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Synoptic Snowstorm 2/1-2/4


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3 minutes ago, vortmax said:

Hoping the Lake is getting involved...not sure what the 850s are right now.

It's not technically cold enough for pure lake effect in regards to instability and deltaT's but the lake is certainly adding some moisture and heat content to that airmass.

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3 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

No.

He's right and wrong kind of.  I usually stand up for the NWS, but they haven't been a bastion of accuracy the last few storms.  They nowcasted this one 6 hours before the event, which I admit appears to be working out better than I expected, but not exactly ground breaking forecasting..

It's just weird when people act like what I or others say somehow negates the NWS.  People are free to choose any forecast they want.  In this forum we just spitball and bitch most of the time.  Take it for what it is.. 

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49 minutes ago, rochesterdave said:

Let’s be honest. Nobody knows who is going to cash in tonight. But it’s snowing heavily in Irondequoit now. Evening commute gonna be bad. Is it 0.3” or 0.8”? It’s a guess at this point. Now cast time. 

There. Fixed. :)

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1 minute ago, LakeEffectKing said:

Man I was hoping you ROC guys were gonna cash in!! I wouldn't be surprised if some of you see as much as I have in Caz. (Think high ratios.   According to my wife we picked up another 4" Which would bring the snow total to 18" but I'll have an official measurement when I get home  At 6.

Wow you got way more than Syracuse and you're so close? I think Syr got a few inches?

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3 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said:

Man I was hoping you ROC guys were gonna cash in!! I wouldn't be surprised if some of you see as much as I have in Caz. (Think high ratios.   According to my wife we picked up another 4" Which would bring the snow total to 18" but I'll have an official measurement when I get home  At 6.

Man! I was really starting to feel like I hung myself out there! Kuchie time king!

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Well things have certainly accelerated far faster than I ever thought they could.  Damn near blizzard conditions out my window right now.  Color me shocked, impressed, and very happy.  Radar looks impressive upstream.  

I have to climb up on my roof and bust off and ice dam that's causing some issues though.  That's going to be a wild time!

 

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1 minute ago, DeltaT13 said:

Well things have certainly accelerated far faster than I ever thought they could.  Damn near blizzard conditions out my window right now.  Color me shocked, impressed, and very happy.  Radar looks impressive upstream.  

I have to climb up on my roof and bust off and ice dam that's causing some issues though.  That's going to be a wild time!

 

For what it’s worth, mad respect for your input here always and super cool display of humility. 

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4 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

Well things have certainly accelerated far faster than I ever thought they could.  Damn near blizzard conditions out my window right now.  Color me shocked, impressed, and very happy.  Radar looks impressive upstream.  

I have to climb up on my roof and bust off and ice dam that's causing some issues though.  That's going to be a wild time!

 

Chase worthy stuff, or just hold off until this weekend here?

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Just now, 96blizz said:

For what it’s worth, mad respect for your input here always in super cool display of humility. 

Thanks man.  I know I'm a bit of a pessimist in here sometimes.  It's hard to stay positive sometimes when you love weather so much and things aren't working out the way you had hoped.  

I also don't consider myself above any of you guys.  I did the math, and studied the books 20 years ago, but most of you guys are just as good or better than me at pattern recognition.  The internet and all the available data has allowed even arm chair weather enthusiast to do a very good job of tracking and forecasting weather these days.  I love this forum.  Glad to have all the differing inputs, even when some of us have our depressive moments.  

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1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Chase worthy stuff, or just hold off until this weekend here?

I'm probably going to head out and drive around a bit in a few minutes here.  I'll be going on an inadvertent chase around 8pm to pick up my wife from work because she's too nervous to drive home.  Her car is not great in the snow.

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