tim123 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Probably once in a life time thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Moderate to occasionally heavy snow out here in ENY. Hearing awesome reports out of that band further to my south in the HV. Similar to what I experienced in December. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Some of the bigger totals in jersey so far.. Morris County... Mendham 30.0 in 0720 PM 02/01 Public Ledgewood 26.0 in 0547 PM 02/01 Public 1 WNW Long Valley 26.0 in 0500 PM 02/01 Public Randolph 25.8 in 0700 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Chester 24.8 in 0330 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Lake Hopatcong 22.0 in 0710 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Chatham 20.3 in 0410 PM 02/01 Public Green Pond 20.0 in 0420 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Netcong 20.0 in Sussex County... Sparta 28.3 in 0730 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Stanhope 25.3 in 0530 PM 02/01 Public Hopatcong 24.0 in 0615 PM 02/01 Trained Spotter Stanhope 24.0 in 0417 PM 02/01 Public Byram Twp 22.5 in https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=PHI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just not seeing it for much of upstate. I think it's going to be a few hours of snow then some light snow. We'll be waiting a lot longer to get meaningful snow than for how long it will actually be snowing....unless we get enhancement involved, which many of the models are not showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Nyc around a foot as of 4-5pm.. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=OKX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Actually central park 15"..That was jfk lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, wolfie09 said: Nyc around a foot as of 4-5pm.. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=PNS&issuedby=OKX 16.3" officially from what I've seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 7 minutes ago, Stash said: Moderate to occasionally heavy snow out here in ENY. Hearing awesome reports out of that band further to my south in the HV. Similar to what I experienced in December. Sick band incoming though 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 My forecast numbers for the I95 are going to miss by 2-3x, haha. They are getting blitzed right now. I guess I forgot what a stalled low with beautiful upper level dynamics can do on the coast in mid winter. Sadly, I think my upstate numbers will be more accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: My forecast numbers for the I95 are going to miss by 2-3x, haha. They are getting blitzed right now. I guess I forgot what a stalled low with beautiful upper level dynamics can do on the coast in mid winter. Sadly, I think my upstate numbers will be more accurate What were your numbers for Upstate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Looks like some of the banding is finally starting to progress a bit to the northwest. It could be several more hours until CNY gets in on some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 NAM Is rocking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: What were your numbers for Upstate? Buf - 3, ROC - 3, Syr - 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, DeltaT13 said: Buf - 3, ROC - 3, Syr - 5 Wow, quite a difference between you and the King. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, 96blizz said: NAM Is rocking! That's definitely better than I was expecting. This thing is moving soooo slowly, that if the bands sit over our area for some time, we could certainly get nice amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said: That's definitely better than I was expecting. This thing is moving soooo slowly, that if the bands sit over our area for some time, we could certainly get nice amounts. And the 3KM! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Just now, TugHillMatt said: Wow, quite a different between you and the King. Yeah, he's all in. I'm on the West Side of Roc and bitter. I think this is a great storm system meteorologically, I'm just not impressed by the throwback scraps in these situations for us in far WNY..it rarely works out. Cuse is on the cusp of legit snows though. That said, this storm stalls for a lot longer than similar systems, so perhaps once its really closes off and matures it will be able to channel a lot of moisture back west. Then there is the question of whether or not a deformation band will setup somewhere this way along with the lake effect wildcard. I'm certainly tracking it and hopeful, but just not feeling really confident. Im planning to hit Greek Peak on Wednesday which should be a very solid day. They have great glades! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 2 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Yeah, he's all in. I'm on the West Side of Roc and bitter. I think this is a great storm system meteorologically, I'm just not impressed by the throwback scraps in these situations for us in far WNY..it rarely works out. Cuse is on the cusp of legit snows though. That said, this storm stalls for a lot longer than similar systems, so perhaps once its really closes off and matures it will be able to channel a lot of moisture back west. Then there is the question of whether or not a deformation band will setup somewhere this way along with the lake effect wildcard. I'm certainly tracking it and hopeful, but just not feeling really confident. Im planning to hit Greek Peak on Wednesday which should be a very solid day. They have great glades! Ahh, Greek Peak. Taught my daughter how to ski there a couple years back...nice mountain-hill...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Like swiss cheese on the hrw models lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said: Yeah, he's all in. I'm on the West Side of Roc and bitter. I think this is a great storm system meteorologically, I'm just not impressed by the throwback scraps in these situations for us in far WNY..it rarely works out. Cuse is on the cusp of legit snows though. That said, this storm stalls for a lot longer than similar systems, so perhaps once its really closes off and matures it will be able to channel a lot of moisture back west. Then there is the question of whether or not a deformation band will setup somewhere this way along with the lake effect wildcard. I'm certainly tracking it and hopeful, but just not feeling really confident. Im planning to hit Greek Peak on Wednesday which should be a very solid day. They have great glades! Yeah, I have similar thoughts as yours. I have mentioned I really think this is going to be a situation where you could do awesome if you're under one of the bands for a while...but if you're outside of it, it's going to be a tough pill to swallow. I think it's going to provide bigger pleasant surprises for some, and bitter disappointment for others. Just hopeful it's more surprise for as many of us as possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 4 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Yeah, he's all in. I'm on the West Side of Roc and bitter. I think this is a great storm system meteorologically, I'm just not impressed by the throwback scraps in these situations for us in far WNY..it rarely works out. Cuse is on the cusp of legit snows though. That said, this storm stalls for a lot longer than similar systems, so perhaps once its really closes off and matures it will be able to channel a lot of moisture back west. Then there is the question of whether or not a deformation band will setup somewhere this way along with the lake effect wildcard. I'm certainly tracking it and hopeful, but just not feeling really confident. Im planning to hit Greek Peak on Wednesday which should be a very solid day. They have great glades! One thing I want to point out Delta, the 850’s are forecast quite a bit colder than they were forecast yesterday. I share your concerns about how far west the good stuff comes but I gotta say, I think it’s possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 5 minutes ago, vortmax said: Ahh, Greek Peak. Taught my daughter how to ski there a couple years back...nice mountain-hill...lol For a smaller mountain, their glades are really impressive. It always blows my mind when they have the snow how much terrain there is, and its pretty technical. I only go when I know I can get off piste though...and Wednesday looks pretty prime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 11 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: One thing I want to point out Delta, the 850’s are forecast quite a bit colder than they were forecast yesterday. I share your concerns about how far west the good stuff comes but I gotta say, I think it’s possible. NE lake enhancement is one of my favorite setups. I feel like big DeltaT's arent as critical with a lot of background moisture and lift. Those are right around the 13 degree benchmark though so we should be in play, perhaps doing a little better because the lake temp is probably 4 or 5 degrees above freezing for some portion of the center of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 1 hour ago, Ericjcrash said: 16.3" officially from what I've seen Just saw a report on NY1 of 19 inches in the Bronx. Looks like it’s raining down there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Good lord. That must be 3-5”/hr stuff, epic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 10 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said: Good lord. That must be 3-5”/hr stuff, epic! One might just call that a D$%^# band...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 I want some of that dea.. "looks over at Syrmax" ... uh, Darth Vader band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 3 minutes ago, vortmax said: One might just call that a D$%^# band...lol Looks real familiar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Looking at radar, I’d estimate Syracuse gets into it around 1 am. NAM hirez said screw you to a lot of us. Hope it’s wrong but ya gotta put it into the equation.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 2, 2021 Share Posted February 2, 2021 Rgem looks like junk compared to what it did for the last many runs. Who knows...one model steps forward and another takes a step back. Time for radar and window watching... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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