rochesterdave Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Check where it starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 That was a big one for Rochester. LP wasn’t even that strong. 992. Started near Bermuda. Crazy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Might be a good week for some WNW lake events. Mesos are really trying to push a band along the Oswego/Onondaga border...far enough south for those of us in the N. Syracuse weenie zone to cash in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Ukmet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 42 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Ukmet Well at least three of the big 4 have it except the darn EURO but perhaps it'll have it with tonights 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Heres the GDPS for this Friday and its not looking to good for snow. All the other globals have Snow for the Thursday Friday event except the EURO so we'll see which way the others go or for that matter which way the EURO goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Heres the 3KM Nam for tomorrow nights LES and whoever is under this band will get appreciable snows in a relatively short window as the band is pretty much gone by 12Z Monday. Look at the Omega and the converging winds at the surface! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 7 hours ago, TugHillMatt said: Question for you guys have lived in NY longer than me. Why is it so difficult to get one of these waves/clippers on a track that gives the Thruway corridor the best snows? 18 z NAM showed it farther north and we were on the edge of heavier snow...now 00Z has it south and the best snows look to be BGM over to Catskills. We just can't seem to get something that gives Finger Lakes to Syracuse the best snows. I guess the Lakes guide it on a more northern track...and the higher elevations along the southern tier guide it that way? Most of the season the teleconnections have probably played a decent role. Our best opportunities are when the MS River Valley/East Coast has an established longwave trough, and we have not had that for a few seasons at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 06 NAM off with western extent of qpf... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 As well as the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Wayne-Northern Cayuga-Oswego- Including the cities of Newark, Fair Haven, and Oswego 336 AM EST Sun Feb 7 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches in the most persistent lake snows. * WHERE...Wayne, Northern Cayuga, and Oswego counties. * WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Nice burst of moderate snow here this morning. Radar looks solid for a couple hours. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 40 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: Nice burst of moderate snow here this morning. Radar looks solid for a couple hours. Closing in on 2” (1.8”) should be close to 3 by the end in an hour or two. Combine with Tuesday and then Thursday-Friday a total of 10”-12” total for all 3 events is likely. Very cool times! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Front slowly pushing east.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Closing in on 2” (1.8”) should be close to 3 by the end in an hour or two. Combine with Tuesday and then Thursday-Friday a total of 10”-12” total for all 3 events is likely. Very cool times! Yep just measured 2” on the dot here and it’s coming down beautifully. Huge flakes falling nice and steadily to the ground with little wind. Best it’s looked outside all year. About 10-11” depth! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Front slowly pushing east.. I'm hoping that batch of precip can stay together until it gets here otherwise I'm afraid we won't see a flake till tonight. The Coastal won't quite make it this far as most models were showing 1-2" at most, but even that seems like a stretch now, so we'll see I suppose! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 It’s interesting to all of the sudden find ourselves in one of the longest and most persistent cold stretches since 2015. This winter had such a slow and uneventful start and now it looks like the tundra outside with at least another 10 days to go. This winter has redeemed itself completely in my eyes! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Super quick mover, WOW, the back edge of the precip is already nearing WV! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: It’s interesting to all of the sudden find ourselves in one of the longest and most persistent cold stretches since 2015. This winter had such a slow and uneventful start and now it looks like the tundra outside with at least another 10 days to go. This winter has redeemed itself completely in my eyes! Agree 100% as I haven't seen pavement since the first fluke LES band that dropped close to 15"! Lovin every minute of it, with lots more to come fo sho! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 10 minutes ago, lakeeffectkid383 said: Yep just measured 2” on the dot here and it’s coming down beautifully. Huge flakes falling nice and steadily to the ground with little wind. Best it’s looked outside all year. About 10-11” depth! Yep the flake size and no wind is just stunning. I think alit if the north towns will be closing in on a foot and half OTG by weeks end. Nice deep snowpack for once and will be a good two to three week time period of snow OTG maybe longer if the GFS is to be believed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I sure hope the lake band tonight can have a bit more of a NW component to it. Otherwise, I'll be watching it train just to the north on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 8 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: It’s interesting to all of the sudden find ourselves in one of the longest and most persistent cold stretches since 2015. This winter had such a slow and uneventful start and now it looks like the tundra outside with at least another 10 days to go. This winter has redeemed itself completely in my eyes! Not me. We are still well below average in snowfall. But it is fun trying to make it up all at once. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Not me. We are still well below average in snowfall. But it is fun trying to make it up all at once. No chance we ever make up that deficit, but this prolonged cold with a solid snowpack is a great consolation price. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Steady SN- has commenced here and roads are dusting up. If we get an inch I'll call it a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 6 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: I sure hope the lake band tonight can have a bit more of a NW component to it. Otherwise, I'll be watching it train just to the north on radar. Yeah tough call tonight..Winds look to be WNW/NW Over the lake but west/WSW over land trying to push these bands north lol As usual we have 2 camps, RGEM, NMM and HI rez Canadian who like Central Oswego vs HRRR, ARW, NSSl who like southern Oswego, northern cayuga lol Pretty much nowcasting time anyway.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, BGM Blizzard said: Steady SN- has commenced here. If we get an inch I'll call it a win. Very light virga here. Long island looking to get a nice blitz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 15 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: No chance we ever make up that deficit, but this prolonged cold with a solid snowpack is a great consolation price. Agreed and while Rochester may not make up the deficit I wouldn’t be so sure Buffalo won’t come close. One more good lake event and one blockbuster synoptic storm and it will be close. I think we’re at 55” as of yesterday with about 3” more today and we’re only 35” away from normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: No chance we ever make up that deficit, but this prolonged cold with a solid snowpack is a great consolation price. If we have a above average feb March we can limp there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Roc is only 19 below average now. So yeah we would need a big one in there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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