mikem81 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 EURO ticked slightly NW from 0Z. Good sign. Not too amped. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, snowman19 said: We aren’t going to see the same rates as the last storm and this thing is flying. 10-18 inches is a ludicrous forecast, also 13:1 or higher ratios is not happening wrong. rates will be the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, jm1220 said: If this is right, short lived but very heavy rates and lift squarely in the -12 to -18C part pf the column. For LGA: Hey man, where can I find these charts? Would like to see them centered for philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, wizard021 said: wrong. rates will be the same. maybe even higher, better lift and better cold air at mid levels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 General 3-6 inches on the Euro with the heaviest in Central NJ and Eastern LI. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, snowman19 said: We aren’t going to see the same rates as the last storm and this thing is flying. 10-18 inches is a ludicrous forecast, also 13:1 or higher ratios is not happening No one here is calling for 18 inch amounts in the nyc metro. If they’re calling for it on Twitter complain about it there. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, Wentzadelphia said: Hey man, where can I find these charts? Would like to see them centered for philly Philly http://coolwx.com/cgi-bin/getbufr.cgi?region=PA&stn=KPHL&model=nam&time=current&field=omeg 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, Blizzardo said: Yep a Thumper! I remember an 8 incher in a short window but cant remember when. Feb 2014? Big paste job? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, weatherpruf said: Feb 2014? Big paste job? Yes! I think it was a daytime gig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 8 minutes ago, wizard021 said: wrong. rates will be the same. Agree rates will be similar but much faster, 3-6 is a good call for the metro with maybe more on LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, Blizzardo said: Yep a Thumper! I remember an 8 incher in a short window but cant remember when. i remember in feb 1994 on a tuesday in nyc we had 8 inches in a very short time then 3 days later on a friday we got almost 14 inches in the city.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, nycwinter said: i remember in feb 1994 on a tuesday in nyc we had 8 inches in a very short time then 3 days later on a friday we got almost 14 inches in the city.. Was not that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 some quick 10" snowfalls in NYC... 12/30/2000........12.0" FELL IN 15 HOURS...10 HOURS OF MEASURABLE SNOW... 02/19/1979.........12.7" FELL IN 12 HOURS.....8 HOURS OF MEASURABLE SNOW... 02/07/1967.........12.5" FELL IN 15 HOURS...13 HOURS OF MEASURABLE SNOW... 02/11/1933.........10.0" FELL IN 11 HOURS.....8 HOURS OF MEASURABLE SNOW... 03/02/1896.........10.0" FELL IN 10 HOURS...10 HOURS OF MEASURABLE SNOW...RAIN THE NIGHT BEFORE... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 9 minutes ago, nycwinter said: i remember in feb 1994 on a tuesday in nyc we had 8 inches in a very short time then 3 days later on a friday we got almost 14 inches in the city.. THE FIRST fEB STORM LASTED OVER 24 HOURS...THE SECOND ABOUT 18 HOURS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 24 minutes ago, mikem81 said: EURO ticked slightly NW from 0Z. Good sign. Not too amped. Some nice wiggle room. Good given the last minute NW trend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Some nice wiggle room. Good given the last minute NW trend. 50 miles NW and it’s a SECS for a lot of the sub forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 we could easily be looking at sleet/rain on tomorrow's models 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 11 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Some nice wiggle room. Good given the last minute NW trend. Ya I'm a city dweller and this is right where I want it on the Euro right now. Great trends today! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, forkyfork said: we could easily be looking at sleet/rain on tomorrow's models I agree This is going to come more west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pstar3182 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, forkyfork said: we could easily be looking at sleet/rain on tomorrow's models This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 15 minutes ago, forkyfork said: we could easily be looking at sleet/rain on tomorrow's models Doubt it, maybe eastern LI and Jersey shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 18 minutes ago, forkyfork said: we could easily be looking at sleet/rain on tomorrow's models For the coast maybe. Though given how close we are to the event and the subtle shifts west I don't see a tucked in low this time. Pattern is much more progressive than with the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I would not be surprised if my place gets 1" of slop, maybe even all rain. I think this ticks west a bit more 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 36 minutes ago, uncle W said: some quick 10" snowfalls in NYC... 12/30/2000........12.0" FELL IN 15 HOURS...10 HOURS OF MEASURABLE SNOW... 02/19/1979.........12.7" FELL IN 12 HOURS.....8 HOURS OF MEASURABLE SNOW... 02/07/1967.........12.5" FELL IN 15 HOURS...13 HOURS OF MEASURABLE SNOW... 02/11/1933.........10.0" FELL IN 11 HOURS.....8 HOURS OF MEASURABLE SNOW... 03/02/1896.........10.0" FELL IN 10 HOURS...10 HOURS OF MEASURABLE SNOW...RAIN THE NIGHT BEFORE... Not double digit for NYC, but I always think of this one for a quick hitter, Miller A : https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=SPSNYC&e=199602030203 https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=NOWNYC&e=199602030349 https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSNYC&e=199602031520 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said: Doubt it, maybe eastern LI and Jersey shore. Yeah I think so. I don’t see it coming tremendously west. I can argue for it coming west but it’s going to be hard to get this thing tucked in I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah I think so. I don’t see it coming tremendously west. I can argue for it coming west but it’s going to be hard to get this thing tucked in I think Not only that, but the progressive nature of the thing means there’s less time for warm air to wrap around it overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 19 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah I think so. I don’t see it coming tremendously west. I can argue for it coming west but it’s going to be hard to get this thing tucked in I think I think we’re setting the goal posts. Euro might be the east goal post and RGEM west? It probably ends up closer to the west goal post but I’d think this is fast moving enough and sampled well enough by now for no more major changes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 On 2/2/2021 at 4:44 PM, hooralph said: I might have Walt's AFD for the March 2001 storm saved somewhere. They all live on. This one was a goodie: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=AFDBOX&e=200501230247 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 41 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah I think so. I don’t see it coming tremendously west. I can argue for it coming west but it’s going to be hard to get this thing tucked in I think A small west shift would actually probably plaster the city and immediate burbs. It would take pretty big shift to create mixing issues for the city, would have to shift 100 miles which isn’t likely under 2 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 NAM looks crazy amped so far through 27 relative to 12z *with reference to the shortwave over the southern plains. Different orientation of the players over the Great Lakes too though. Might be tough to call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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