Syrmax Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 22 minutes ago, vortmax said: Looks to me some dry-slotting about to happen: Beware the Slot! With a storm this tucked in, i wasn't believing what the Euro was selling for snow totals in/around NYC, esp out on LI and into SNE. Seen this movie way too many times living down there. They need a storm to be out closer to the Benchmark to be safe, esp on more wound-up systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I took another measurement just now, after my early a.m. one. We did end up with 1" here and a total of 0.05 liquid. I guess this will go on tomorrow's account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 It’s never too late for the EURO imho! That’s one of those old wives tales that won’t die. It still ingests way more info than other models right up to go time. I’ve never heard a good explanation as to why we discount global s inside 24-36? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Dave look new euro. Blizzard for next monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, tim123 said: I like how it got rid of insane cutoff to west. Foot of snow right over you Tim! I like the Eastern suburbs for a foot. Bust potential is high but I’m liking what I’m seeing so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 1 minute ago, rochesterdave said: It’s never too late for the EURO imho! That’s one of those old wives tales that won’t die. It still ingests way more info than other models right up to go time. I’ve never heard a good explanation as to why we discount global s inside 24-36? Because we usually get all "modeled out" by gametime? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, Syrmax said: Because we usually get all "modeled out" by gametime? Impossible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Damn Son... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PerintonMan Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 53 minutes ago, 96blizz said: Snowing again in Skaneateles. Definitely ahead of schedule and the NYC crews are calling bust on the monster amounts. Reminds me of March 2017 (and I was in NJ). Party is over in NYC already? I thought they had at least another 6-8 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Snow filling in rapidly on radar in roc area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 None of the meso models have this snow area. New hrrr has mix getting up to catskills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Virga here now. Our nice sort of sunny afternoon has left us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 8 minutes ago, tim123 said: None of the meso models have this snow area. New hrrr has mix getting up to catskills. Pretty dry. The storm sits off NYC and just dries up? I don’t buy it. Ive got a really good feeling about this one. It’s juicier than any guidance. HRRR doesn’t have any of this precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Mod snow rate here. Been off and on .25-.5/hr rate so far since noon. Roads are starting to cover over again. Temp is 30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 This winter has potential to be Binghamtons all time winter season. They've jack-potted in every single event. https://goldensnowball.com/ GSB Cities The 2020 - 2021 Snow Season Normal Average to Date This Time Last Season Normal Seasons Average All Time Season Snowfall Record Binghamton 67.4 46.8 39.4 83.4 135.2 inches (2016 - 2017) Buffalo 44.0 61.5 41.9 94.7 199.4 inches (1976 - 1977) Albany 39.5 34.7 35.3 60.2 112.5 inches (1970 - 1971) Syracuse 37.5 76.6 46.3 123.8 192.1 inches (1992 - 1993) Rochester 33.6 57.4 62.0 99.5 161.7 inches (1959 - 1960) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 I think my 5 inch forecast is going to bust badly. Already have 2.25 inches of snow. Currently snowing moderately. Temp is 27 F. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: This winter has potential to be Binghamtons all time winter season. They've jack-potted in every single event. Eh, I was looking at these numbers yesterday and think it will be a long shot. All time snowiest was 2016-17 with 135" and by end of January 2017 we had 70". As of yesterday we were at 68". In 2017, we had 23" in Feb and also had the big 30"+ blizzard in March. This winter still has alot of work to do to keep up. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: Eh, I was looking at these numbers yesterday and think it will be a long shot. All time snowiest was 2016-17 with 136" and by end of January 2017 we had 70". As of yesterday we were at 68". In 2017, we had 23" in Feb and also had the big 30"+ blizzard in March. This winter still has alot of work to do to keep up. If you get 12-18" for this storm and next weeks looks big too. That would put you over 100 and pattern looks good going forward. Potential is there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Started snowing here again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Legit light snow in walworth. Not sure maybe this is why euro was wafling so much with precip amounts. Trying to figure out amout of dry air around. I don't expect much today. But good to see moisture around rather than blowing dust 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 9 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: If you get 12-18" for this storm and next weeks looks big too. That would put you over 100 and pattern looks good going forward. Potential is there. Yeah not impossible if the pattern is supportive. Would be pretty amazing to break the all time record again after just 4 years. 2015-16 was the least snowiest on record too, so it would be a 3rd all-time record breaker in a 6 year span. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 1, 2021 Author Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, BGM Blizzard said: Yeah not impossible if the pattern is supportive. Would be pretty amazing to break the all time record again after just 4 years. 2015-16 was the least snowiest on record too, so it would be 3 record breakers in a 6 year span. My uncle and aunt live there in the hills, they said its been a fun winter. Snowcover the entire winter so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 HRRR finds that same sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: My uncle and aunt live there in the hills, they said its been a fun winter. Snowcover the entire winter so far. Yep, for sure. The Xmas eve washout took away about 80% of our snowpack the week after the big 44" storm, but we've sustained atleast 4 inches on the ground since that storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Our main area of snow is what coming into Albany now. Thats going to swing all the way across state to just about buffalo. Pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 Snow picked back up here again after another nice little burst between 12 and 1. Very cool to watch the radar and see snow moving due east down the 90. Don’t see that very often! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 NAMs ticked up here...time will tell 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 That down sloping off the tug an dacks its brutal. Never seen it that pronounced on models. Nam depicted it even more so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BGM Blizzard Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 20 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said: NAMs ticked up here...time will tell Thinking 11-12 total here including what already fallen. Outside of the east facing slopes of the Catskills, LEK spot in the hills of West Central Madison Co looks like the model consensus bullseye for upstate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted February 1, 2021 Share Posted February 1, 2021 We've been in some darker returns for the past few hrs with absolutely nothing to show for it, as we're having a virga party. It was completely Sunny here for a few hrs as well and it dried up pretty good in that time frame so we've been trying to saturate ever since and its having a hard time doing so as the 700mb re orientates itself as the coastal continues to stack. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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