TugHillMatt Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Mid-week this upcoming week is looking promising for Central NY. Let's see if it actually holds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: We'll see how it works out, never know with LES lol Rgem for example starts it west, veers WNW and then backs up west/WSW..I think we all probably see some snow..You have one system going north with it's associated CF and another LP off the east coast.. Maybe some sort of convergence band..Winds area all over the place at the surface.. Thats definitely an interesting look for Monday morning so perhaps we'll see but Tuesday into Wednesday looks like our next best chance for a sustained flow out of the WNW-NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Looks like the PV is going to make a visit into the Northeast next weekend and as it drops it looks like something forms along the coast but its too far ots for it to affect anyone at this time anyway. Look at this, if they phase, look out forget about it its all over, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Well for at least one run the european jumped on board for Friday.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 10 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: You're more experienced with the local climo...what pattern is best for us? I seriously sit here and wonder what it takes for Syracuse to reach its average. I thought Lows passing to the SE would still provide us with NW flow and some snows. Just seems like no pattern works out for us...so, what is best? You would of absolutely loved January of 03' as it snowed every day and thats no exaggeration either as it began, I remember on New Years day with a clipper and then that was it, there was a NW-WNW flow for practically the whole month. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/NARR/2003.html Go to this site and go to 2003 obviously January and start on the 4th and that's the pattern we want for sustained cold with copious amounts of snow, lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Trying to figure out why some of the .pngs show their content and some choose not to, weird but can't see it for some strange reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 8 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: Looks like the PV is going to make a visit into the Northeast next weekend and as it drops it looks like something forms along the coast but its too far ots for it to affect anyone at this time anyway. Look at this, if they phase, look out forget about it its all over, lol! That would be amazing. An arctic blizzard. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Most other guidance doesn't bring the PV as close as the gfs.. Would probably be some pretty good LES East-NE of the lakes me think.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, wolfie09 said: Most other guidance doesn't bring the PV as close as the gfs.. Would probably be some pretty good LES East-NE of the lakes me think.. Yeah, PV intrusions aren't that easy to forecast especially their Latitudinal extent southward but I'm sure it'll be somewhat closer than what the Icon is currently showing. Once they start moving Southward its kind of hard to stop them, lol, kind of like an Avalanche but alot of other factors are at play here so we'll see. The EURO is completely different than all other guidance so many solutions are on the table for this week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Thats a nice little event but its on its own I believe, No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: I really hope the lake is still wide open when if that happens. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Last 4 runs of the gfs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: I really hope the lake is still wide open when if that happens. Should be, its only 4 days out and I doubt it freezes in that time period! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Last 4 runs of the gfs.. The EURO is completely on its own as it takes the PV and brings it all the way to west Canada and then it decides to drop it but nowhere near the extent of the GFS so definitely 2 camps right now and I'm in the GFS camp even though I hate the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Still way way out there.. Synoptic event is about 5-6 days out, LES potential farther down the road..The "double whammy" we been waiting for lol Gfs still going strong for another 30+ hours lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Canadian for D6.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 It's in the european camp wrt the PV.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Canadian would be a nice, snowy week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Yeah system after system on the Canadian with some LES thrown in there.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Ukmet at the end of its run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Long week of tracking, we know it's not going to stay the same lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 One of the most active long ranges I've ever seen on these forums 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 The high in Syracuse was only supposed to be in the mid 20s today...most local stations reporting lower 30s....always overperforming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 This is the event that has insane potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 UK for Mon. Night/Tue. Event...few inches... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 The CF is trying to screw it up for the coast on the euro..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 46 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: One of the most active long ranges I've ever seen on these forums That means a lot coming from you. Glad to hear it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1"-3" on the euro for Tuesday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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