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Upstate/Eastern New York


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Interesting. BUF issued this HWO for Northern Cayuga, which usually can apply for this area of Onondaga. They seem to think the band will make it far enough south.

Northern Cayuga-
122 PM EST Sat Feb 6 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Lake effect snow will develop Sunday night and continue through
Monday, with moderate accumulations possible.
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True dink and dunk fashion lol

An area of low pressure will track northeast across the region
Monday night into Tuesday, causing light snow to overspread the
region. Snow should start over WNY late Monday evening and continue
through Tuesday afternoon, especially for the North Country.
Guidance on this system is still a bit split with a few models
tracking the system a bit farther south. Which it then strengthening
along the coast with the storms western shield sticking around the
eastern half of the forecast area for a longer time period. Some
other guidance tracks the storm a bit more north and quicker,
reducing the amount of time it influences the area because the
systems strengthens farther north along the coast. Right now looks
like 1 to 2 inches for most areas, and 2 to 4 inches for Oswego and
Lewis counties.
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End of week discussion..

Light snow from the synoptic system will come to an end Tuesday
night and transition to lake enhanced snow and then lake effect
through Wednesday. The best chance for lake effect snow will be off
of Lake Ontario, but areas southeast of Lake Erie can also expect
some light lake snows.

An area of low pressure over the southern U.S. will track northeast
across the Tennessee Valley and to the Mid-Atlantic Coast from
Thursday morning through Friday morning. The storm will then track
northeast along the coast and quickly intensify. Timing with this
system varies between the model guidance, but generally the pattern
will be active from Thursday morning onward for most of the area.

Behind the passing system, lake effect once again looks like it fire
up off of both lakes starting Friday night.

Temperatures during the long term period will be below normal for
the entire period, and with a few days possibly as much as 20
degrees below normal.
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