HVSnowLover Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, Allsnow said: It just keeps snowing! Best February ever! One storm at a time but the rest of the week full of snow threats as well 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: It just keeps snowing! Best February ever! Also when this massive blocking pattern finally falls apart we may get one of those massive overrunning storms! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 51 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: It has been a very snowy period. It will be interesting to see how things stack up over a 2- or 3-week period, as there may be some additional snowfall opportunities. I agree 100% Need to think Feb 1-17 and max amount there. Also some science on snow loads if anyone has it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 hours ago, wdrag said: By the 13th I do... my guess is 3-6 for you Sunday, T-1" if snow Tuesday,, then next Thu possibly several inches, then ice Friday and end as snow early Sat. That latter uncertain on amounts of the ptypes. Definitely safe mitigation considerations... no science on my part but based on your report, melt damming in gutters and where SAFELY-SAFELY possible, ease snow loads on roofs. Definitely not worth a broken leg, concussion or worse. There's another behind this the 16th-17th ish I think. All of this is modeling based. ' thanks. Nam12K at noon model run indicates 6+ now for us in Macungie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 k nam is 6-9 for the majority 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northof78 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: 3 k nam is 6-9 for the majority Do you have a map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 On those precip charts a lot of that stuff that shows rain would be wet snow. I still like 6-10" but until other models come onboard I'll hedge closer to 4-8". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 I'll never forget when I got 60" in 5 weeks...lol That was rough to deal with as a plower. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 54 minutes ago, uncle W said: its missing Jan 2016 It ranks higher than the bottom 20 or so listed. It's definitely in XMACIS... all one day ~27.3 on the 23rd and 27.9 over 8 day period. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 6, 2021 Author Share Posted February 6, 2021 3 minutes ago, Albedoman said: thanks. Nam12K at noon model run indicates 6+ now for us in Macungie. Yes .. thanks... going to be a tough 5-6 hour period ~10A-3P. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, Northof78 said: Do you have a map? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 21 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said: Love maps like these when we all do well 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 52 minutes ago, uncle W said: its missing Jan 2016 I just ran this using a CPK data set I pulled right before the new year. Here's what I get as the periods in front of us we can pass Interestingly, I also calculated 15 day totals and they are not much higher. Jan 6, 1948 is tops at 32.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Love maps like these when we all do well 4 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Love maps like these when we all do well Looks good for all the folks in the NYC metro thread. Let’s hope it holds serve. Not much more time till the event begins. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, hooralph said: I just ran this using a CPK data set I pulled right before the new year. Here's what I get as the periods in front of us we can pass Interestingly, I also calculated 15 day totals and they are not much higher. Jan 6, 1948 is tops at 32.1 Here’s the top 10 on XMACIS: Maximum 8-Day Total Snowfall for New York-Central Park Area, NY (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Value Ending Date Missing Days Last value also occurred in one or more previous years. Period of record: 1869-01-01 to 2021-02-05 1 29.2 1947-12-30 0 - 29.2 1947-12-29 0 - 29.2 1947-12-28 0 4 28.9 1947-12-27 0 5 28.6 1947-12-26 0 6 27.9 2016-01-24 0 - 27.9 2016-01-23 0 8 27.5 2016-01-29 0 - 27.5 2016-01-28 0 - 27.5 2016-01-27 0 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 11 minutes ago, White Gorilla said: Love maps like these when we all do well Except @Juliancolton who is in a 4" hole on this map and stays in that range on most others too. Sorry J 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Here’s the top 10 on XMACIS: Maximum 8-Day Total Snowfall for New York-Central Park Area, NY (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Value Ending Date Missing Days Last value also occurred in one or more previous years. Period of record: 1869-01-01 to 2021-02-05 1 29.2 1947-12-30 0 - 29.2 1947-12-29 0 - 29.2 1947-12-28 0 4 28.9 1947-12-27 0 5 28.6 1947-12-26 0 6 27.9 2016-01-24 0 - 27.9 2016-01-23 0 8 27.5 2016-01-29 0 - 27.5 2016-01-28 0 - 27.5 2016-01-27 0 I pulled out the unique maxes from the different periods since most all are driven by single storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Rgem looks fast and warm just judging by those precip maps but don’t know specifics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 RGEM looks slightly weaker, slightly SE, and less precip. Though it’s tough to get exact numbers on that CMC collar page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Here's raw data (as far as I could screenshot) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, weatherbear5 said: RGEM looks slightly weaker, slightly SE, and less precip. Though it’s tough to get exact numbers on that CMC collar page It’s only 6 hours of precipitation and half of it SE of the city is not snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 ^^ Ya know what really stands out for me on that list? The temps are more above freezing than below with (to me) surprisingly high avg temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, HVSnowLover said: It’s only 6 hours of precipitation and half of it SE of the city is not snow It’s more like 9 hours, and more like Suffolk County has the severe mixing issues verbatim on the RGEM for the first 2 hours Once the heavier precip moves in it flips everyone at the coast to snow. Problem is there’s not a ton of heavy precip around at all on the RGEM. Ugly run for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 33 minutes ago, Albedoman said: thanks. Nam12K at noon model run indicates 6+ now for us in Macungie. off topic and yes I could google but bear with me but help me out where the heck is Macungie ? In keeping with the thread love that the models are coming in moister this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, weatherbear5 said: It’s more like 9 hours, and more like Suffolk County has the severe mixing issues verbatim on the RGEM for the first 2 hours Once the heavier precip moves in it flips everyone at the coast to snow. Problem is there’s not a ton of heavy precip around at all on the RGEM. Ugly run for sure Less than .5 qpf for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Less than .5 qpf for most Yes, like I said, an ugly run. Slightly weaker, slightly east, less heavy precip. Idk what you want from me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, weatherbear5 said: Yes, like I said, an ugly run. Slightly weaker, slightly east, less heavy precip. Idk what you want from me lol Nothing. I agree with you lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 @Ericjcrash @snywx @crossbowftw3 Morning thoughts for our respective areas tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVwhiteout Posted February 6, 2021 Share Posted February 6, 2021 25 minutes ago, Brasiluvsnow said: off topic and yes I could google but bear with me but help me out where the heck is Macungie ? In keeping with the thread love that the models are coming in moister this morning Macungie is approx. 5 or 6 miles Southwest of Allentown, Pa. It's a small town, but it's actually where almost all Mack trucks are built. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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