weatherpruf Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, White Gorilla said: It definitely is a significant downgrade from 5-8 Well they have caused near panic in the tristate area once again. I couldn't get prescriptions this afternoon; drive up line was too long. left after 20 mins. Couldn't get curbside at Sam's because all the regular shoppers took the curbside spots. Reports in media kept calling for intense bands during the day; in the AM they were going 5-9. That is all people needed to hear. It's a Sunday anyway so a bust doesn't mean much. But, c'mon....I don't really care about the inconvenience; I'm retired and will have the spots to myself Monday morning. But i do get tired of the media panic, and now want to go 2-4? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lordsnot Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Well they have caused near panic in the tristate area once again. I couldn't get prescriptions this afternoon; drive up line was too long. left after 20 mins. Couldn't get curbside at Sam's because all the regular shoppers took the curbside spots. Reports in media kept calling for intense bands during the day; in the AM they were going 5-9. That is all people needed to hear. It's a Sunday anyway so a bust doesn't mean much. But, c'mon....I don't really care about the inconvenience; I'm retired and will have the spots to myself Monday morning. But i do get tired of the media panic, and now want to go 2-4? Meanwhile Joe Cioffi is sticking to his 6-8" forecast for NYC Metro. Back in the day, growing up on LI, Joe Cioffi on NEWS12 LI was prolly the most accurate forecaster in NY...nowadays: not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 18z euro tick better for the region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Wentzadelphia said: 18z euro tick better for the region Yours or ours? You are still Mt Holly right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, lordsnot said: Meanwhile Joe Cioffi is sticking to his 6-8" forecast for NYC Metro. Back in the day, growing up on LI, Joe Cioffi on NEWS12 LI was prolly the most accurate forecaster in NY...nowadays: not so much. And what’s saying he couldn’t be right at the end 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeadInTheClouds Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Well they have caused near panic in the tristate area once again. I couldn't get prescriptions this afternoon; drive up line was too long. left after 20 mins. Couldn't get curbside at Sam's because all the regular shoppers took the curbside spots. Reports in media kept calling for intense bands during the day; in the AM they were going 5-9. That is all people needed to hear. It's a Sunday anyway so a bust doesn't mean much. But, c'mon....I don't really care about the inconvenience; I'm retired and will have the spots to myself Monday morning. But i do get tired of the media panic, and now want to go 2-4? NWS still basically saying 4-8 depending on location and storm is still down south so who knows what final results will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, weatherpruf said: Yours or ours? You are still Mt Holly right? Meant yours in NYC/Li. Looks better down towards NJ but I’m going off on SV so hard to say for sure without wxbell gradient totals. I know it def was better up in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowguy66 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 DT is a train wreck. He’s a model hugger. I’ve have been watching him over the years and used to think he was the man but I have seen him bust so many times. He’s really just a play-by-play guy describing the model outputs. He seems to always have an axe to grind with his competition. I do not take him serious anymore just look at his site for amusement only. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Meant yours in NYC/Li. Looks better down towards NJ but I’m going off on SV so hard to say for sure without wxbell gradient totals. I know it def was better up in SNE Ok but I'm not NYC or LI...I'm a bit SW of the city across from SI. Southern and eastern storms tend to leave us with scraps, as do NW ones for that matter. It's hard to say which is better for us, though in setups like the last one we still do a lot better than the shore. 19 inches reported here ( sleeted for hours ) so not the NW totals but much higher than SE areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Mulens one liners were the best. Miss that guy! He still pops in every once in a while with a classic...lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Snowguy66 said: DT is a train wreck. He’s a model hugger. I’ve have been watching him over the years and used to think he was the man but I have seen him bust so many times. He’s really just a play-by-play guy describing the model outputs. He seems to always have an axe to grind with his competition. I do not take him serious anymore just look at his site for amusement only. The field does attract some strange characters, then again you will see this in every field; I've seen dog evolutionists argue about the origins of the dog like it was crossfire....calling each other stupid and idiots and all. These are PhDs..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowguy66 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: The field does attract some strange characters, then again you will see this in every field; I've seen dog evolutionists argue about the origins of the dog like it was crossfire....calling each other stupid and idiots and all. These are PhDs..... Well said. My brother is a meteorologist for the national weather service so I guess I take it personal when he’s always criticizing the National Weather Service for A bad forecast before the storm even get started. This guy says he will tell you when he got it wrong but it’s usually 18 hours after the fact because he usually has some kind of excuse that he was sick or something which is just so typical of him. I love this forum. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 19 minutes ago, lordsnot said: Meanwhile Joe Cioffi is sticking to his 6-8" forecast for NYC Metro. Back in the day, growing up on LI, Joe Cioffi on NEWS12 LI was prolly the most accurate forecaster in NY...nowadays: not so much. Disagree about Joe Cioffi...he's still one of the best. Doesn't flip flop with every model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 The NWS does an excellent job, after all the generally get better pay the most private Mets so it attracts top talent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, Mitchel Volk said: The NWS does an excellent job, after all the generally get better pay the most private Mets so it attracts top talent. When i was younger and worked on fishing boats, they were the object of scorn, because blown forecasts can be life-threatening at sea. A wind that is forecast for 10-15 NW but ends up closer to 30 is a big deal a few miles offshore; like wise 10-15 NW that turns out to be 10-15 NE is also a problem. But generally, being a retired government worker, who was paid more than the folks in the private sector for my particular field ( though there was a ceiling to the salary that doesn't exist in the private sector, theoretically...) I have a high opinion of pubic servants, including the NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 From BGM NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Only minor to temperatures and dewpoints with this update. It appears that the 18Z model suite for Sunday is trending further southeast. This will be evaluated for the next update. Previous discussion below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, sferic said: From BGM NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Only minor to temperatures and dewpoints with this update. It appears that the 18Z model suite for Sunday is trending further southeast. This will be evaluated for the next update. Previous discussion below. That darn weather just won't do what you want it to..... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Liberty NY 22.1/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 30/13 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Jeff Smith w/ 6-10 for ELI.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 I can already see the drop in interest here, unless people are waiting on new models.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: I can already see the drop in interest here, unless people are waiting on new models.... I attribute it more to a combination of satisfaction and fatigue from last week's storm.. I know I feel it myself. 4-8, 3-6, heck 2-3 - if it was the first snow of the season, or if last week hadn't happened, it'd be busier here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said: I attribute it more to a combination of satisfaction and fatigue from last week's storm.. I know I feel it myself. 4-8, 3-6, heck 2-3 - if it was the first snow of the season, or if last week hadn't happened, it'd be busier here. It's also Saturday night, even if there isn't much to do these days.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Euro is really nice for eastern LI West trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burrito27 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Euro is really nice for eastern LI West trend? Do you have a snowmap for the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: It's also Saturday night, even if there isn't much to do these days.... so true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 12 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: It's also Saturday night, even if there isn't much to do these days.... Yeah it takes so long to put the slippers on by 8... It's funny but all of the forums I hang out on are dead tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, lordsnot said: Oddly, John Marshall's final call is 4-7" for NYC Metro, down from 6-9" from his previous forecast, but higher than anyone else at this point. Steve D, Adam T and Mike Masco are MIA since this morning. Steve D. Put a video out around noon today. Not MIA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg g Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Steve D is always active and posting stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 7, 2021 Share Posted February 7, 2021 Based on where the low will be the heaviest stuff should be over central/east NJ into NYC/LI. Remember the strongest banding tends to be further NW than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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