rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Snowing in Irondequoit! The pessimistic part of me says to enjoy it. Might be a while if 6z is right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 8 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Snowing in Irondequoit! The pessimistic part of me says to enjoy it. Might be a while if 6z is right Just saw something I can’t really remember. Being the junkie that I am, I was perusing my 10 day outlook on TWC, you know like one would read the farmers almanac, but something caught my eye. The normally Blaise forecast, which is also wildly wrong normally, read this for next Monday and Tuesday...watching a potential winter storm...I don’t think I’ve ever read that so far in advance. My long winded (text) point is this thing has a chance to be huge, no matter what one run shows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 GEFS still looks interesting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: GEFS still looks interesting. I do think it was just one run as each member run will show up at some point. 0z Euro still looks like a flush hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Ended up with 1.5 overnight. Snow growth was as good as it gets. Pure fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 If the 06Z NAM and Rgem are correct, we get missed by the weekend event to the NORTH this time...lol Maybe it's a good thing they show it there, as the "southern trend" COULD work out for us....maybe?....perhaps??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 I just measured 1.8" here and almost 30:1 ratio. High fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 9 minutes ago, Syrmax said: I just measured 1.8" here and almost 30:1 ratio. High fluff. Snowing pretty good here right now as the winds shift. Brushed about an inch off my car this morning at 7:30. Probably working towards 1.5 inches right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 I measured 0.8 inch of fluff and I swear there was only 0.02 inch of liquid in the tube. That’s a ratio of 40:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 We have 3" here and counting. Major fluff factor. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 25 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: If the 06Z NAM and Rgem are correct, we get missed by the weekend event to the NORTH this time...lol Maybe it's a good thing they show it there, as the "southern trend" COULD work out for us....maybe?....perhaps??? Sounds about right lol As we are stuck in-between 2 systems.. Kbuf map as of now which does include whatever they have forecasted for today.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 3 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Sounds about right lol As we are stuck in-between 2 systems.. Kbuf map as of now which does include whatever they have forecasted for today.. Probably way too high for Synoptic. Dusting to 2 inches is my call. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Really coming down in Irondequoit! Love lake fluff! Windless too! It’s just gorgeous. Living in a snow globe! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 This should've been a WWA or at least a SWS for this AM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Probably won't see so many suppressive HP once the-AO relaxes.. Back to cutters? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Probably won't see so many suppressive HP once the-AO relaxes.. Back to cutters? Lol I don't see that V shape happening, think it'll be more subtle and drawn-out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 "Heavier" snows moved a bit south on the 12z NAM.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 iPhone pics never do it Justice . 1/2”-1” per hour rates. Fluff bombs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: "Heavier" snows moved a bit south on the 12z NAM.. There was talk by the local Mets today that the “heavier “ snows would be Buffalo to Lake Ontario eastward for the Saturday night event owing I suppose to enhancement 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Now it’s 2”/hr. About 3” so far. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Rgem looks solid.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 6 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Rgem looks solid.. I actually don’t buy the hole over the Niagara frontier. NE winds would have the most snow off that end of the lake not the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Icon whiff Tue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 We are getting our precip from the lakes low not the coastal..So winds are actually out of the South/SE(initially) That's why you don't see any downsloping.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 12 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: Icon whiff Tue. And weak sauce...it has the HP much farther north and east of most modeling right now. Could be right, but I’m not buying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Still thinking we can get a moderate event this weekend.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Icon with the double whammy lol Miss first one to the south and cuts the follow up.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Closing in on 5”. I’m just gonna have my big snowstorm today. Lol 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 11, 2021 Share Posted February 11, 2021 Gfs weak sauce for Sunday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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