikes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 That was short lived though, the last gasp of the CF lol Probably closer to an inch ish or so.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 The models this morning were having a tough time trying to figure out if the band's southern extent would halt at the Parish/Central Square area, or the Phoenix/Clay area. The 2 camps were being driven by whether the genesis of the lake effect was shoreline or major axis convergence. It looks like right now the major axis convergence zone is setting up as we speak....which MAY indicate Central Oswego Co. as tonight's target zone for max. totals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Not bad so far.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 18 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: The models this morning were having a tough time trying to figure out if the band's southern extent would halt at the Parish/Central Square area, or the Phoenix/Clay area. The 2 camps were being driven by whether the genesis of the lake effect was shoreline or major axis convergence. It looks like right now the major axis convergence zone is setting up as we speak....which MAY indicate Central Oswego Co. as tonight's target zone for max. totals. I'm assuming that means No. Onondaga is out of the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 The Hrrr and Nam seem to bring it down here for a few hours and perhaps a couple inches...but who knows. We shall see. Looking good for you Oswego county friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: The GEFS spread long range is insane. They're having trouble handling the PV energy. Best course of action is day by day forecasting at this point. Im at day 12 now with about 4" on the ground. Consistent winter weather across most of WNY and Southern Ontario. Even Most of the Midwest and Virginia-Maine with NYC-DC getting multiple snowstorms. Looks to be a lock for me to get to 20 days with consistent snow cover and even NYC will most likely go 14 days with snow on the ground. I know some of you will hate this but with the next 7-10 days looking at least seasonably chilly and 1-2" system snows every other day all I need is one more big storm 6"+ with winter storm watches/warnings. Come early-mid march I hope we flip the script and the SE ridge locks in and we get consistent above average temperatures. I love that first warm day of spring where it reaches 60-70F and sun. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I'm assuming that means No. Onondaga is out of the game. I wouldn't say that...if a shoreline convergence can take over (hard to do once a center lake band forms, but can happen) then N. Onondaga Co. can jackpot...it happened many times when I was in Liverpool. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, mississaugasnow said: Im at day 12 now with about 4" on the ground. Consistent winter weather across most of WNY and Southern Ontario. Even Most of the Midwest and Virginia-Maine with NYC-DC getting multiple snowstorms. Looks to be a lock for me to get to 20 days with consistent snow cover and even NYC will most likely go 14 days with snow on the ground. I know some of you will hate this but with the next 7-10 days looking at least seasonably chilly and 1-2" system snows every other day all I need is one more big storm 6"+ with winter storm watches/warnings. Come early-mid march I hope we flip the script and the SE ridge locks in and we get consistent above average temperatures. I love that first warm day of spring where it reaches 60-70F and sun. Bite your tongue! Time to send you to a tropical island with Buffalowx and the rest of his crew. Enjoy your sun burns and fly bites. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Synoptic system for Tuesday continuing to fade south fast. Binghamton and Catskills jackpot again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Someone getting crushed tonight with the look of these dendrites lol It's like west band in a NW airmass.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 12 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: The Hrrr and Nam seem to bring it down here for a few hours and perhaps a couple inches...but who knows. We shall see. Looking good for you Oswego county friends. I wouldn't discount anywhere in that cone I mentioned from NO. Cayuga up to Oswego somewhere in there we may see some impressive totals but whos to say Central Oswego cty doesn't get in on the action as well, lol! Let the lake spread the love! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Heavy Flurries here on and off. Accumulation...Less Than Minimum Detectable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Someone getting crushed tonight with the look of these dendrites lol It's like west band in a NW airmass.. Winds really haven't shifted all that much as of yet but I think a wind shift is pretty evident on the Vis Sat on the West end of the Lake but that won't be here till after 7 or so and thats plenty of time to drop a couple to a few inches, easy..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Someone getting crushed tonight with the look of these dendrites lol It's like west band in a NW airmass.. Looks like you're under a solid band. Enjoy! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Keep that snow band in Central oswego county overnight lol. I don't wanna shovel again in the morning lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Yeah shes starting to drop out on the West end of the lake so lets see how evident that shift is a little later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Revracer800 said: Keep that snow band in Central oswego county overnight lol. I don't wanna shovel again in the morning lol. You are banished to the tropical island with Buffalowx and our friend from Ontario... 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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