MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4-8 is a good call for many along the coast 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: Upton and Mount Holly are probably meeting right now or planning to do so this afternoon to begin deciding whether to release Winter Storm Watches for at least some of the area or wait till Saturday AM. Walt probably knows what is going on behind the scenes right now........ My guess is it will depend what 12z euro shows 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: The old DT theory is always watch QPF for very fast moving systems drop in the final 24-36 hours These arctic fronts love to beef up as we get near. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wizard021 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: These arctic fronts love to beef up as we get near. If you can get the 1.3 qpf here , this becomes 10 to 15 inches. You will see the ratios are gona be good. Ratios are due to the lifting and mid level temps. Last storm had 700 mb temps minus 3 to 4. This one is minus 10 and similar mid level lift. Watch out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, MJO812 said: These arctic fronts love to beef up as we get near. NAM is also showing another squall along arctic front Sunday evening. Would be an aftershock to the main event. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, wizard021 said: Ratios look higher than 1:10 . Strong lifting with 700 mb temps minus 10. 1 inch qpf would squeeze out 12 inch of snow not 10. Very In this case the 700 low is taking a great track for coastal areas. I haven’t looked at maps/soundings for where the max lift is but if it’s in the -12 to -18c layer that’s the best for high ratios. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Winter Storm Watches are starting to go out for parts of the Mid Atlantic. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gmendevils8204 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Will be even better for the Super Bowl ratings if the most populated area of the country is snowed in on Sunday. Between that, the virus keeping people home and Brady vs. Mahomes, this game could do a monster rating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossbowftw3 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 6 minutes ago, gmendevils8204 said: Will be even better for the Super Bowl ratings if the most populated area of the country is snowed in on Sunday. Between that, the virus keeping people home and Brady vs. Mahomes, this game could do a monster rating. I know not many here would care about NASCAR but the original President’s Day blizzard did something very similar and many call it the reason it exists as it does now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Just now, MJO812 said: Mike Woods says 1-3 inches for NYC with rain Smh Most TV Mets are just lousy. They were way underdone east of the city on the last storm until the morning of and even then we were on the top end of the ranges if not higher. Upton was generally overdone but was better. There are some exceptions like Craig Allen but not many. I’m sure by 5pm those will be upped and we might be under a watch anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 5, 2021 Author Share Posted February 5, 2021 Will recheck the topic headline at 4aP in light of 12Z/5 multiple models 5+ NYC and a moderate fast moving Nor'easter snowstorm for Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Mike Woods says 1-3 inches for NYC with rain Smh It's like they all invest in wrongness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 4 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Mike Woods says 1-3 inches for NYC with rain Smh Is that an old forecast? The guidance has grown more robust at 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HVSnowLover Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Mike Woods says 1-3 inches for NYC with rain Smh Rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
justinj Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 I’m expecting a watch for Suffolk by tomrorow am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: It will be interesting to see if we can get thunder snow with this one. That would be insane on the level of the last storm in terms of rates, probably 2-3”/hr. Of course moving much faster but a very fun 6-8 hours. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Mike Woods says 1-3 inches for NYC with rain Smh who cares. Vendor thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 17 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Mike Woods says 1-3 inches for NYC with rain Smh I would go 2-6 for the metro, the ridiculousness from some on twitter right now is out of control, this is not a 10-18 inch storm in the metro, no way, I’m sorry. You aren’t getting those kinds of snowfall rates in that very short period of time, we also aren’t seeing 13:1 ratios, that’s silly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 10 minutes ago, bluewave said: It will be interesting to see if we can get thunder snow with this one. Man I hope that verifies. should be a very convective looking radar, nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 34 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said: I know not many here would care about NASCAR but the original President’s Day blizzard did something very similar and many call it the reason it exists as it does now You are exactly right. And what solidified that event were four words spoken by Ken squier on CBS. "and there's a fight". The coast is going to get slammed because I'm in Florida now for speed week happens every time I come down here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 18 minutes ago, snowman19 said: I would go 2-6 for the metro, the ridiculousness from some on twitter right now is out of control, this is not a 10-18 inch storm in the metro, no way, I’m sorry. You aren’t getting those kinds of snowfall rates in that very short period of time, we also aren’t seeing 13:1 ratios, that’s silly We got a foot in under 6hrs. Sometimes we get into these periods where it wants to keep snowing. Could we see a March 2018 but in February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Euro is already more amplified at 30 hours Higher heights in the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: We got a foot in under 6hrs. We aren’t going to see the same rates as the last storm and this thing is flying. 10-18 inches is a ludicrous forecast, also 13:1 or higher ratios is not happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: We aren’t going to see the same rates as the last storm and this thing is flying. 10-18 inches is a ludicrous forecast, also 13:1 or higher ratios is not happening 10 or 12 inches is the likely ceiling and those would be jackpot amts not widespread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 If this is right, short lived but very heavy rates and lift squarely in the -12 to -18C part pf the column. For LGA: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 3 minutes ago, snowman19 said: We aren’t going to see the same rates as the last storm and this thing is flying. 10-18 inches is a ludicrous forecast, also 13:1 or higher ratios is not happening Quick hitters can still be disruptive;; Jan 87 was quick and dirty. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 For OKX and HPN 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Yep a Thumper! I remember an 8 incher in a short window but cant remember when. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Euro came west Another bump west and we would get into the heavy rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 5, 2021 Share Posted February 5, 2021 Euro decently better but still a little east of the other guidance so not as much west of NYC especially. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now